Louisville at Duke - 2021 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Duke Blue Devils

Thursday, November 18th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisville -20 (60.0)
Louisville 62 - Duke: 22 (ACC)

Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ LOU -21.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 29 - DUKE: 28 (57)
LOU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
LOU Travel: 405 miles

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Louisville vs Ole Miss	+9.0	74.5	L 24 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky	-30.0	62.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/17	Louisville vs UCF	+7.0	67.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisville at Florida State	+1.5	61.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Louisville at Wake Forest	+7.0	64.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-2.5	69.5	L 33 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-4.0	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Louisville at NC State	+6.0	57.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisville vs Clemson	+3.5	46.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Louisville vs Syracuse	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/18	Louisville at Duke	-20.0	60.0	W 62 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisville vs Kentucky	-3.0	58.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/28	Louisville vs Air Force	+1.0	55.0	L 28 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.27	43%	29.9	43%	2.82	200	43%	244	3.75	.16	40%	21.2	41%	39%	3.58	52.5	2.2	1.1
DUKE	.06	39%	34.6	39%	2.33	157	40%	222	2.68	.28	43%	29.4	45%	40%	4.55	50.4	3.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	11	29.9	23	42.8%	3.75	2.2	21	444	200	244	5.2	54%	46%	43%	43%	19%	.27
DUKE Defense	11	29.4	31.3	42.8%	4.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	40%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	11	21.2	25.5	40.1%	3.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	41%	39%	17%	.16
DUKE Offense	11	34.6	32.2	39.1%	2.68	3.5	22	379	157	222	3.9	47%	53%	39%	40%	20%	.06

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	11	31:28	20.8	45%	54%	6.3	52.5	2.2	1.1	5.6	1.9	0	26.8
Duke	11	28:29	21.5	39%	48%	5.6	50.4	3.5	1.8	6.1	2.8	1	29.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	11	54%	43%	38.2	199.9	5.2	21	.25	2.82	72%	15%	1.31
DUKE Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.15	78%	11%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	11	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.87	71%	11%	0.97
DUKE Offense	11	47%	39%	39.8	156.7	3.9	19	.03	2.33	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	11	46%	43%	18.4	28.6	244.2	8.5	13.3	20	12	.3	1.7	35%	37%	.54	4%	2.3
DUKE Defense	11	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.8	32%	35%	.51	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	11	43%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.8	36%	32%	.38	7%	2.2
DUKE Offense	11	53%	40%	19.9	35.5	221.9	6.3	11.2	11	19	.12	1.5	31%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Duke: -4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 7.8 Duke: -13.5

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -4.25 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 29
Duke 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Louisville	23	Duke	0	Louisville -5	Louisville	47.0	Under
2021	11/18	Duke	22	Louisville	62	Louisville -20	Louisville	60.0	Over
2016	10/14	Louisville	24	Duke	14	Louisville -27.5	Duke	69.5	Under
2002	09/07	Duke	3	Louisville	40

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	0	1	1 Overs
Louisville	4	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#) LOU at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#117
OffenseOff	#17	#96
DefenseDef	#96	#124
Spec TeamsST	#53	#24
TalentTal	#58	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#48	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#115	#106
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#72

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Louisville 20.0 (60.0)
Louisville won at Duke this year (62-22)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Duke in 2023 (23-0)

LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD