Duke Blue Devils vs Northwestern Wildcats
Friday, September 6th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -2.5 (37.5) (-130) Open: -2.5 | 36.5
Duke 26 - Northwestern: 20
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Duke -13 (SP+ DUKE -14)
Projected Score: DUKE: 28 - NW: 15 (43)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 629 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Duke -13 (SP+ DUKE -14)
Projected Score: DUKE: 28 - NW: 15 (43)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 629 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Duke's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Duke vs Elon | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 26 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/6 | Duke vs Northwestern | +2.5 | 37.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Duke vs UConn | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 26 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Duke at Middle Tennessee | -14.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Duke vs North Carolina | +1.0 | 55.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Duke at Georgia Tech | +10.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Duke vs Florida State | -2.5 | 43.0 | W 23 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Duke vs SMU | +11.5 | 49.5 | L 27 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Duke at Miami | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 31 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Duke at NC State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Duke vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 45.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Duke at Wake Forest | -3.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Duke vs Ole Miss | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Northwestern's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northwestern vs Miami (OH) | -4.0 | 43.0 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Fri 9/6 | Northwestern vs Duke | -2.5 | 37.5 | L 20 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois | -26.5 | 38.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Northwestern at Washington | +11.5 | 42.5 | L 5 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Northwestern vs Indiana | +12.5 | 40.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Northwestern at Maryland | +11.0 | 45.0 | W 37 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northwestern vs Wisconsin | +9.5 | 42.5 | L 3 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northwestern at Iowa | +16.5 | 38.5 | L 14 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Northwestern at Purdue | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Northwestern vs Ohio State | +28.0 | 43.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Northwestern at Michigan | +10.5 | 35.5 | L 6 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northwestern vs Illinois | +8.5 | 42.5 | L 28 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 26.3 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 24.5 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| NW | #129 (.02) | 37% (123) | 17.8 | 39% (113) | 2.63 (124) | 99 | 36% (116) | 186 | 3.02 (127) | #57 (.15) | 45% (106) | 26.3 | 44% (80) | 46% (117) | 3.74 (64) | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| NW | #129 (.02) | 37% (123) | 39% (113) | 2.63 (124) | 99 | 36% (116) | 186 | 3.02 (127) | #57 (.15) | 45% (106) | 44% (80) | 46% (117) | 3.74 (64) | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.3 | 28.4 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
| NW Defense | 12 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 45% | 3.74 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 44% | 46% | 15% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| NW Offense | 12 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 37.1% | 3.02 | 1.5 | 16 | 285 | 99 | 186 | 3.4 | 45% | 54% | 39% | 36% | 19% | .02 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
| Northwestern | 12 | 29:49 | 16 | 33% | 50% | 4.8 | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
| NW Defense | 12 | 47% (26) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .07 (42) | 2.99 (63) | 69% (47) | 8% (107) | 0.86 (15) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| NW Offense | 12 | 45% (106) | 39% (113) | 29.3 | 98.6 | 3.4 | 12 (114) | .07 (102) | 2.63 (124) | 66% (112) | 11% (98) | 1.1 (20) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
| NW Defense | 12 | 53% (110) | 46% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .25 (77) | 1.4 (13) | 27% (128) | 35% (116) | .28 (55) | 7% (33) | 1.8 (24) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| NW Offense | 12 | 54% (31) | 36% (116) | 17.6 | 32.7 | 186.1 | 5.7 | 10.6 | 7 (130) | 11 (72) | .02 (132) | 1.3 (134) | 35% (119) | 31% (79) | .2 (109) | 8% (121) | 1.8 (119) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68 Northwestern: -9.06
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Northwestern: -8.2
Duke: 2.68 Northwestern: -9.06
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Northwestern: -8.2
Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 28
Northwestern 15
Total Points: 43
Duke 28
Northwestern 15
Total Points: 43
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/06 | Northwestern | 20 | Duke | 26 | Duke | Northwestern -2.5 | Duke | 37.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/16 | Duke | 38 | Northwestern | 14 | Duke | Duke -17 | Duke | 48.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/10 | Northwestern | 23 | Duke | 31 | Duke | Northwestern -10 | Duke | 56.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/18 | Duke | 30 | Northwestern | 23 | Duke | Northwestern -2.5 | Duke | 50.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/08 | Northwestern | 7 | Duke | 21 | Duke | Northwestern -2.5 | Duke | 47.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/09 | Duke | 41 | Northwestern | 17 | Duke | Northwestern -1.5 | Duke | 54.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/17 | Northwestern | 24 | Duke | 13 | Northwestern | Northwestern -4 | Northwestern | 44.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/19 | Duke | 10 | Northwestern | 19 | Northwestern | Duke -2.5 | Northwestern | 50.0 | Under |
| 2008 | 09/06 | Duke | 20 | Northwestern | 24 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | Northwestern | 14 | Duke | 20 | Duke | ||||
| 2003 | 09/20 | Duke | 10 | Northwestern | 28 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | Northwestern | 26 | Duke | 21 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | Duke | 7 | Northwestern | 44 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2000 | 09/08 | Northwestern | 38 | Duke | 5 | Northwestern |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 7 | 2 | 4 Overs |
| Duke | 7 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 8 | 4 - 4 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 6 | 4 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 4 - 2 |
(#50) Duke Info
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NW | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #79 | #43 |
| OffenseOff | #107 | #73 |
| DefenseDef | #35 | #19 |
| Special TeamsST | #100 | #56 |
| PassingPass | #105 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #97 | #90 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #65 | #67 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #55 | #60 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #104 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #64 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #60 | #49 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #36 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #40 | #8 |
Rematch from Week 2
Northwestern -2.5 (37.5)
Duke won at Northwestern this year (26-20)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat Northwestern last year (26-20)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2023 (38-14)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | NW
Depth Chart: DUKE | NW
Rosters: DUKE | NW
(#100) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern has won 1 straight
Northwestern has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern commits very few Penalties (#38)
Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)
Northwestern offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northwestern has a bad defense (#55)
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern has won 1 straight
Northwestern has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern commits very few Penalties (#38)
Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)
Northwestern offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northwestern has a bad defense (#55)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 254 | 421 | 60% | 2932 | 26 | 12 | 7.0 |
| Henry Belin IV | 26 | 45 | 58% | 243 | 2 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 213 | 871 | 7 | 4.1 | 44 |
| Peyton Jones | 82 | 317 | 3 | 3.9 | 27 |
| Jaquez Moore | 32 | 86 | 1 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Henry Belin IV | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 55 | 861 | 8 | 15.7 | 58 |
| Eli Pancol | 60 | 798 | 9 | 13.3 | 86 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 41 | 445 | 2 | 10.9 | 43 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 65 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Nicholas (Tr) | 100 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Terry Moore | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Williams | 47 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 25 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Stinson | 67 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Chandler Rivers | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Joshua Pickett | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lausch | 159 | 296 | 54% | 1714 | 7 | 8 | 5.8 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 39 | 67 | 58% | 356 | 0 | 1 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Porter | 126 | 501 | 6 | 4.0 | 44 |
| Joseph Himon II | 52 | 257 | 2 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Jack Lausch | 87 | 213 | 2 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Caleb Komolafe | 50 | 139 | 0 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Henning | 59 | 603 | 4 | 10.2 | 46 |
| Bryce Kirtz | 39 | 598 | 0 | 15.3 | 55 |
| Thomas Gordon | 27 | 252 | 1 | 9.3 | 26 |
| Cam Porter | 23 | 174 | 0 | 7.6 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Xander Mueller | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Devin Turner | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hubbard | 33 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Anto Saka | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Kilbane | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Josh Fussell | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Xander Mueller | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |