Kansas at Duke - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke -16.5 (57.5)
Duke 52 - Kansas: 33

Jayhawks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE 3rd straight Home Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
KU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ DUKE -6)
Projected Score: KU: 28 - DUKE: 32 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
KU Travel: 916 miles, 1 hrs behind

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Kansas vs South Dakota	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/10	Kansas at Coastal Carolina	+26.5	52.0	L 22 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/18	Kansas vs Baylor	+17.0	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kansas at Duke	+16.5	57.5	L 33 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/2	Kansas at Iowa State	+34.5	57.5	L 7 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Kansas vs Texas Tech	+18.5	67.5	L 14 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/23	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+38.0	66.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Kansas at Oklahoma State	+28.5	54.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kansas vs Kansas State	+24.0	56.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	Kansas at Texas	+31.0	61.5	W 57 - 56	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Kansas at TCU	+21.0	64.0	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Kansas vs West Virginia	+15.5	55.5	L 28 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	-.06	28%	28.1	28%	2.13	105	28%	154	2.83	.27	47%	26.8	48%	44%	4.04	46.4	1.6	1.1
DUKE	.06	39%	34.6	39%	2.33	157	40%	222	2.68	.28	43%	29.4	45%	40%	4.55	50.4	3.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	9	28.1	21.8	27.5%	2.83	1.6	16	259	105	154	2.7	48%	52%	28%	28%	24%	-.06
DUKE Defense	11	29.4	31.3	42.8%	4.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	40%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	9	26.8	33.2	46.7%	4.04	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	48%	44%	15%	.27
DUKE Offense	11	34.6	32.2	39.1%	2.68	3.5	22	379	157	222	3.9	47%	53%	39%	40%	20%	.06

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	9	30:46	15.9	23%	42%	5.7	46.4	1.6	1.1	4.7	1	2	25.9
Duke	11	28:29	21.5	39%	48%	5.6	50.4	3.5	1.8	6.1	2.8	1	29.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	9	48%	28%	39.3	104.9	2.7	9	-.05	2.13	41%	17%	1.32
DUKE Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.15	78%	11%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	9	57%	48%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.27	70%	9%	1.04
DUKE Offense	11	47%	39%	39.8	156.7	3.9	19	.03	2.33	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	9	52%	28%	17.2	31.4	154.3	4.9	9	7	10	-.07	1.4	40%	20%	.11	7%	2.2
DUKE Defense	11	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.8	32%	35%	.51	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	9	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.5	27%	31%	.27	6%	2
DUKE Offense	11	53%	40%	19.9	35.5	221.9	6.3	11.2	11	19	.12	1.5	31%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: NR
Kansas's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7 #124
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #104
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: Duke: -4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: -19.7 Duke: -13.5

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -4.25 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 32
Kansas 28

Projected Total Points: 60

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/24	Kansas	35	Duke	27	Kansas -7.5	Kansas	66.0	Under
2021	09/25	Duke	52	Kansas	33	Duke -16.5	Duke	57.5	Over
2014	09/13	Duke	41	Kansas	3	Duke -20.5	Duke	0
2009	09/19	Kansas	44	Duke	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	2	2	1 Overs
Kansas	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	3 - 0	3 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 0	0 - 3

(#) KU at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#128	#117
OffenseOff	#118	#96
DefenseDef	#132	#124
Spec TeamsST	#69	#24
TalentTal	#72	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kansas Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#88	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#107	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#116	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	KU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#132
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#115	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#122

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Duke -16.5 (57.5)
Duke won vs Kansas this year (52-33)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD