Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Baylor -2 (60.0) (-130) Open: -1.5
Baylor 49 - West Virginia: 35 (Big 12)
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
BAY coming off BYE
Our Line: Baylor -6.5 (SP+ BAY -6.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - WVU: 27 (61)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 1112 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Baylor -6.5 (SP+ BAY -6.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - WVU: 27 (61)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 1112 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| West Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | West Virginia vs Penn State | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 12 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | West Virginia vs UAlbany | -38.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | West Virginia at Pittsburgh | -2.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | West Virginia vs Kansas | -1.5 | 56.0 | W 32 - 28 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | West Virginia at Oklahoma State | +2.5 | 65.0 | W 38 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | West Virginia vs Iowa State | +3.0 | 54.0 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | West Virginia vs Kansas State | +2.5 | 56.5 | L 18 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | West Virginia at Arizona | +5.5 | 51.5 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | West Virginia at Cincinnati | +5.5 | 54.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | West Virginia vs Baylor | +2.0 | 60.0 | L 35 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | West Virginia vs UCF | +3.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | West Virginia at Texas Tech | +2.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 52 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/17 | West Virginia vs Memphis | +5.0 | 60.0 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 34.4 | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 26.7 | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 29.2 | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 31.9 | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 32 | 46.8% | 4.28 | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 12% | .25 |
| WVU Defense | 13 | 31.9 | 31.3 | 44.8% | 4.74 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 41% | 49% | 13% | .3 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 30.7 | 39.4% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 15% | .18 |
| WVU Offense | 13 | 29.2 | 27.6 | 42.5% | 4.6 | 1.5 | 23 | 406 | 196 | 210 | 4.9 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 41% | 16% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 31.5 |
| West Virginia | 13 | 31:36 | 22.6 | 42% | 62% | 4.3 | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 28.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| WVU Defense | 13 | 51% (68) | 41% (46) | - | - | - | - | .08 (46) | 2.83 (41) | 64% (21) | 9% (97) | 1.02 (86) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| WVU Offense | 13 | 56% (28) | 44% (75) | 40.1 | 196 | 4.9 | 27 (30) | .16 (52) | 3.05 (64) | 78% (33) | 10% (82) | 1.07 (35) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| WVU Defense | 13 | 49% (68) | 49% (128) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .53 (133) | 1.8 (127) | 31% (84) | 38% (128) | .61 (133) | 4% (126) | 2.3 (123) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
| WVU Offense | 13 | 44% (107) | 41% (73) | 17.4 | 28.6 | 210.3 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 20 (58) | 14 (115) | .26 (65) | 1.8 (16) | 34% (117) | 32% (63) | .37 (52) | 6% (75) | 2.3 (8) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.17 West Virginia: 3.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 West Virginia: 2.1
Baylor: 12.17 West Virginia: 3.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 West Virginia: 2.1
West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.57 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.57 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 34
West Virginia 27
Total Points: 61
Baylor 34
West Virginia 27
Total Points: 61
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | West Virginia | 35 | Baylor | 49 | Baylor | Baylor -2 | Baylor | 60.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Baylor | 31 | West Virginia | 34 | West Virginia | West Virginia -6.5 | Baylor | 53.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/13 | West Virginia | 43 | Baylor | 40 | West Virginia | Baylor -3.0 | West Virginia | 55.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Baylor | 45 | West Virginia | 20 | Baylor | Baylor -1.0 | Baylor | 45.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/03 | West Virginia | 27 | Baylor | 21 | West Virginia | Baylor -1.5 | West Virginia | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/31 | Baylor | 17 | West Virginia | 14 | Baylor | Baylor -19 | West Virginia | 57.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/25 | West Virginia | 58 | Baylor | 14 | West Virginia | West Virginia -14.5 | West Virginia | 67.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/21 | Baylor | 36 | West Virginia | 38 | West Virginia | West Virginia -10.5 | Baylor | 67.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 12/03 | West Virginia | 24 | Baylor | 21 | West Virginia | West Virginia -14.5 | Baylor | 69.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | Baylor | 62 | West Virginia | 38 | Baylor | Baylor -18 | Baylor | 75.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/18 | West Virginia | 41 | Baylor | 27 | West Virginia | Baylor -9.5 | West Virginia | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Baylor | 73 | West Virginia | 42 | Baylor | Baylor -30 | Baylor | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | West Virginia | 70 | Baylor | 63 | West Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 8 | 5 | 7 Overs |
| Baylor | 5 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 3 | 9 - 3 | 4 - 2 | 5 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 10 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 5 | 2 - 4 |
(#22) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has won 3 straight
Baylor has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has won 3 straight
Baylor has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WVU | BAY |
| OverallOver | #48 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #31 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #94 | #90 |
| Special TeamsST | #18 | #2 |
| PassingPass | #59 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #47 | #25 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #8 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #11 | #49 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #64 | #21 |
| TacklingTkl | #10 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #38 | #51 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #87 | #96 |
| Coverage DefCov | #109 | #98 |
Rematch from Week 12
Baylor 2.0 (60.0)
Baylor won at West Virginia this year (49-35)
Previous Matchups
Baylor beat West Virginia last year (49-35)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2023 (34-31)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2022 (43-40)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BAY | WVU
Depth Chart: BAY | WVU
Rosters: BAY | WVU
(#63) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 3.57 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
West Virginia has won 2 straight
West Virginia has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)
Power Rating: 3.57 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
West Virginia has won 2 straight
West Virginia has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Dequan Finn (Tr) | 23 | 43 | 54% | 307 | 3 | 2 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr) | 45 | 567 | 5 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Monaray Baldwin | 27 | 478 | 5 | 17.7 | 46 |
| Hal Presley | 31 | 429 | 3 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Treven Ma'ae | 40 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Garmon Randolph | 33 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorando Johnson (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Caden Jenkins | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Greene | 189 | 316 | 60% | 2300 | 15 | 12 | 7.3 |
| Nicco Marchiol | 37 | 56 | 66% | 434 | 5 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahiem White | 149 | 845 | 7 | 5.7 | 55 |
| Garrett Greene | 133 | 751 | 6 | 5.6 | 56 |
| CJ Donaldson | 163 | 734 | 11 | 4.5 | 48 |
| Nicco Marchiol | 40 | 120 | 2 | 3.0 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Clement | 51 | 741 | 5 | 14.5 | 44 |
| Kole Taylor | 43 | 448 | 3 | 10.4 | 39 |
| Traylon Ray | 28 | 426 | 4 | 15.2 | 54 |
| Rodney Gallagher | 26 | 288 | 3 | 11.1 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Wilson | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Josiah Trotter | 93 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Lathan | 79 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Tyrin Bradley | 56 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Jackson (Tr) | 40 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Martin | 23 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Hammond Russell IV | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Lathan | 79 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr) | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Tyrin Bradley | 56 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Anthony Wilson | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |