Duke Blue Devils at California Golden Bears
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA (ACC)
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
CAL is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: California -5.5 (SP+ CAL -5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 23 - CAL: 28 (51)
CAL Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
DUKE Travel: 2374 miles, 3 hrs ahead
CAL is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: California -5.5 (SP+ CAL -5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 23 - CAL: 28 (51)
CAL Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
DUKE Travel: 2374 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -5.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #40 (.31) | 47% (43) | 30.3 | 43% (79) | 3.15 (50) | 127 | 49% (37) | 353 | 3.54 (95) | #112 (.25) | 38% (64) | 32 | 33% (25) | 45% (102) | 5.33 (128) | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 30.3 | 27 | 47.1% | 3.54 | 2.3 | 24 | 479 | 127 | 353 | 5.2 | 37% | 63% | 43% | 49% | 13% | .31 |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 32 | 34 | 38.4% | 5.33 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 43% | 33% | 45% | 17% | .25 |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 3 | 25:52 | 23.7 | 45% | 40% | 6 | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 9 | 2.7 | 1 | 27.2 |
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 37% (130) | 43% (79) | 24.3 | 126.7 | 5.2 | 2 (109) | .03 (101) | 3.15 (50) | 83% (28) | 9% (71) | 0.83 (99) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 57% (115) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .08 (73) | 2.26 (25) | 50% (19) | 15% (19) | 1.39 (128) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 63% (5) | 49% (37) | 27.3 | 41.3 | 352.7 | 8.5 | 12.9 | 8 (18) | 2 (60) | .47 (30) | 1.6 (52) | 31% (76) | 42% (23) | .51 (38) | 4% (44) | 1.9 (86) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 43% (24) | 45% (102) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .47 (117) | 1.7 (108) | 35% (51) | 30% (79) | .41 (100) | 3% (128) | 2.1 (87) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Duke's Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.28 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.4 California: 6.8
Duke: 9.28 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.4 California: 6.8
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 28
Duke 23
Total Points: 51
California 28
Duke 23
Total Points: 51
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Duke | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 4 straight
Duke has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 4 straight
Duke has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #33 | #28 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #21 |
| DefenseDef | #22 | #53 |
| Special TeamsST | #36 | #21 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #5 |
| RushingRush | #84 | #28 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #55 | #29 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #43 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #72 | #40 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #80 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #82 | #16 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #39 | #38 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #105 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 2 straight
California has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 2 straight
California has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 80 | 119 | 67% | 1036 | 8 | 2 | 8.7 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 15 | 127 | 0 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Jaquez Moore | 24 | 115 | 1 | 4.8 | 32 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 10 | 101 | 0 | 10.1 | 63 |
| Peyton Jones | 10 | 34 | 1 | 3.4 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 14 | 272 | 0 | 19.4 | 46 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 13 | 191 | 0 | 14.7 | 44 |
| Andrel Anthony Jr. | 10 | 121 | 3 | 12.1 | 35 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 9 | 116 | 3 | 12.9 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaShawn Stone | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Morris Jr. | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Johnson | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tre Freeman | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Mergott | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |