Baylor at Cincinnati - 2023 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -2.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 32 - Cincinnati: 29  (Big 12)

 
Bears (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
BAY coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -6   (SP+ CIN -2)
Projected Score: BAY: 24 - CIN: 30 (56)
CIN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 881 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Texas State-26.558.5L 31 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs Utah+7.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Baylor vs Long Island University-44.054.0W 30 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Texas+17.549.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Baylor at UCF+8.056.5W 36 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.559.5L 14 - 39UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Baylor at Cincinnati+2.551.5W 32 - 29OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+3.047.0L 18 - 30ON
Sat 11/4 Baylor vs Houston-3.058.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/11 Baylor at Kansas State+20.555.5L 25 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 Baylor at TCU+13.062.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/25 Baylor vs West Virginia+6.553.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.2245%34.447%3.2118244%2314.35.245%26.745%44%4.12411.41.5
CIN.1840%25.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%24.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1334.43245.1%4.351.4234141822314.455%44%47%44%13%.22
CIN Defense1324.618.837.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1326.730.744.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 51%49%45%44%16%.2
CIN Offense1325.226.739.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1331:3022.740%64%4.8411.41.54.61.8230.2
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1355%47%41.2182.44.434.213.2179%9%1.08
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1351%45% - - - - .133.0576%8%0.88
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1344%44%1930.2231.57.712.21911.291.530%33%.344%2
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 13.281.529%37%.517%2
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: -7.95 #108
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Baylor's Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: -7.95   Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: -8.8   Cincinnati: -7.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Baylor 24

Projected Total Points: 56
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Cincinnati29Baylor32BaylorCincinnati -2.5Baylor51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati001 Overs
Baylor110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#108) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.95 #108
Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50

Team Profile






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Baylor     Ratings Matchup     Cincinnati
Power #108
#80
Off #99
#45
Def #127
#117
Talent #49
#52
SP+ #98
#88
SP+ Off #78
#95
SP+ Def #105
#82

Rematch from Week 8
Cincinnati -2.5 (51.5)
Baylor won at Cincinnati this year (32-29)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Cincinnati in 2023 (32-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BAY | CIN
Depth Chart: BAY | CIN
Rosters: BAY | CIN
(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile






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Baylor's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
RJ Martinez (Tr)182475%148016.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Shapen343621.118
RJ Martinez (Tr)82102.615
Monaray Baldwin3301.02
Armani Winfield1-90-9.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Monaray Baldwin27478517.746
Hal Presley31429313.853
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Javon Gipson23335214.643

View Baylor's Full Roster
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Caleb Parker151012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Tony Anyanwu21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Caleb Parker151012
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Prater010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Victor Dawson76309.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58735412.742
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Payten Singletary17197211.634
Corey Kiner1510507.014

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
George Udo (Tr)782111
Deshawn Pace614001
Derrick Shepard341000
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Phillips195360
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
Dion Hunter81110
George Udo (Tr)782111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todd Bumphis81103
Oliver Bridges151002
Dorian Jones (Tr)181011