Virginia Tech at Duke - 2022 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Duke -10 (50.0)
Duke 24 - Virginia Tech: 7 (ACC)

Hokies (3 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -10 (SP+ DUKE -15)
Projected Score: VT: 24 - DUKE: 31 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
VT Travel: 118 miles

Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-6.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-39.0	45.0	W 27 - 7	U	N
Thu 9/22	Virginia Tech vs West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/1	Virginia Tech at North Carolina	+9.5	57.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/8	Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh	+14.5	42.0	L 29 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+9.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+13.0	39.0	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-4.0	40.5	L 27 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia Tech at Duke	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia Tech at Liberty	+10.5	46.0	W 23 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-1.5	40.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Duke's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Duke vs Temple	-9.5	51.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Duke at Northwestern	+10.0	56.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-30.5	53.0	W 49 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/24	Duke at Kansas	+7.5	66.0	L 27 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/1	Duke vs Virginia	-2.0	55.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Duke at Georgia Tech	-3.5	54.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/15	Duke vs North Carolina	+7.0	70.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Duke at Miami	+10.0	59.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Duke at Boston College	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Duke vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Duke at Pittsburgh	+6.5	49.0	L 26 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Duke vs Wake Forest	+3.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Wed 12/28	Duke vs UCF	-3.5	63.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.18	41%	21.4	44%	3.21	186	36%	176	3.27	.23	42%	30.2	46%	38%	3.89	45.9	0.9	1.2
DUKE	.18	43%	34.6	43%	3.15	180	43%	238	3.07	.38	47%	29.4	48%	47%	4.77	61.7	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	21.4	16	41%	3.27	0.9	19	362	186	176	4.5	59%	41%	44%	36%	16%	.18
DUKE Defense	12	29.4	31.3	46.7%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	47%	16%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	30.2	29.3	42%	3.89	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	38%	17%	.23
DUKE Offense	12	34.6	32.2	42.8%	3.07	1.8	22	418	180	238	4.1	53%	46%	43%	43%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	29:57	18.8	41%	50%	5.4	45.9	0.9	1.2	5.2	1.9	2	28.3
Duke	12	29:18	21.8	42%	38%	6.5	61.7	1.8	1.2	5	1.8	2	28.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	59%	44%	40.8	185.5	4.5	16	.12	3.21	73%	12%	0.91
DUKE Defense	12	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.28	78%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.28	67%	10%	1.06
DUKE Offense	12	53%	43%	43.7	180.3	4.1	22	.13	3.15	76%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	41%	36%	13.3	24.3	176.4	7.3	13.3	17	5	.27	1.9	34%	31%	.36	5%	2.1
DUKE Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.56	1.9	33%	40%	.64	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	29%	.34	7%	2.1
DUKE Offense	12	46%	43%	22.1	34.2	237.9	7	10.8	9	9	.28	1.5	32%	29%	.25	5%	1.8

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #127
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #42

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: Duke: 5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -9.5 Duke: 5.0

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 31
Virginia Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Duke	31	Virginia Tech	28	Virginia Tech -2.5	Duke	45.5	Over
2022	11/12	Duke	24	Virginia Tech	7	Duke -10	Duke	50.0	Under
2021	11/13	Virginia Tech	48	Duke	17	Virginia Tech -13.5	Virginia Tech	50.5	Over
2020	10/03	Duke	31	Virginia Tech	38	Virginia Tech -11.5	Duke	54.5	Over
2019	09/27	Virginia Tech	10	Duke	45	Virginia Tech -2.5	Duke	51.5	Over
2018	09/29	Duke	14	Virginia Tech	31	Duke -6.5	Virginia Tech	52.0	Under
2017	10/28	Virginia Tech	24	Duke	3	Virginia Tech -17	Virginia Tech	48.0	Under
2016	11/05	Duke	21	Virginia Tech	24	Virginia Tech -10	Duke	55.5	Under
2015	10/24	Virginia Tech	43	Duke	45	Virginia Tech -6	Duke	45.5	Over
2014	11/15	Duke	16	Virginia Tech	17	Duke -7	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/26	Virginia Tech	10	Duke	13	Virginia Tech -13.5	Duke	0
2012	10/13	Virginia Tech	41	Duke	20
2011	10/29	Duke	10	Virginia Tech	14
2010	10/23	Virginia Tech	44	Duke	7
2009	10/03	Duke	26	Virginia Tech	34
2008	11/22	Virginia Tech	14	Duke	3
2007	10/13	Duke	14	Virginia Tech	43
2006	09/16	Virginia Tech	36	Duke	0
2005	09/10	Duke	0	Virginia Tech	45
2004	09/18	Virginia Tech	41	Duke	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	5	7	5 Overs
Virginia Tech	15	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	6 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	11 - 9	5 - 6	0 - 3	5 - 3

(#) VT at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#55
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#49
OffenseOff	#124	#53
DefenseDef	#52	#55
Spec TeamsST	#77	#51
TalentTal	#52	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#55
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#131	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#76

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#52
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#42
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#50	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#24

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#52	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Duke -10.0 (50.0)
Duke won vs Virginia Tech this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Virginia Tech in 2024 (31-28)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD