Duke Blue Devils at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke -14.5 (51.0) (-625) Open: 0.0
Duke 45 - Middle Tennessee: 17
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -26 (SP+ DUKE -30)
Projected Score: DUKE: 39 - MTSU: 13 (52)
DUKE Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
DUKE Travel: 416 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -26 (SP+ DUKE -30)
Projected Score: DUKE: 39 - MTSU: 13 (52)
DUKE Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
DUKE Travel: 416 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Duke's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Duke vs Elon | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 26 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/6 | Duke vs Northwestern | +2.5 | 37.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Duke vs UConn | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 26 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Duke at Middle Tennessee | -14.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Duke vs North Carolina | +1.0 | 55.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Duke at Georgia Tech | +10.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Duke vs Florida State | -2.5 | 43.0 | W 23 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Duke vs SMU | +11.5 | 49.5 | L 27 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Duke at Miami | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 31 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Duke at NC State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Duke vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 45.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Duke at Wake Forest | -3.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Duke vs Ole Miss | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss | +42.5 | 60.5 | L 3 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 53.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Middle Tennessee vs Duke | +14.5 | 51.0 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Middle Tennessee at Memphis | +27.0 | 62.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech | +5.0 | 48.0 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 14 - 5 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/23 | Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | +20.5 | 64.5 | L 20 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Middle Tennessee at UTEP | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Middle Tennessee vs Liberty | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 37 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -3.5 | 54.0 | L 21 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 26.3 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 24.5 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 18.1 | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 34.3 | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.3 | 28.4 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 34.3 | 32.8 | 49.4% | 4.61 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 14% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 18.1 | 20.3 | 39.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 18 | 352 | 91 | 261 | 3.2 | 41% | 59% | 38% | 40% | 19% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
| Middle Tennessee | 12 | 30:15 | 18.2 | 38% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 25.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 54% (104) | 50% (124) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.19 (97) | 72% (61) | 9% (100) | 0.97 (59) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 41% (123) | 38% (114) | 27.9 | 90.5 | 3.2 | 10 (122) | .04 (110) | 2.82 (104) | 56% (132) | 11% (100) | 0.98 (62) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .47 (129) | 1.6 (90) | 27% (127) | 34% (109) | .53 (128) | 5% (101) | 2.3 (128) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 59% (11) | 40% (83) | 22.8 | 35.6 | 261.1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .19 (95) | 1.5 (102) | 32% (84) | 25% (123) | .17 (121) | 7% (112) | 1.9 (113) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
Duke: 2.68 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 39
Middle Tennessee 13
Total Points: 52
Duke 39
Middle Tennessee 13
Total Points: 52
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/21 | Middle Tennessee | 17 | Duke | 45 | Duke | Duke -14.5 | Duke | 51.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/14 | Middle Tennessee | 18 | Duke | 41 | Duke | Duke -6.5 | Duke | 51.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 2 Overs |
| Duke | 2 | 2 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#50) Duke Info
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 3 straight
Duke has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 3 straight
Duke has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MTSU | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #97 | #43 |
| OffenseOff | #101 | #73 |
| DefenseDef | #108 | #19 |
| Special TeamsST | #97 | #56 |
| PassingPass | #27 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #55 | #90 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #67 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #119 | #60 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #87 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #72 | #64 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #49 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #110 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #105 | #8 |
Rematch from Week 4
Duke 14.5 (51.0)
Duke won at Middle Tennessee this year (45-17)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat Middle Tennessee last year (45-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | MTSU
Depth Chart: DUKE | MTSU
Rosters: DUKE | MTSU
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 254 | 421 | 60% | 2932 | 26 | 12 | 7.0 |
| Henry Belin IV | 26 | 45 | 58% | 243 | 2 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 213 | 871 | 7 | 4.1 | 44 |
| Peyton Jones | 82 | 317 | 3 | 3.9 | 27 |
| Jaquez Moore | 32 | 86 | 1 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Henry Belin IV | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 55 | 861 | 8 | 15.7 | 58 |
| Eli Pancol | 60 | 798 | 9 | 13.3 | 86 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 41 | 445 | 2 | 10.9 | 43 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 65 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Nicholas (Tr) | 100 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Terry Moore | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Williams | 47 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 25 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Stinson | 67 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Chandler Rivers | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Joshua Pickett | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 269 | 418 | 64% | 3092 | 16 | 10 | 7.4 |
| Roman Gagliano | 4 | 9 | 44% | 41 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Credle | 109 | 471 | 4 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 60 | 273 | 2 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Terry Wilkins | 54 | 214 | 1 | 4.0 | 23 |
| Nick Vattiato | 86 | 77 | 1 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Willis | 53 | 871 | 6 | 16.4 | 61 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 71 |
| Myles Butler | 30 | 366 | 3 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Buckner | 37 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Butts | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Raby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marvae Myers-Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |