Duke at Pittsburgh - 2022 Matchup Preview

Duke Blue Devils at Pittsburgh Panthers(#22)

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (49.0)
Pittsburgh 28 - Duke: 26 (ACC)

Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (31 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 29.8°
Wind: 13.9 MPH
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ PITT -4)
Projected Score: DUKE: 28 - PITT: 25 (53)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 313 miles

Panthers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (53 - 37)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Duke vs Temple	-9.5	51.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Duke at Northwestern	+10.0	56.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-30.5	53.0	W 49 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/24	Duke at Kansas	+7.5	66.0	L 27 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/1	Duke vs Virginia	-2.0	55.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Duke at Georgia Tech	-3.5	54.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/15	Duke vs North Carolina	+7.0	70.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Duke at Miami	+10.0	59.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Duke at Boston College	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Duke vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Duke at Pittsburgh	+6.5	49.0	L 26 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Duke vs Wake Forest	+3.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Wed 12/28	Duke vs UCF	-3.5	63.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	-7.5	50.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Pittsburgh vs Tennessee	+6.0	63.0	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Pittsburgh at Western Michigan	-10.0	46.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Pittsburgh vs Rhode Island	-32.5	55.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/1	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	47.0	L 21 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/8	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	-14.5	42.0	W 45 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	+2.5	65.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/5	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-3.5	47.5	W 19 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Pittsburgh at Virginia	-5.5	41.5	W 37 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Pittsburgh vs Duke	-6.5	49.0	W 28 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/26	Pittsburgh at Miami	-5.5	43.0	W 42 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/30	Pittsburgh vs UCLA	+9.0	55.0	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.24	44%	32.8	47%	3.45	184	42%	232	4.1	.18	44%	22.1	44%	45%	3.95	50.2	0.8	2.2
PITT	.18	43%	31.3	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	24.3	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	13	32.8	31.2	44.1%	4.1	0.8	22	416	184	232	5	51%	48%	47%	42%	14%	.24
PITT Defense	13	24.3	25.6	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	13	22.1	26.8	44%	3.95	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	44%	45%	20%	.18
PITT Offense	13	31.3	31.9	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	13	33:05	21.7	42%	58%	5.2	50.2	0.8	2.2	5.2	2.8	2	31.8
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	13	51%	47%	37.2	184.2	5	31	.26	3.45	80%	7%	1.06
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.11	79%	12%	0.83
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	13	48%	42%	19.6	30.7	231.5	7.5	11.8	20	6	.27	1.5	31%	33%	.48	7%	2.3
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	13	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.3	1.5	31%	38%	.49	8%	1.9
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Pittsburgh: 6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.0 Pittsburgh: 8.6

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 6.8 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2022 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #40
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Duke Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 28
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 27
Pittsburgh 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Duke 29
Pittsburgh 28

Total Points: 57

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Pittsburgh's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Duke	30	Pittsburgh	19	Duke -4.5	Duke	40.5	Over
2022	11/19	Pittsburgh	28	Duke	26	Pittsburgh -6.5	Duke	49.0	Over
2021	11/06	Duke	29	Pittsburgh	54	Pittsburgh -21	Pittsburgh	64.5	Over
2019	10/05	Duke	30	Pittsburgh	33	Duke -3.5	Pittsburgh	48.5	Over
2018	10/27	Pittsburgh	54	Duke	45	Duke -3	Pittsburgh	46.0	Over
2017	10/21	Duke	17	Pittsburgh	24	Duke -9	Pittsburgh	49.5	Under
2016	11/19	Pittsburgh	56	Duke	14	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	61.5	Over
2015	11/14	Duke	13	Pittsburgh	31	Duke -4	Pittsburgh	49.0	Under
2014	11/01	Pittsburgh	48	Duke	51	Pittsburgh -2.5	Duke	0
2013	09/21	Duke	55	Pittsburgh	58	Pittsburgh -6	Duke	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	8	6	6 Overs
Duke	2	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 6	2 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 4	1 - 2	5 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#40
Perf GradeGrade	#49	#12
OffenseOff	#53	#43
DefenseDef	#55	#10
Spec TeamsST	#51	#68
TalentTal	#62	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#10
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#50	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#55
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#16	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#76

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#60	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 30° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -6.5 (49.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Duke this year (28-26)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)
Pittsburgh beat Duke in 2022 (28-26)

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD