Oklahoma at Baylor - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -4 (63.0)
Baylor 27 - Oklahoma: 14 (Big 12)

Sooners (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Lincoln Riley (48 - 8)
Avg Score : 39 - 26 (30 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ OKLA -1)
Projected Score: OKLA: 30 - BAY: 31 (61)
OKLA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 253 miles

Bears (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKLA Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oklahoma vs Tulane	-31.0	66.5	W 40 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/11	Oklahoma vs Western Carolina	-52.5	66.0	W 76 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oklahoma vs Nebraska	-22.5	62.5	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/25	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-17.5	56.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/2	Oklahoma at Kansas State	-12.0	53.0	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	Oklahoma vs Texas	-4.0	65.5	W 55 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	64.5	W 52 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Oklahoma at Kansas	-38.0	66.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/30	Oklahoma vs Texas Tech	-18.5	67.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Oklahoma at Baylor	-4.0	63.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-3.0	59.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	+4.0	50.0	L 33 - 37	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Oklahoma vs Oregon	-7.0	64.0	W 47 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Baylor's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Baylor at Texas State	-13.5	52.5	W 29 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/11	Baylor vs Texas Southern	-44.5	53.0	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Baylor at Kansas	-17.0	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Baylor vs Iowa State	+7.0	46.0	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Baylor at Oklahoma State	+3.5	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Baylor vs West Virginia	-1.0	45.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Baylor vs BYU	-5.5	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Baylor vs Texas	-2.0	61.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Baylor at TCU	-7.5	57.0	L 28 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+4.0	63.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Baylor at Kansas State	+2.5	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-14.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/4	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	+7.0	45.0	W 21 - 16	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Baylor vs Ole Miss	+1.0	60.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	.33	48%	39.1	48%	3	188	48%	263	4.86	.21	41%	25.8	41%	42%	3.83	56.4	1	1.9
BAY	.27	45%	31.6	46%	3.26	219	44%	203	4	.15	37%	18.3	35%	39%	3.04	48.4	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)		46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)		38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Offense	13	39.1	29.8	47.8%	4.86	1	22	451	188	263	5.4	48%	51%	48%	48%	15%	.33
BAY Defense	14	18.3	20.3	37%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	39%	20%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Defense	13	25.8	29.5	41.5%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	42%	18%	.21
BAY Offense	14	31.6	37.9	45%	4	1.1	21	422	219	203	5.4	59%	41%	46%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma	13	29:20	22.2	43%	69%	6.7	56.4	1	1.9	7.5	2.5	0	30.5
Baylor	14	31:23	20.7	42%	63%	5.4	48.4	1.1	1.8	7.4	3.1	3	31.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense	13	48%	48%	34.5	187.5	5.4	29	.26	3	70%	10%	1.08
BAY Defense	14	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.76	75%	13%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.72	72%	14%	1.1
BAY Offense	14	59%	46%	40.9	219.3	5.4	29	.28	3.26	74%	11%	1.19

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense	13	51%	48%	21.5	31	263.5	8.5	12.3	32	9	.4	1.6	30%	36%	.52	5%	2.2
BAY Defense	14	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.22	1.6	35%	26%	.21	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.34	1.6	34%	32%	.34	4%	2
BAY Offense	14	41%	44%	16.9	26.1	203.1	7.8	12	24	7	.26	1.6	29%	32%	.33	4%	1.8

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.8 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: Baylor: 10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 16.8 Baylor: 15.6

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 10.3 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2021 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6 #15
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 39.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Oklahoma's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 31
Oklahoma 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 33
Baylor 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 31
Oklahoma 27

Total Points: 58

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Baylor's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/05	Oklahoma	35	Baylor	38	Oklahoma -3	Baylor	61.5	Over
2021	11/13	Baylor	27	Oklahoma	14	Oklahoma -4	Baylor	63.0	Under
2020	12/05	Oklahoma	27	Baylor	14	Oklahoma -22	Baylor	61.5	Under
2019	11/16	Baylor	31	Oklahoma	34	Oklahoma -10	Baylor	69.5	Under
2019	12/07	Oklahoma	30	Baylor	23	Oklahoma -9	Baylor	65.5	Under
2018	09/29	Oklahoma	66	Baylor	33	Oklahoma -21	Oklahoma	69.0	Over
2017	09/23	Baylor	41	Oklahoma	49	Oklahoma -28.5	Baylor	62.0	Over
2016	11/12	Oklahoma	45	Baylor	24	Oklahoma -15.5	Oklahoma	78.0	Under
2015	11/14	Baylor	34	Oklahoma	44	Baylor -6	Oklahoma	76.0	Over
2014	11/08	Oklahoma	14	Baylor	48	Oklahoma -3	Baylor	0
2013	11/07	Baylor	41	Oklahoma	12	Baylor -7	Baylor	0
2012	11/10	Oklahoma	42	Baylor	34
2011	11/19	Baylor	45	Oklahoma	38
2010	11/20	Baylor	24	Oklahoma	53
2009	10/10	Oklahoma	33	Baylor	7
2008	10/04	Baylor	17	Oklahoma	49
2007	11/10	Oklahoma	52	Baylor	21
2006	11/18	Baylor	10	Oklahoma	36
2005	10/22	Oklahoma	37	Baylor	30
2004	11/20	Baylor	0	Oklahoma	35
2003	11/15	Oklahoma	41	Baylor	3
2001	10/20	Oklahoma	33	Baylor	17
2000	11/03	Baylor	7	Oklahoma	56

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	5	8	4 Overs
Oklahoma	18	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 10	6 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	10 - 13	5 - 6	0 - 3	5 - 3

(#) OKLA at (#) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKLA	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#15
Perf GradeGrade	#9	#13
OffenseOff	#6	#9
DefenseDef	#39	#27
Spec TeamsST	#51	#76
TalentTal	#6	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oklahoma Injury Report

Baylor Injury Report

Oklahoma on Offense


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#6	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#3	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma Run Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	#10	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#55

Oklahoma Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#9	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#22	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#75

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°

Rematch from Week 11
Oklahoma 4.0 (63.0)
Baylor won vs Oklahoma this year (27-14)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Oklahoma in 2022 (38-35)

OKLA's OC Bill Bedenbaugh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD