Boston College at Duke - 2026 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC (ACC)

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

BC 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -12.5 (SP+ DUKE -15)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - DUKE: 37 (62)
DUKE Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BC Travel: 604 miles

Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boston College at Cincinnati	+8
Fri 9/11	Boston College vs Rutgers	+2
Sat 9/19	Boston College vs Maine	-20.5
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+0
Sat 10/3	Boston College at SMU	+19.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+10
Sat 10/24	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+14.5
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Duke	+12.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College vs Florida State	+8.5
Sat 11/14	Boston College at Notre Dame	+32
Sat 11/21	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5
Sat 11/28	Boston College at Miami	+30

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Duke's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Duke vs Tulane	-8
Sat 9/12	Duke at Illinois	+8.5
Sat 9/19	Duke vs Stanford	-14.5
Sat 9/26	Duke vs William & Mary	-30.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Duke at Georgia Tech	+4.5
Sat 10/17	Duke vs North Carolina	-10
Fri 10/23	Duke at Virginia	+6.5
Sat 10/31	Duke vs Boston College	-12.5
Fri 11/6	Duke at NC State	+4
Sat 11/14	Duke at Miami	+20
Sat 11/21	Duke vs Clemson	+1.5
Sat 11/28	Duke at Wake Forest	+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (66)	25.4	42% (92)	2.75 (106)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (99)	#115 (.23)	43% (82)	32.8	44% (86)	42% (72)	3.82 (83)	49.7	1.8	1
DUKE	#25 (.25)	46% (30)	34.6	45% (51)	2.8 (99)	138	47% (20)	285	4.32 (26)	#116 (.23)	44% (98)	29.4	43% (73)	46% (119)	4.39 (129)	62.7	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	25.4	25	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16
DUKE Defense	14	29.4	31.3	43.8%	4.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	46%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	32.8	34	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23
DUKE Offense	14	34.6	32.2	46%	4.32	1	23	424	138	285	4.3	44%	55%	45%	47%	15%	.25

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6
Duke	14	29:43	22.5	39%	74%	6.4	62.7	1	1.7	6.7	1.9	3	31.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (92)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (106)	80% (14)	10% (84)	0.89 (106)
DUKE Defense	14	48% (49)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (68)	2.62 (19)	73% (85)	12% (14)	1.03 (101)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	50% (70)	44% (86)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.79 (51)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)
DUKE Offense	14	44% (112)	45% (51)	32.4	138.2	4.3	26 (60)	.08 (85)	2.8 (99)	69% (85)	10% (79)	0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (66)	1.4 (125)	31% (63)	31% (54)	.32 (63)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)
DUKE Defense	14	50% (86)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (22)	.41 (125)	1.6 (107)	32% (56)	34% (123)	.44 (128)	6% (86)	2 (77)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	47% (57)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (106)	.36 (99)	5% (102)	2 (75)
DUKE Offense	14	55% (21)	47% (20)	24	36.1	285.4	7.9	11.9	34 (14)	6 (7)	.39 (24)	1.6 (44)	30% (39)	33% (37)	.4 (30)	6% (55)	2.2 (13)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.68 #67
Boston College's Offense Rating: 12.14 #76
Boston College's Defense Rating: 14.46 #60
2026 Talent Rating: 862.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.68 Duke: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -8.5 Duke: 6.6

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.58 #48
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.54 #29
Duke's Defense Rating: 15.98 #69
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #64
Duke's 2026 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Duke's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 37
Boston College 25

Projected Total Points: 62

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/04	Boston College	31	Duke	38	Duke -11.5	Boston College	47.0	Over
2020	09/19	Duke	6	Boston College	26	Duke -3.5	Boston College	49.5	Under
2015	10/03	Duke	9	Boston College	7	Duke -7	Boston College	37.0	Under
2011	09/17	Boston College	19	Duke	20
2010	11/13	Duke	16	Boston College	21
2006	11/11	Boston College	28	Duke	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	3	0	1 Overs
Boston College	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0

(#67) BC at (#48) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#48
SP+SP+	#97	#44
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#45	#55
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#64

Boston College Notes(2/15) Vibes: Low, O'Brien/NIL - this isn't working
(2/7) QB1? Only FCS Mason McKenzie has exp (2k, 14 TD)
(2/6) DC Ted Roof? Really? OC left for NFL in Jan
(2/6) RB Dickens (Lib) good add, have depth options
(2/6) WR has a lot of guys, none > 13 FBS rec.
(2/6) OL 7 portal adds, lots of G5/FCS risers. Have exp
(2/6) DL has some parts, lots of options. Nothing special
(2/6) LB couple of good portals, could be good unit
(2/6) CB has some good options, S has exp but avg
(2/6) Playing ND, Rutgers & Cincy OOC is suicide
Boston College Injury Report

Duke Notes(2/17) Vibes: Solid, Diaz won ACC, Mensah loss a blow
(2/7) DC Patke? Def has gotten worse each year
(2/6) QB Eget (SJSU) still needs waiver to play in '26
(2/6) RB Sheppard back, one of ACC's best in '25
(2/6) WR lots of ? Two G5/FCS adds only w real exp
(2/6) TE Hasley a good weapon and really good blocker
(2/6) OL has 2 back, added 2 starters. Looks decent
(2/6) DL has ?, lots of limited exp, nothing obvious
(2/6) LBs good unit w Mergott. Have some depth
(2/6) DBs torched in '25, added 5 portals, lots of exp
Duke Injury Report

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#66	#98
ExplosiveExp	#93	#120
PPAPPA	#79	#116
PowerPwr	#76	#69
SP+SP+	#97	#86
Pts POPPO	#99	#129
HavocHav	#92	#36

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#73
Run ExplRExp	#106	#101
PPAExp	#104	#68
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#19
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#11
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#107
PPAExp	#66	#125
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#14
DB HavocDB	#99	#86

Duke on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#30	#82
ExplosiveExp	#30	#127
PPAPPA	#25	#115
PowerPwr	#29	#60
SP+SP+	#19	#107
Pts POPPO	#26	#83
HavocHav	#67	#126

Duke Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#86
Run ExplRExp	#65	#106
PPAExp	#85	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#99	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#43
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	DUKE Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#127
PPAExp	#24	#121
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#127
DB HavocDB	#55	#102

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mason McKenzie (Tr)	147	267	55%	2054	14	N/A	N/A
Bryce LaFollette (Tr)	2	2	100%	15	0	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Mason McKenzie (Tr)	117	662	6	5.7	N/A
Nolan Ray (Tr)	67	289	2	4.3	53
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reed Swanson (Tr)	57	939	8	16.5	67
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45
Dawson Pough	13	197	1	15.2	52
Javarius Green (Tr)	13	150	0	11.5	39

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Isaiah Farris	28	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)	13	3	2	0	0
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Justin Medlock (Tr)	25	1	1	1	1
TJ Green	25	1	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Ashton Cunningham	13	3
Syair Torrence	5	3

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget (Tr)	232	393	59%	3058	17	9	7.8
Ari Patu (Tr)	48	95	51%	517	5	4	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Sheppard	200	1132	11	5.7	60
Ari Patu (Tr)	44	133	1	3.0	25
CJ Campbell	22	119	0	5.4	22
Walker Eget (Tr)	33	96	0	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jared Richardson (Tr)	80	1033	12	12.9	76
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Jeremiah Hasley	40	454	6	11.4	56
Nate Sheppard	37	286	1	7.7	20

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
DaShawn Stone	86	2	0	1	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3
Landan Callahan	42	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elliott Schaper	16	2	2	0	0
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Kendall Johnson	37	3	1	4	2
Tyshon Reed	23	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)	33	1	0	0	4
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3