Tulane at Duke - 2026 Matchup Preview

Tulane Green Wave at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC

Green Wave (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#39)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)

Our Line: Duke -8 (SP+ DUKE -0)
Projected Score: TULN: 26 - DUKE: 34 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TULN Travel: 770 miles, 1 hrs behind

Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Tulane at Duke	+8
Sat 9/12	Tulane vs South Alabama	-17.5
Sat 9/19	Tulane at Kansas State	+8.5
Sat 9/26	Tulane vs Southern Miss	-9.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Tulane at Army	-1
Fri 10/16	Tulane vs Memphis	+1
Sat 10/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-3.5
Fri 10/30	Tulane at Charlotte	-19.5
Sat 11/7	Tulane vs Tulsa	-8
Sat 11/14	Tulane at Rice	-13
Sat 11/21	Tulane vs North Texas	+0.5
Fri 11/27	Tulane at South Florida	+9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Duke's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Duke vs Tulane	-8
Sat 9/12	Duke at Illinois	+8.5
Sat 9/19	Duke vs Stanford	-14.5
Sat 9/26	Duke vs William & Mary	-30.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Duke at Georgia Tech	+4.5
Sat 10/17	Duke vs North Carolina	-10
Fri 10/23	Duke at Virginia	+6.5
Sat 10/31	Duke vs Boston College	-12.5
Fri 11/6	Duke at NC State	+4
Sat 11/14	Duke at Miami	+20
Sat 11/21	Duke vs Clemson	+1.5
Sat 11/28	Duke at Wake Forest	+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#33 (.22)	46% (34)	27.7	44% (59)	3.18 (24)	166	48% (15)	245	3.88 (54)	#62 (.15)	45% (111)	23.9	44% (91)	46% (121)	3.65 (65)	63.9	1.2	1.8
DUKE	#25 (.25)	46% (30)	34.6	45% (51)	2.8 (99)	138	47% (20)	285	4.32 (26)	#116 (.23)	44% (98)	29.4	43% (73)	46% (119)	4.39 (129)	62.7	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	27.7	26.4	45.5%	3.88	1.2	22	412	166	245	4.5	53%	45%	44%	48%	13%	.22
DUKE Defense	14	29.4	31.3	43.8%	4.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	46%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	23.9	32	45.1%	3.65	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	44%	46%	17%	.15
DUKE Offense	14	34.6	32.2	46%	4.32	1	23	424	138	285	4.3	44%	55%	45%	47%	15%	.25

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	30:51	21.9	42%	52%	6.9	63.9	1.2	1.8	5.6	2.6	1	34.5
Duke	14	29:43	22.5	39%	74%	6.4	62.7	1	1.7	6.7	1.9	3	31.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	53% (39)	44% (59)	36.7	166.4	4.5	26 (49)	.11 (66)	3.18 (24)	78% (29)	7% (14)	0.89 (104)
DUKE Defense	14	48% (49)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (68)	2.62 (19)	73% (85)	12% (14)	1.03 (101)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	46% (18)	44% (91)	-	-	-	-	.09 (64)	2.97 (85)	71% (67)	10% (49)	0.9 (36)
DUKE Offense	14	44% (112)	45% (51)	32.4	138.2	4.3	26 (60)	.08 (85)	2.8 (99)	69% (85)	10% (79)	0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	45% (96)	48% (15)	18.7	30.4	245.1	8.1	13.1	18 (106)	9 (7)	.38 (27)	1.5 (75)	29% (32)	34% (25)	.39 (34)	5% (45)	1.9 (95)
DUKE Defense	14	50% (86)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (22)	.41 (125)	1.6 (107)	32% (56)	34% (123)	.44 (128)	6% (86)	2 (77)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	52% (115)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (38)	.26 (74)	1.4 (12)	28% (123)	33% (104)	.32 (83)	6% (47)	1.9 (35)
DUKE Offense	14	55% (21)	47% (20)	24	36.1	285.4	7.9	11.9	34 (14)	6 (7)	.39 (24)	1.6 (44)	30% (39)	33% (37)	.4 (30)	6% (55)	2.2 (13)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: -3.04 #85
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.52 #90
Tulane's Defense Rating: 18.56 #87
2026 Talent Rating: 674.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Tulane's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Tulane's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 572.14
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: -3.04 Duke: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.3 Duke: 6.6

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.58 #48
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.54 #29
Duke's Defense Rating: 15.98 #69
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #64
Duke's 2026 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Duke's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 34
Tulane 26

Projected Total Points: 60

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Tulane	34	Duke	27	Tulane -1.5	Tulane	52.5	Over
2015	09/03	Tulane	7	Duke	37	Duke -13.5	Duke	51.5	Under
2014	09/20	Duke	47	Tulane	13	Duke -17.5	Duke	0
2011	09/24	Duke	48	Tulane	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	3	2	1 Overs
Tulane	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2

(#85) TULN at (#48) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#85	#48
SP+SP+	#45	#44
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#55
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#64

Tulane Notes(2/26) Vibes: Can't be great, lost staff, roster. Hall is ?
(2/26) QB1 Semonza or Z Chriss (Hou), backups are Fr
(2/26) RB McClure was lead LY, 3 portal adds into mix
(2/26) WR Brown-Stephens good but small. 3 portals
(2/26) OL 2 starters back, 3 portals. Should be OK here
(2/26) DL is an issue, DT exp'd but avg, pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs are OK, have exp, safety duo is solid
(2/26) The Def, really the entire team lacks dudes TY
(2/24) New HC Hall (PGC LY,) ? hire after So Miss wreck
Tulane Injury Report

Duke Notes(2/17) Vibes: Solid, Diaz won ACC, Mensah loss a blow
(2/7) DC Patke? Def has gotten worse each year
(2/6) QB Eget (SJSU) still needs waiver to play in '26
(2/6) RB Sheppard back, one of ACC's best in '25
(2/6) WR lots of ? Two G5/FCS adds only w real exp
(2/6) TE Hasley a good weapon and really good blocker
(2/6) OL has 2 back, added 2 starters. Looks decent
(2/6) DL has ?, lots of limited exp, nothing obvious
(2/6) LBs good unit w Mergott. Have some depth
(2/6) DBs torched in '25, added 5 portals, lots of exp
Duke Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#34	#98
ExplosiveExp	#105	#120
PPAPPA	#33	#116
PowerPwr	#90	#69
SP+SP+	#35	#86
Pts POPPO	#54	#129
HavocHav	#21	#36

Tulane Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#73
Run ExplRExp	#104	#101
PPAExp	#66	#68
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#19
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#11
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulane Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#15	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#75	#107
PPAExp	#27	#125
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#14	#14
DB HavocDB	#45	#86

Duke on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#30	#111
ExplosiveExp	#30	#21
PPAPPA	#25	#62
PowerPwr	#29	#87
SP+SP+	#19	#71
Pts POPPO	#26	#65
HavocHav	#67	#52

Duke Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#91
Run ExplRExp	#65	#36
PPAExp	#85	#64
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#99	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#92
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#12
PPAExp	#24	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#49
DB HavocDB	#55	#47

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Duke last year (34-27)

TULN's OC Russ Callaway (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	10	21	48%	108	1	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamauri McClure	83	540	2	6.5	30
Jaylin Lucas (Tr)	27	160	0	5.9	26
Maurice Turner	28	127	0	4.5	18
Zeon Chriss	12	79	0	6.6	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Brown	41	523	2	12.8	54
Zycarl Lewis Jr.	24	330	2	13.8	63
Garrett Mmahat	10	124	0	12.4	22
Dawson Johnson (Tr)	10	99	1	9.9	17

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Tayler Polk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Kevin Adams	44	0	0	0	3
Dalton Hughes (Tr)	40	1	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Makai Williams	25	3	1	2	0
Tavare Smith	18	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
E'zaiah Shine	35	2	0	7
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	3
Kevin Adams	44	0	0	3

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget (Tr)	232	393	59%	3058	17	9	7.8
Ari Patu (Tr)	48	95	51%	517	5	4	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Sheppard	200	1132	11	5.7	60
Ari Patu (Tr)	44	133	1	3.0	25
CJ Campbell	22	119	0	5.4	22
Walker Eget (Tr)	33	96	0	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jared Richardson (Tr)	80	1033	12	12.9	76
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Jeremiah Hasley	40	454	6	11.4	56
Nate Sheppard	37	286	1	7.7	20

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
DaShawn Stone	86	2	0	1	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3
Landan Callahan	42	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elliott Schaper	16	2	2	0	0
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Kendall Johnson	37	3	1	4	2
Tyshon Reed	23	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)	33	1	0	0	4
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3