Wake Forest at Duke Game Matchup
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
WAKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Duke -15.5   (SP+ DUKE -10)
Projected Score: WAKE: 18 - DUKE: 33 (54)
DUKE Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WAKE Travel: 74 miles
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 4)
 
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina-16.5
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech+11.5
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+15
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU+18
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+17
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia+9
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina+6.5
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware-12.5
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke+15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Duke vs Elon-29.5
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+5.5
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+0
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-2.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+2
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+22
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.5
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-8.5
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1.5
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-15.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)25.743% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)32.548% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1225.724.441.9%3.21.8223721312403.648%52%43%41%16%.13
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1232.529.450.7%4.121.4 - - - - - 44%56%48%53%12%.27
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1228:5121.839%64%5.145.91.81.44.91.7229
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1248% (86)43% (79)36.4131.43.618 (78).05 (106)3 (79)81% (18)10% (70)0.92 (88)
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1244% (6)48% (110) - - - - .18 (101)3.13 (88)80% (112)8% (110)0.96 (58)
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1252% (50)41% (75)20.733.6240.17.211.617 (79)13 (103).23 (83)1.5 (115)31% (63)28% (102).15 (125)7% (93)1.9 (103)
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1256% (129)53% (133) - - - - - - 11 (52).36 (116)1.3 (2)26% (130)40% (132).41 (106)4% (131)1.8 (18)
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -9.20 #91
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 20.08 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -9.20   Duke: 8.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -4.6   Duke: 4.9




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.405 #47
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 33
Wake Forest 18

Projected Total Points: 54
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Wake Forest17Duke23DukeDuke -3.5Duke53.5Under
202311/02Duke24Wake Forest21DukeDuke -6.5Wake Forest41.0Over
202211/26Duke34Wake Forest31DukeWake Forest -3Duke67.0Under
202110/30Wake Forest45Duke7Wake ForestWake Forest -16.5Wake Forest71.5Under
201911/23Wake Forest39Duke27Wake ForestWake Forest -6.5Wake Forest50.0Over
201811/24Duke7Wake Forest59Wake ForestDuke -9.5Wake Forest61.5Over
201711/25Wake Forest23Duke31DukeWake Forest -10.5Duke59.0Under
201609/10Duke14Wake Forest24Wake ForestDuke -8.5Wake Forest45.5Under
201511/28Wake Forest21Duke27DukeDuke -4Duke45.0Over
201411/29Duke41Wake Forest21DukeDuke -18Duke0
201311/23Wake Forest21Duke28DukeDuke -5.5Duke0
201209/29Wake Forest27Duke34Duke
201110/22Duke23Wake Forest24Wake Forest
201009/11Wake Forest54Duke48Wake Forest
200911/28Duke34Wake Forest45Wake Forest
200811/01Wake Forest33Duke30Wake Forest
200710/06Duke36Wake Forest41Wake Forest
200609/09Wake Forest14Duke13Wake Forest
200510/29Duke6Wake Forest44Wake Forest
200410/30Wake Forest24Duke22Wake Forest
200310/18Duke13Wake Forest42Wake Forest
200210/12Wake Forest36Duke10Wake Forest
200110/13Duke35Wake Forest42Wake Forest
200011/03Wake Forest28Duke26Wake Forest
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke864 Overs
Wake Forest1655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 73 - 41 - 3
Road Teams13 - 117 - 43 - 14 - 3

(#91) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.20 #91
Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Defense Rating: 20.08 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 750.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wake Forest Notes
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) QBs likely Ashford (SC), #2 Purdie (Char)
(3/22) Def awful LY. Lots of portals Looks rough
(3/19) RBs top 2 back, Claiborne 1K good baller
(3/19) WRs rebuild. 2 Portal adds (Wazzu) help
(3/19) OL complete rebuild. 6 portals, 4 from Wazzu
(3/19) New OC Ezell only 1 yr exp (LY @ S Al)
(3/19) New DC Hazelton was good until MSU/Tucker
Wake Forest     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #91
#47
Off #88
#77
Def #98
#21
Talent #59
#44
SP+ #81
#41
SP+ Off #78
#65
SP+ Def #87
#33

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2022 (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | DUKE
Depth Chart: WAKE | DUKE
Rosters: WAKE | DUKE
(#47) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.405 #47
Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33
Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(5/10) Pushed out LY QB Murphy (Oreg St) for Mensah
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
(3/21) DEs Williams/Anthony 12 sacks & 23 TFL.
(3/21) Diaz a good coach, great job LY w/ 9 Ws


  
Wake Forest's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie (Tr)10020050%18021069.0
Robby Ashford (Tr)233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Robby Ashford (Tr)4122725.538
Jaydn Girard1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carlos Hernandez (Tr)31397512.842
Demond Claiborne23254211.044
Micah Mays Jr.16218213.641
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)11191117.461

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson744003
Lardarius Webb Jr. (Tr)402003
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682

Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle (Tr)5024614.921
Darian Mensah (Tr)509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle (Tr)138806.820

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
Chandler Rivers548138
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
David Anderson132110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105