Clemson at Duke Game Matchup
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Monday, September 4th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -12.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 28 - Clemson: 7  (ACC)

 
Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Clemson -2   (SP+ CLEM -1.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 27 - DUKE: 25 (55)
CLEM Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
CLEM Travel: 238 miles
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Clemson at Duke-12.554.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-50.553.0W 66 - 17ON
Sat 9/16 Clemson vs Florida Atlantic-25.051.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Clemson vs Florida State+2.055.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Clemson at Syracuse-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Clemson vs Wake Forest-21.053.5W 17 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Clemson at Miami-3.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Clemson at NC State-9.544.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Clemson vs Notre Dame+3.044.5W 31 - 23OY
Sat 11/11 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-17.555.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Clemson vs North Carolina-7.558.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Clemson at South Carolina-7.548.0W 16 - 7UY
Fri 12/29 Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23UN
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19OY
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM.1945%34.749%3.2917841%2324.14.0838%23.439%37%3.2248.21.61.7
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1434.73044.9%4.141.6234101782324.652%48%49%41%14%.19
DUKE Defense1324.519.344%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1423.419.837.7%3.221.7 - - - - - 42%58%39%37%21%.08
DUKE Offense1326.325.744.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1431:1222.847%50%5.448.21.61.77.63.1228.8
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1452%49%39.1178.44.631.23.2978%9%0.93
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1442%39% - - - - .062.6964%13%0.92
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1448%41%21.234.1231.96.810.92410.21.530%30%.215%1.9
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1458%37% - - - - - - 13.11.634%25%.28%2.1
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 11.99   Duke: 9.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 10.9   Duke: 9.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.37 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 27
Duke 25


Projected Total Points: 55
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/04Duke28Clemson7DukeClemson -12.5Duke54.0Under
201811/17Clemson35Duke6ClemsonClemson -29.5Duke59.0Under
201211/03Duke20Clemson56Clemson
200811/15Clemson31Duke7Clemson
200711/03Duke10Clemson47Clemson
200511/05Clemson49Duke20Clemson
200411/13Duke16Clemson13Duke
200311/15Clemson40Duke7Clemson
200211/02Duke31Clemson34Clemson
200112/01Clemson59Duke31Clemson
200009/29Duke22Clemson52Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke220 Overs
Clemson902 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 71 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#15) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00

Team Profile






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Clemson     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #15
#40
Off #88
#48
Def #8
#59
Talent #5
#48
SP+ #23
#29
SP+ Off #50
#53
SP+ Def #12
#25

Rematch from Week 1
Clemson 12.5 (54.0)
Duke won vs Clemson this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Clemson in 2023 (28-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | DUKE
Depth Chart: CLEM | DUKE
Rosters: CLEM | DUKE
(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.37 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Team Profile






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Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Domonique Thomas4219714.722
Wise Segars Jr.21407.012
Barrett Carter1414.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Briningstool49530710.841
Beaux Collins41490312.053
Phil Mafah2110304.922
Sage Ennis1202.02

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barrett Carter7410476
Andrew Mukuba694016
R.J. Mickens686027
Payton Page303101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barrett Carter7410476
Payton Page303101
Andrew Mukuba694016
R.J. Mickens686027
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476
Andrew Mukuba694016

Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard26940367%28612187.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Riley Leonard184906174.950
Jordan Waters9547044.994
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Jordan Waters15167111.124
Nicky Dalmolin11166215.171

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Jaylen Stinson674238
Michael Reese445300
Brandon Johnson425115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Ryan Smith228422
Michael Reese445300
Aeneas Peebles296333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Joshua Pickett384007
Brandon Johnson425115