Virginia Tech at Duke Game Matchup
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (45.5) (-135)  Open: -2.5
Duke 31 - Virginia Tech: 28  (ACC)

 
Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
VT coming off BYE
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia Tech -3.5   (SP+ VT -4.5)

Projected Score: VT: 26 - DUKE: 23 (51)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VT Travel: 118 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt-13.553.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Virginia Tech vs Marshall-20.552.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/14 Virginia Tech at Old Dominion-15.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Virginia Tech vs Rutgers-3.045.0L 23 - 26ON
Fri 9/27 Virginia Tech at Miami+17.555.5L 34 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Virginia Tech at Stanford-9.550.0W 31 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Boston College-8.547.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech-11.052.0W 21 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Virginia Tech at Syracuse-3.554.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Virginia Tech vs Clemson+6.554.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia Tech at Duke-2.545.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/30 Virginia Tech vs Virginia-4.544.5W 37 - 17OY
Fri 1/3 Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3UN
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53ON
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)28.247% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)22.839% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
DUKE#64 (.2)42% (69)26.342% (77)3.1 (70)16742% (66)1814.27 (31)#52 (.16)43% (86)24.543% (69)44% (101)3.47 (43)461.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1328.231.343.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21
DUKE Defense1324.519.343.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1322.827.537.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
DUKE Offense1326.325.742%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (39)10% (82)0.96 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (114)8% (20)1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.35 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.35   Duke: 6.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.0   Duke: 5.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 26
Duke 23


Projected Total Points: 51
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Duke31Virginia Tech28DukeVirginia Tech -2.5Duke45.5Over
202211/12Duke24Virginia Tech7DukeDuke -10Duke50.0Under
202111/13Virginia Tech48Duke17Virginia TechVirginia Tech -13.5Virginia Tech50.5Over
202010/03Duke31Virginia Tech38Virginia TechVirginia Tech -11.5Duke54.5Over
201909/27Virginia Tech10Duke45DukeVirginia Tech -2.5Duke51.5Over
201809/29Duke14Virginia Tech31Virginia TechDuke -6.5Virginia Tech52.0Under
201710/28Virginia Tech24Duke3Virginia TechVirginia Tech -17Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/05Duke21Virginia Tech24Virginia TechVirginia Tech -10Duke55.5Under
201510/24Virginia Tech43Duke45DukeVirginia Tech -6Duke45.5Over
201411/15Duke16Virginia Tech17Virginia TechDuke -7Virginia Tech0
201310/26Virginia Tech10Duke13DukeVirginia Tech -13.5Duke0
201210/13Virginia Tech41Duke20Virginia Tech
201110/29Duke10Virginia Tech14Virginia Tech
201010/23Virginia Tech44Duke7Virginia Tech
200910/03Duke26Virginia Tech34Virginia Tech
200811/22Virginia Tech14Duke3Virginia Tech
200710/13Duke14Virginia Tech43Virginia Tech
200609/16Virginia Tech36Duke0Virginia Tech
200509/10Duke0Virginia Tech45Virginia Tech
200409/18Virginia Tech41Duke17Virginia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke575 Overs
Virginia Tech1544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 116 - 53 - 53 - 0
Road Teams11 - 95 - 60 - 35 - 3

(#29) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.35 #29
Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Tech Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
Virginia Tech     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #29
#50
Off #48
#113
Def #10
#17
Talent #57
#56
SP+ #30
#44
SP+ Off #41
#71
SP+ Def #36
#31

Rematch from Week 13
Virginia Tech 2.5 (45.5)
Duke won vs Virginia Tech this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Virginia Tech last year (31-28)
Duke beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (24-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 49°

Team Information
Injuries: VT | DUKE
Depth Chart: VT | DUKE
Rosters: VT | DUKE
(#50) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see


  
Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones13622461%15621067.0
William Watson III345859%481128.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones9833763.453
Jeremiah Coney3217905.647
Malachi Thomas4316513.820
Collin Schlee (Tr)4114323.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Benji Gosnell32341210.731
Ayden Greene19268214.167
Harrison Saint Germain42506.314
Malachi Thomas42506.39

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Keller832021
Caleb Woodson728242
Mose Phillips III654103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)296333
Caleb Woodson728242
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Mose Phillips III654103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane541007
Keli Lawson402004
Dante Lovett200004

Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Henry Belin IV113903.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Javon Harvey (Tr)1110119.216

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ozzie Nicholas (Tr)1004142
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Terry Moore717105
Kimari Robinson235014