Duke at Pittsburgh - 2022 Matchup Preview
Duke logo   Duke Blue Devils at Pittsburgh Panthers  Pittsburgh logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (49.0)
Pittsburgh 28 - Duke: 26  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ PITT -4)
Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - PITT: 32 (63)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 313 miles
Panthers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (53 - 37)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Duke vs Temple-9.551.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Duke at Northwestern+10.056.5W 31 - 23UY
Sat 9/17 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-30.553.0W 49 - 20ON
Sat 9/24 Duke at Kansas+7.566.0L 27 - 35UN
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-2.055.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Duke at Georgia Tech-3.554.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/15 Duke vs North Carolina+7.070.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Duke at Miami+10.059.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4 Duke at Boston College-11.547.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Duke vs Virginia Tech-10.050.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.549.0L 26 - 28OY
Sat 11/26 Duke vs Wake Forest+3.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Wed 12/28 Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Pittsburgh vs West Virginia-7.550.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Pittsburgh vs Tennessee+6.063.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/17 Pittsburgh at Western Michigan-10.046.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 9/24 Pittsburgh vs Rhode Island-32.555.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-21.547.0L 21 - 26UN
Sat 10/8 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech-14.542.0W 45 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Pittsburgh at Louisville+1.555.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 10/29 Pittsburgh at North Carolina+2.565.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-3.547.5W 19 - 9UY
Sat 11/12 Pittsburgh at Virginia-5.541.5W 37 - 7OY
Sat 11/19 Pittsburgh vs Duke-6.549.0W 28 - 26ON
Sat 11/26 Pittsburgh at Miami-5.543.0W 42 - 16OY
Fri 12/30 Pittsburgh vs UCLA+9.055.0W 37 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1843%34.643%3.1518043%2383.07.3847%29.448%47%4.7761.71.81.2
PITT.348%33.748%3.1715148%3374.59.0940%24.838%42%3.7263.91.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1234.63742.8%3.071.8224181802384.153%46%43%43%16%.18
PITT Defense1424.825.139.9%3.721.9 - - - - - 42%58%38%42%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.427.546.7%4.771.2 - - - - - 49%49%48%47%16%.38
PITT Offense1433.736.647.6%4.591.126488151337444%56%48%48%15%.3

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1229:1821.842%38%6.561.71.81.251.8228.6
Pittsburgh1430:5525.944%68%6.763.91.11.98.13.9530.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1253%43%43.7180.34.122.133.1576%11%1.02
PITT Defense1442%38% - - - - -.012.5856%14%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1249%48% - - - - .253.2878%10%1.02
PITT Offense1444%48%37.5150.5426.193.1773%9%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1246%43%22.134.2237.9710.899.281.532%29%.255%1.8
PITT Defense1458%42% - - - - - - 16.171.534%29%.266%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1249%47% - - - - - - 8.561.933%40%.647%2.2
PITT Offense1456%48%26.238.9337.48.712.9448.41.629%32%.425%2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Pittsburgh: 6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.0   Pittsburgh: 8.6




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 6.8 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2022 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6  #40
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 32
Duke 31

Projected Total Points: 63
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh866 Overs
Duke242 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #40
Perf GradeGrade #49 #12
OffenseOff #53 #43
DefenseDef #55 #10
Spec TeamsST #51 #68
TalentTal #62 #45
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #10
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #50 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #69 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #22
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #16 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #60 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -6.5 (49.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Duke this year (28-26)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)

  
DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD