Louisiana Tech at Baylor - 2026 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Baylor Bears

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX

Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (19 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LT 2nd straight Road Game
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Baylor -12.5 (SP+ BAY -3)
Projected Score: LT: 21 - BAY: 33 (54)
BAY Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LT Travel: 270 miles

Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (36 - 37)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#62)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Louisiana Tech at LSU	+27
Sat 9/19	Louisiana Tech at Baylor	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Louisiana Tech vs Army	+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Baylor's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Baylor vs Auburn	+13.5
Sat 9/12	Baylor vs Prairie View A&M	-27.5
Sat 9/19	Baylor vs Louisiana Tech	-12.5
Sat 9/26	Baylor vs Colorado	-8
Sat 10/3	Baylor at Arizona State	+4.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Baylor vs TCU	+2.5
Sat 10/24	Baylor at Kansas	+2
Sat 10/31	Baylor at UCF	+2.5
Sat 11/7	Baylor vs Iowa State	+0.5
Sat 11/14	Baylor at BYU	+15.5
Sat 11/21	Baylor vs Texas Tech	+20.5
Sat 11/28	Baylor at Houston	+6

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#89 (.14)	40% (102)	27.3	42% (91)	2.95 (66)	195	37% (114)	164	3.32 (109)	#18 (.07)	38% (22)	20.8	39% (37)	37% (24)	3.07 (22)	77.4	1.3	1.9
BAY	#49 (.2)	45% (39)	31.1	47% (38)	3.09 (42)	142	44% (41)	310	3.69 (69)	#81 (.18)	44% (104)	32.6	46% (107)	43% (93)	4.3 (124)	61.4	2	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	13	27.3	18.8	39.9%	3.32	1.3	19	359	195	164	4.8	59%	39%	42%	37%	15%	.14
BAY Defense	12	32.6	27.9	44.3%	4.3	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	46%	43%	12%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	13	20.8	25.3	37.9%	3.07	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	39%	37%	20%	.07
BAY Offense	12	31.1	29.6	45%	3.69	2	25	451	142	310	4.2	40%	59%	47%	44%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	13	30:02	19.2	41%	50%	7.7	77.4	1.3	1.9	5.9	1.5	7	29.1
Baylor	12	29:15	24.8	38%	53%	6	61.4	2	0.9	4	1	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	13	59% (13)	42% (91)	41.1	195.2	4.8	29 (88)	.14 (56)	2.95 (66)	75% (53)	9% (53)	1.04 (37)
BAY Defense	12	56% (129)	46% (107)	-	-	-	-	.14 (93)	3.15 (111)	89% (134)	7% (131)	0.96 (68)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	13	44% (12)	39% (37)	-	-	-	-	.02 (26)	2.69 (29)	68% (46)	10% (65)	1.08 (119)
BAY Offense	12	40% (129)	47% (38)	34.1	141.6	4.2	12 (88)	.17 (44)	3.09 (42)	77% (32)	8% (36)	0.9 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	13	39% (124)	37% (114)	15.1	24.1	164.2	6.8	10.9	8 (121)	10 (34)	.19 (100)	1.6 (45)	31% (57)	26% (115)	.23 (98)	6% (63)	2.2 (11)
BAY Defense	12	42% (9)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.25 (71)	1.4 (13)	28% (122)	29% (65)	.24 (51)	6% (86)	1.7 (8)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	13	54% (126)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	22 (4)	.14 (22)	1.6 (85)	35% (16)	30% (81)	.26 (54)	10% (1)	2 (67)
BAY Offense	12	59% (8)	44% (41)	25.8	42.5	309.6	7.3	12	31 (3)	12 (88)	.25 (67)	1.5 (80)	31% (58)	33% (28)	.42 (27)	6% (86)	2.1 (35)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -10.29 #115
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 4.74 #117
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 20.03 #101
2026 Talent Rating: 448.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Louisiana Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Louisiana Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #77
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 485.09
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -10.29 Baylor: 6.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -1.3 Baylor: 1.4

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 6.74 #50
Baylor's Offense Rating: 15.89 #43
Baylor's Defense Rating: 13.81 #55
2026 Talent Rating: 862.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Baylor's 2026 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Baylor's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #71
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #32
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 33
Louisiana Tech 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	0	0	0 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#115) LT at (#50) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#115	#50
SP+SP+	#77	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#124	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#39

Louisiana Tech Notes(2/25) Vibes: Not a Cumbie fan, DC bolting bad sign
(2/25) HC Cumbie saved job LY, but for how long?
(2/25) QB Baker was OK, tore ACL in Oct. Kukuk mobile
(2/25) RB bleak, not a single att on roster, 2/3 are Fr
(2/25) WR ? 3 have exp, FCS Calwise by far most prod
(2/25) OL has 3 starters with some depth, looks decent
(2/25) LY DC left for DC job at Coastal Carolina? Yikes
(2/25) DL must find DTs, LB by far most exp'd unit
(2/25) DBs look OK, but drop from LY's great unit
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Baylor Notes(2/17) Vibes: Uneasy. Arada hot seat, QB/DC must hit
(2/17) RB Knighten & Turner back. Morris (Fr) big croot
(2/7) QB Lagway has talent, but inconsistent/inj history
(2/7) OC Spavital has big job to get Lagway's best
(2/7) New DC Klanderman (K St) great add to fix Def
(2/7) WR 4 portals must hit, no returning exp
(2/7) OL 6 have starting exp, 4 portals. Prod is ?
(2/7) DL added 5 portal starters. DT much improved
(2/7) CB could be good, S decent as well. 7 portals
Baylor Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#102	#104
ExplosiveExp	#68	#15
PPAPPA	#89	#81
PowerPwr	#117	#55
SP+SP+	#77	#110
Pts POPPO	#109	#124
HavocHav	#57	#126

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#91	#107
Run ExplRExp	#37	#68
PPAExp	#56	#93
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#66	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#50	#123
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#93
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#13
PPAExp	#100	#71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#53	#131
DB HavocDB	#63	#86

Baylor on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BAY Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#39	#22
ExplosiveExp	#53	#117
PPAPPA	#49	#18
PowerPwr	#43	#101
SP+SP+	#32	#68
Pts POPPO	#69	#22
HavocHav	#56	#10

Baylor Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BAY Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#38	#37
Run ExplRExp	#99	#119
PPAExp	#44	#26
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#29
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#12
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BAY Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#80	#85
PPAExp	#67	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#65
DB HavocDB	#86	#1

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Baker	102	155	66%	1252	5	3	8.1
Trey Kukuk	67	106	63%	644	3	4	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trey Kukuk	98	609	5	6.2	58
Blake Baker	73	260	3	3.6	38
Mason Welch	3	13	0	4.3	6
Jalen Mickens	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Finley	38	445	0	11.7	73
Marcus Calwise Jr. (Tr)	32	417	5	13.0	50
Jalen Mickens	20	177	1	8.9	40
David Pierro	8	89	0	11.1	56

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Kolbe Fields	39	3	2	1	0
Zheric Hill	32	2	1	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Donovan Rieman	29	5	3	0	1
Kolbe Fields	39	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Jordan McRae	7	1	0	0	4
Alonzo Jackson Jr.	29	4	0	5	3

BAY's OC Jake Spavital (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Lagway (Tr)	213	337	63%	2264	16	14	6.7
Nate Bennett	5	7	71%	34	0	0	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Knighten	104	469	1	4.5	49
Michael Turner	65	320	1	4.9	40
D.J. Lagway (Tr)	71	136	1	1.9	38
Drelon Miller	46	134	1	2.9	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Freeman (Tr)	53	481	4	9.1	33
Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr)	28	313	1	11.2	45
Drelon Miller	21	159	1	7.6	32
Caden Knighten	11	134	1	12.2	39

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kedrick Walker (Tr)	57	7	3	1	0
Jacob Redding	53	1	0	0	2
Kyland Reed	50	2	0	2	1
Daniel Cobbs (Tr)	39	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garrick Ponder (Tr)	37	12	5	4	0
Ryan Davis (Tr)	14	6	4	1	4
Kedrick Walker (Tr)	57	7	3	1	0
Jamaal Whyce	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Levar Thornton Jr.	27	1	0	0	7
Stilton McKelvey (Tr)	18	2	0	0	5
Ryan Davis (Tr)	14	6	4	1	4