Duke at UConn Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Rentschler Field - East Hartford, CT

 
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 4)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
CONN 2nd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -7.5   (SP+ DUKE -10.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - CONN: 23 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 523 miles
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Duke vs Elon-29.5
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+5.5
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+0
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-2.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+2
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+22
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.5
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-8.5
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1.5
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-15.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
UConn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UConn vs Central Connecticut-19.5
Sat 9/6 UConn at Syracuse+12
Sat 9/13 UConn at Delaware-10
Sat 9/20 UConn vs Ball State-21
Sat 9/27 UConn at Buffalo-1
Sat 10/4 UConn vs Florida International-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 UConn at Boston College+9
Sat 10/25 UConn at Rice-10.5
Sat 11/1 UConn vs UAB-13
Sat 11/8 UConn vs Duke+7.5
Sat 11/15 UConn vs Air Force-10.5
Sat 11/22 UConn at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.438.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12
CONN Defense1323.116.339.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52637.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
CONN Offense1331.936.941.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.91 #47
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.91   UConn: -1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 4.9   UConn: -5.4




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -1.405 #73
UConn's Offense Rating: 13.36 #74
UConn's Defense Rating: 15.77 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 811
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 31
UConn 23

Projected Total Points: 53
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Duke26UConn21DukeDuke -17.5UConn46.5Over
202309/23UConn7Duke41DukeDuke -22Duke45.0Over
200709/01Duke14UConn45UConn
200409/11UConn22Duke20UConn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn212 Overs
Duke210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#47) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.91 #47
Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33
Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(5/10) Pushed out LY QB Murphy (Oreg St) for Mensah
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
(3/21) DEs Williams/Anthony 12 sacks & 23 TFL.
(3/21) Diaz a good coach, great job LY w/ 9 Ws
Duke     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #47
#73
Off #77
#74
Def #21
#75
Talent #44
#96
SP+ #41
#84
SP+ Off #65
#84
SP+ Def #33
#86

Previous Matchups
Duke beat UConn last year (26-21)
Duke beat UConn in 2023 (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | CONN
Depth Chart: DUKE | CONN
Rosters: DUKE | CONN
(#73) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.405 #73
Offense Rating: 13.36 #74
Defense Rating: 15.77 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle (Tr)5024614.921
Darian Mensah (Tr)509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle (Tr)138806.820

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
Chandler Rivers548138
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
David Anderson132110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers8024533.123
Victor Rosa167214.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Chris Parker (Tr)29360312.444
Jasaiah Gathings3230739.626

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Aaron Key102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
D'Mon Brinson484004