Baylor Bears Team Profile
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Baylor Bears (@BUFootball)
Dave Aranda (6th year) (31-29)
Record: 0 - 0  |  Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#51)  |  SOS: (#34)
Power (#35)  | Off (#21)  | Def (#52)  |  Roster  |  Portals  |  Croots
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Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Baylor vs Auburn+1.556.5UY
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU+7.5
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford-33
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State+1.5
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State-8.5
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU+4
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati-2
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah-2.5
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona-8.5
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston-12.5

Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 #51
Schedule Rating: #34
Future 2026 Schedule
Baylor's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Tarleton State-33.553.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Baylor at Utah+14.552.5L 12 - 23UY
Sat 9/14 Baylor vs Air Force-17.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Colorado+2.552.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs BYU-3.047.0L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Iowa State+13.045.0L 21 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Texas Tech+4.556.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 10/26 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-7.064.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Baylor vs TCU-2.564.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Baylor at West Virginia-2.060.0W 49 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Baylor at Houston-7.051.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 11/30 Baylor vs Kansas+2.562.5W 45 - 17UY
Tue 12/31 Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44ON

2024 Schedule Rating: #51
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (B12: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 9 - 4 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5

Opponents: 0 Elite, 6 Good, 4 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 2 Elite, 3 Good, 4 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 210 points  #36
2024 class: 179 points  #67
2023 class: 211 points  #34
2022 class: 208 points  #37
2021 class: 190 points  #44

Average Class Ranking:  #44
Average Recruiting Points: 200
Class Averages
Big 12 Class: 201 #49
Power 4 Class: 225 #49
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 181 points  #54
2019 class: 203 points  #35
2018 class: 215 points  #29
2017 class: 193 points  #40
2016 class: 192 points  #40

Average Class Ranking:  #40
Average Recruiting Points: 197
 
Offensive Coordinator Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Walker White (Tr)2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Walker White (Tr)41804.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Kole Wilson (Tr)43630414.753
Michael Trigg30395313.242
Bryson Washington2221719.923
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes (Tr)12911340
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Devin Turner (Tr)512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Fobbs-White (Tr)218401
Keaton Thomas978420
Travion Barnes (Tr)12911340
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)455254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)455254
Caden Jenkins250004
Devin Turner (Tr)512003
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense Returning Production: 72% #14
Defense Returning Production: 65% #25
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #47
14 Commits, 86.5 Avg Rating
20% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 15% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Offense Talent #57 | Defense Talent #38
2024 #39 | 2023 #49 | 2022 #41 | 2021 #41
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 6 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4

Four Year Record: 17 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 18 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 12 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

2020 Record: 2 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 2 - 7

2019 Record: 11 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 49 - 39
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 37 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 31

Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Texas Bowl Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44
2022Forces Bowl Baylor vs Air Force-3.542.0L 15 - 30
2021Sugar Bowl Baylor vs Ole Miss+1.060.5W 21 - 7
2019Sugar Bowl Baylor vs Georgia+4.044.0L 14 - 26
2018Texas Bowl Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38
2016Cactus Bowl Baylor vs Boise State+10.071.0W 31 - 12
2015Athletic Bowl Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5W 49 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (29)47% (23)4.28 (30)31.5 (17)44%61%.18 (74)39% (38)3.85 (77)25.9 (7)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2023.15 (90)39% (102)3.12 (118)28.6 (97)36%46%.32 (130)46% (118)4.36 (116)31.4 (114)



More Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:48 (117)20.6 (45)44%61%5.8 (75)58.1 (105)1 (30)1.65.1 (68)1.8 (65)2
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20231231:42 (64)19.8 (87)36%46%4.1 (7)28.9 (3)1.3 (35)1.35 (95)1.5 (113)2



Overall Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1334.437.33246.8% (23)4.28 (30)121401174227552% (61)48% (75)46% (37)48% (14)12% (17).25 (29)
2024 Defense1326.719.830.739.4% (38)3.85 (77)1.6 - - - - - 54% (107)46% (29)38% (13)42% (78)15% (83).18 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2023 Offense1223.120.927.539.5% (102)3.12 (118)1.3203781152633.346% (99)54% (31)40% (107)39% (90)18% (98).15 (90)
2023 Defense1233.329.441.345.7% (118)4.36 (116)1.3 - - - - - 54% (114)45% (21)46% (98)47% (123)17% (55).32 (130)



Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1352% (61)46% (37)35.1174.3523 (52).18 (41)3.19 (43)77% (42)7% (9)1.01 (50)
2024 Defense1354% (107)38% (13) - - - - .11 (64)3.03 (74)82% (122)9% (84)1.03 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2023 Offense1246% (99)40% (107)34.4114.83.313 (108).09 (101)2.99 (91)74% (63)12% (103)1.03 (53)
2023 Defense1254% (114)46% (98) - - - - .24 (115)3.27 (103)70% (51)11% (53)1.16 (121)



Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1348% (75)48% (14)17.227.8227.18.213.229 (12)9 (48).37 (21)1.6 (49)29% (29)36% (24).37 (53)6% (55)2 (91)
2024 Defense1346% (29)42% (78) - - - - - - 13 (31).26 (80)1.7 (99)34% (39)31% (77).38 (98)6% (80)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2023 Offense1254% (31)39% (90)21.936.82637.11215 (96)7 (21).22 (90)1.6 (79)34% (109)26% (103).18 (111)6% (77)1.8 (123)
2023 Defense1245% (21)47% (123) - - - - - - 7 (111).47 (131)1.7 (107)30% (101)38% (129).52 (130)6% (75)2.2 (102)




Power Ratings Overall: 10.57 #34
Offense: 22.05 #25
Defense: 11.48 #47
SP+ Overall: 8.0 #36
SP+ Offense: 34.6 #17
SP+ Defense: 26.6 #57
Returning Prod HC Aranda, OC Spavital & QB all back
'24 QB Sawyer Robertson returns
Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 65% #25
OL Prod: 81% #19, 4 clear starters
Rush Prod: 83% #25 | Rec Prod: 60% #47
Def Front Seven: 51% - Secondary: 79%
Roster Team Talent #49 Blue Chips: 6% #48
Offense Talent #57 Defense Talent #38
Crootin Class #36 - 4 YR Rank #44
Portal Class #47 - 14 players, 87 Avg
20% of Roster from Portal, 15% TY
34 New Players, 36% of '25 Roster #59

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 #51
Schedule Rating: 72 #34
View BAY's 2025 Predicted Schedule Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Scoring Scoring: 34.4 - 26.7 (23 - 33) in '24
Scoring at Home: 37 - 20 | Road: 32 - 31
OC: Jake Spavital - in his second season
DC: Matt Powledge - been DC for 3 years
Records 2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1) (B12: 2 - 7)
2022 Record: 6 - 7 (7 - 6 - 0) (B12: 4 - 5)
4 Yr Record: (17 - 21) | 8 Yr Record: (49 - 39)
 
'24 OffenseBalanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Good when off Schedule 36%
'24 DefenseAvg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 31%
Team NotesQB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure
Def was Avg LY. 9 portal adds. Return a lot