Baylor at Texas Tech - 2022 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -1.5 (61.0)
Baylor 45 - Texas Tech: 17  (Big 12)

 
Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ BAY -3)
Projected Score: BAY: 21 - TTU: 40 (61)
TTU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Baylor vs UAlbany-42.546.5W 69 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Baylor at BYU+2.554.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Baylor vs Texas State-30.053.0W 42 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Baylor at Iowa State+2.545.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-2.556.0L 25 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13 Baylor at West Virginia-3.055.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 10/22 Baylor vs Kansas-10.556.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 10/29 Baylor at Texas Tech+1.561.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/5 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.061.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Baylor vs Kansas State-2.552.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Baylor vs TCU+2.058.0L 28 - 29UY
Fri 11/25 Baylor at Texas+10.055.0L 27 - 38ON
Thu 12/22 Baylor vs Air Force-3.542.0L 15 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas Tech vs Murray State-38.064.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Texas Tech vs Houston-3.562.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/17 Texas Tech at NC State+10.555.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 9/24 Texas Tech vs Texas+7.060.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State+7.556.0L 28 - 37ON
Sat 10/8 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State+11.066.0L 31 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-5.065.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 10/29 Texas Tech vs Baylor-1.561.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Texas Tech at TCU+8.569.0L 24 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Texas Tech vs Kansas-3.563.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 11/19 Texas Tech at Iowa State+3.547.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma+2.065.5W 51 - 48OY
Wed 12/28 Texas Tech vs Ole Miss+4.573.0W 42 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.2745%31.146%3.2621944%2034.1537%32.635%39%3.0448.41.11.8
TTU.2947%39.448%3.2315947%2574.49.2844%11.342%46%4.644.61.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1431.133.245%41.1214222192035.459%41%46%44%15%.27
TTU Defense1311.38.744.4%4.61.2 - - - - - 48%52%42%46%17%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1432.639.237%3.041.8 - - - - - 47%52%35%39%20%.15
TTU Offense1339.447.947%4.491.5204161592574.751%49%48%47%18%.29

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1431:2320.742%63%5.448.41.11.87.43.1331.3
Texas Tech1327:5819.543%48%5.244.61.51.24.71.5227.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1459%46%40.9219.35.429.283.2674%11%1.19
TTU Defense1348%42% - - - - .172.9666%9%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1447%35% - - - - .12.7675%13%1.08
TTU Offense1351%48%33.5159.14.730.223.2390%11%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1441%44%16.926.1203.17.812247.261.629%32%.334%1.8
TTU Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 10.391.730%35%.488%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1452%39% - - - - - - 19.221.635%26%.217%2.2
TTU Offense1349%47%18.829.8257.28.613.71811.41.627%33%.377%2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7  #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Texas Tech: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 11.7   Texas Tech: 8.5




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #41
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #18
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 40
Baylor 21

Projected Total Points: 61
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Texas Tech35Baylor59Texas Tech -4.5Baylor56.0Over
202310/07Baylor14Texas Tech39Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Under
202210/29Texas Tech17Baylor45Texas Tech -1.5Baylor61.0Over
202111/27Baylor27Texas Tech24Baylor -14Texas Tech51.5Under
202011/14Texas Tech24Baylor23Texas Tech -1Push54.5Under
201910/12Baylor33Texas Tech30Baylor -10.5Texas Tech58.5Over
201811/24Texas Tech24Baylor35Texas Tech -6Baylor63.5Under
201711/11Baylor24Texas Tech38Texas Tech -9.5Texas Tech67.5Under
201611/25Texas Tech54Baylor35Baylor -2.5Texas Tech83.0Over
201510/03Baylor63Texas Tech35Baylor -15.5Baylor88.0Over
201411/29Texas Tech46Baylor48Baylor -21.5Texas Tech0
201311/16Baylor63Texas Tech34Baylor -27Baylor0
201211/24Texas Tech45Baylor52
201111/26Baylor66Texas Tech42
201010/09Texas Tech45Baylor38
200911/28Baylor13Texas Tech20
200811/29Texas Tech35Baylor28
200711/03Baylor7Texas Tech38
200611/04Texas Tech55Baylor21
200510/29Baylor0Texas Tech28
200411/06Texas Tech42Baylor17
200311/08Baylor14Texas Tech62
200211/02Texas Tech62Baylor11
200110/27Baylor19Texas Tech63
200010/06Texas Tech28Baylor0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech1565 Overs
Baylor1055 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#) BAY at (#) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #41
Perf GradeGrade #27 #84
OffenseOff #25 #90
DefenseDef #42 #81
Spec TeamsST #65 #53
TalentTal #41 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #68 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #24 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #13 #53
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCatTTU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffBAY Def
Run GameRun #45 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatTTU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePass #94 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #79 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Texas Tech -1.5 (61.0)
Baylor won at Texas Tech this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Texas Tech in 2024 (59-35)
Texas Tech beat Baylor in 2023 (39-14)

  
BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD