Oklahoma at Baylor - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo   Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -4 (63.0)
Baylor 27 - Oklahoma: 14  (Big 12)

 
Sooners (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Lincoln Riley (48 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (31 - 15 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2  (SP+ OKLA -1)
Projected Score: OKLA: 29 - BAY: 23 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 253 miles
Bears (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oklahoma vs Tulane-31.066.5W 40 - 35ON
Sat 9/11 Oklahoma vs Western Carolina-52.566.0W 76 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Oklahoma vs Nebraska-22.562.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/25 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-17.556.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Oklahoma at Kansas State-12.053.0W 37 - 31ON
Sat 10/9 Oklahoma vs Texas-4.065.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 10/16 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.564.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Oklahoma at Kansas-38.066.5W 35 - 23UN
Sat 10/30 Oklahoma vs Texas Tech-18.567.0W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Oklahoma at Baylor-4.063.0L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/20 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-3.059.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/27 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State+4.050.0L 33 - 37OY
Wed 12/29 Oklahoma vs Oregon-7.064.0W 47 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Baylor's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Baylor at Texas State-13.552.5W 29 - 20UN
Sat 9/11 Baylor vs Texas Southern-44.553.0W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Baylor at Kansas-17.048.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/25 Baylor vs Iowa State+7.046.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/2 Baylor at Oklahoma State+3.547.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Baylor vs West Virginia-1.045.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Baylor vs BYU-5.552.5W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Baylor vs Texas-2.061.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 11/6 Baylor at TCU-7.557.0L 28 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Baylor vs Oklahoma+4.063.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/20 Baylor at Kansas State+2.549.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 11/27 Baylor vs Texas Tech-14.051.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 12/4 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+7.045.0W 21 - 16UY
Sat 1/1 Baylor vs Ole Miss+1.060.5W 21 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA.3149%26.248%2.9418050%3154.78.0836%15.536%35%3.1765.51.31.7
BAY.0534%31.134%2.159134%2203.33.1340%32.641%39%4.1762.411.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense1126.23149.5%4.781.3254951803154.750%50%48%50%18%.31
BAY Defense932.627.940%4.171.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%39%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1115.514.535.7%3.171.7 - - - - - 39%61%36%35%21%.08
BAY Offense931.129.634.2%3.33118311912202.842%58%34%34%20%.05

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1132:1524.941%80%7.265.51.31.77.43.4131.6
Baylor929:0818.333%60%7.162.411.96.62429.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1150%48%38.1179.74.727.142.9480%12%0.82
BAY Defense955%41% - - - - .122.7867%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1139%36% - - - - .072.2367%12%1.12
BAY Offense942%34%3391.22.88-.032.1579%13%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1150%50%22.632.93159.613.9308.491.728%35%.466%2.1
BAY Defense945%39% - - - - - - 12.151.533%29%.316%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1161%35% - - - - - - 16.091.536%22%.19%2
BAY Offense958%34%22.836.8219.969.7148.111.537%25%.27%2.1

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.8  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #3
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma:    Baylor: 10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 16.8   Baylor: 15.6




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 10.3 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2021 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6  #15
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.5

Oklahoma's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 29
Baylor 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Oklahoma35Baylor38Oklahoma -3Baylor61.5Over
202111/13Baylor27Oklahoma14Oklahoma -4Baylor63.0Under
202012/05Oklahoma27Baylor14Oklahoma -22Baylor61.5Under
201911/16Baylor31Oklahoma34Oklahoma -10Baylor69.5Under
201912/07Oklahoma30Baylor23Oklahoma -9Baylor65.5Under
201809/29Oklahoma66Baylor33Oklahoma -21Oklahoma69.0Over
201709/23Baylor41Oklahoma49Oklahoma -28.5Baylor62.0Over
201611/12Oklahoma45Baylor24Oklahoma -15.5Oklahoma78.0Under
201511/14Baylor34Oklahoma44Baylor -6Oklahoma76.0Over
201411/08Oklahoma14Baylor48Oklahoma -3Baylor0
201311/07Baylor41Oklahoma12Baylor -7Baylor0
201211/10Oklahoma42Baylor34
201111/19Baylor45Oklahoma38
201011/20Baylor24Oklahoma53
200910/10Oklahoma33Baylor7
200810/04Baylor17Oklahoma49
200711/10Oklahoma52Baylor21
200611/18Baylor10Oklahoma36
200510/22Oklahoma37Baylor30
200411/20Baylor0Oklahoma35
200311/15Oklahoma41Baylor3
200110/20Oklahoma33Baylor17
200011/03Baylor7Oklahoma56
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor584 Overs
Oklahoma1835 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 106 - 53 - 53 - 0
Road Teams10 - 135 - 60 - 35 - 3

(#) OKLA at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKLABAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #15
Perf GradeGrade #9 #13
OffenseOff #6 #9
DefenseDef #39 #27
Spec TeamsST #51 #76
TalentTal #6 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oklahoma on Offense
CategoryCat
OKLA OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma Run Game
CategoryCat
OKLA OffBAY Def
Run GameRun #10 #34
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #55
Oklahoma Pass Game
CategoryCat
OKLA OffBAY Def
Pass GamePass #4 #45
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #42
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffOKLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #22 #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #75
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #54 #70
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Oklahoma 4.0 (63.0)
Baylor won vs Oklahoma this year (27-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OKLA's OC Bill Bedenbaugh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD