Georgia Tech at Duke - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (12:30 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -4.5 (60.5)
Georgia Tech 31 - Duke: 27 (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Geoff Collins (7 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
GT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ GT -7)
Projected Score: GT: 31 - DUKE: 31 (62)
GT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 345 miles

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Tech vs Northern Illinois	-19.0	57.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Tech vs Kennesaw State	-20.0	53.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+27.5	52.5	L 8 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+14.5	66.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	57.5	L 21 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia Tech at Duke	-4.5	60.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+6.5	66.0	L 40 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/30	Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech	-3.0	55.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Tech at Miami	+10.0	63.0	L 30 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	+2.0	55.0	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Georgia Tech at Notre Dame	+18.0	57.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+35.5	54.5	L 0 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	.16	43%	32.2	47%	2.96	190	38%	199	3.42	.2	44%	25	45%	43%	3.46	74.9	2.5	1.8
DUKE	.06	39%	34.6	39%	2.33	157	40%	222	2.68	.28	43%	29.4	45%	40%	4.55	50.4	3.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	10	32.2	31.2	42.8%	3.42	2.5	20	390	190	199	4.7	55%	45%	47%	38%	20%	.16
DUKE Defense	11	29.4	31.3	42.8%	4.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	40%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	10	25	29.8	43.9%	3.46	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	43%	15%	.2
DUKE Offense	11	34.6	32.2	39.1%	2.68	3.5	22	379	157	222	3.9	47%	53%	39%	40%	20%	.06

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	10	27:02	19.9	41%	36%	8.9	74.9	2.5	1.8	6.2	2.1	0	28.8
Duke	11	28:29	21.5	39%	48%	5.6	50.4	3.5	1.8	6.1	2.8	1	29.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	10	55%	47%	40.7	190.4	4.7	18	.2	2.96	72%	14%	1.12
DUKE Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.15	78%	11%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	10	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.99	80%	10%	0.88
DUKE Offense	11	47%	39%	39.8	156.7	3.9	19	.03	2.33	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	10	45%	38%	15.2	28.3	199.1	7	13.1	14	13	.11	1.7	34%	29%	.23	6%	2.2
DUKE Defense	11	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.8	32%	35%	.51	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	10	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.34	1.7	31%	36%	.44	5%	2
DUKE Offense	11	53%	40%	19.9	35.5	221.9	6.3	11.2	11	19	.12	1.5	31%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: Duke: -4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -6.7 Duke: -13.5

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -4.25 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 31
Duke 31

Projected Total Points: 62

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Duke	18	Georgia Tech	27	Duke -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Under
2024	10/05	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	14	Georgia Tech -10	Push	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Georgia Tech	23	Duke	20	Duke -3.5	Georgia Tech	54.0	Under
2021	10/09	Duke	27	Georgia Tech	31	Georgia Tech -4.5	Duke	60.5	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia Tech	56	Duke	33	Duke -1.5	Georgia Tech	57.0	Over
2019	10/12	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	23	Duke -17.5	Duke	47.5	Over
2018	10/13	Georgia Tech	14	Duke	28	Georgia Tech -1.5	Duke	55.5	Under
2017	11/18	Duke	43	Georgia Tech	20	Georgia Tech -6.5	Duke	49.0	Over
2016	10/29	Georgia Tech	38	Duke	35	Georgia Tech -8.5	Duke	50.5	Over
2015	09/26	Duke	34	Georgia Tech	20	Georgia Tech -10	Duke	56.0	Under
2014	10/11	Georgia Tech	25	Duke	31	Georgia Tech -6	Duke	0
2013	09/14	Duke	14	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -9	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/17	Georgia Tech	42	Duke	24
2011	11/19	Duke	31	Georgia Tech	38
2010	11/20	Georgia Tech	30	Duke	20
2009	11/14	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	49
2008	10/04	Georgia Tech	27	Duke	0
2007	11/10	Duke	24	Georgia Tech	41
2006	11/18	Georgia Tech	49	Duke	21
2005	10/15	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	35
2004	10/16	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	7
2003	11/08	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	17
2002	11/16	Georgia Tech	17	Duke	2
2001	10/06	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	37
2000	10/20	Georgia Tech	45	Duke	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	6	7	4 Overs
Georgia Tech	19	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	6 - 5	1 - 4	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 15	5 - 6	1 - 5	4 - 1

(#) GT at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#116	#117
OffenseOff	#89	#96
DefenseDef	#123	#124
Spec TeamsST	#127	#24
TalentTal	#32	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#21	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#118	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#123
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#103
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#115	#104
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#91
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia Tech 4.5 (60.5)
Georgia Tech won at Duke this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (27-18)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2024 (24-14)

GT's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Nathan Burton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD