Kansas at Baylor - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Kansas -2.5 (62.5) (-125) Open: -1.5 | 61.5
Baylor 45 - Kansas: 17 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

KU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Baylor -7.5 (SP+ BAY -4)
Projected Score: KU: 26 - BAY: 34 (58)
KU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 522 miles

Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Kansas vs Lindenwood	-48.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas at Illinois	-4.5	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas vs UNLV	-7.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/21	Kansas at West Virginia	+1.5	56.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas vs TCU	-1.5	58.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas at Arizona State	+2.5	50.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas vs Houston	-4.5	45.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas at Kansas State	+10.0	56.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Kansas vs Iowa State	+2.5	50.5	W 45 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas at BYU	+3.0	55.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kansas vs Colorado	+2.5	59.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas at Baylor	-2.5	62.5	L 17 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Baylor's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Baylor vs Tarleton State	-33.5	53.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Baylor at Utah	+14.5	52.5	L 12 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Baylor vs Air Force	-17.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Baylor at Colorado	+2.5	52.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Baylor vs BYU	-3.0	47.0	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/5	Baylor at Iowa State	+13.0	45.0	L 21 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Baylor at Texas Tech	+4.5	56.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-7.0	64.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Baylor vs TCU	-2.5	64.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Baylor at West Virginia	-2.0	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Baylor at Houston	-7.0	51.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Baylor vs Kansas	+2.5	62.5	W 45 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Baylor vs LSU	-3.0	62.5	L 31 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#5 (.4)	48% (13)	29.7	47% (28)	3.42 (10)	206	51% (9)	240	4.43 (27)	#83 (.2)	45% (108)	26	46% (101)	44% (102)	4.15 (102)	56.9	1.3	1.5
BAY	#90 (.15)	39% (102)	34.4	40% (107)	2.99 (91)	115	39% (90)	263	3.12 (118)	#130 (.32)	46% (118)	26.7	46% (98)	47% (123)	4.36 (116)	28.9	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	13	29.7	22.8	48.1%	4.43	1.3	21	446	206	240	5.4	59%	40%	47%	51%	13%	.4
BAY Defense	12	26.7	19.8	45.7%	4.36	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	47%	17%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	13	26	29.5	44.9%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	44%	15%	.2
BAY Offense	12	34.4	37.3	39.5%	3.12	1.3	20	378	115	263	3.3	46%	54%	40%	39%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	13	30:55	21.5	48%	37%	5.6	56.9	1.3	1.5	4.6	1.8	4	28.4
Baylor	12	31:42	19.8	36%	46%	4.1	28.9	1.3	1.3	5	1.5	2	28.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	13	59% (13)	47% (28)	38.4	206	5.4	32 (10)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	75% (52)	8% (30)	1.06 (36)
BAY Defense	12	54% (114)	46% (98)	-	-	-	-	.24 (115)	3.27 (103)	70% (51)	11% (53)	1.16 (121)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	13	52% (95)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.2 (101)	3.23 (99)	78% (98)	8% (111)	1 (73)
BAY Offense	12	46% (99)	40% (107)	34.4	114.8	3.3	13 (108)	.09 (101)	2.99 (91)	74% (63)	12% (103)	1.03 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	13	40% (122)	51% (9)	15.4	23.9	240.1	10	15.6	24 (41)	11 (68)	.67 (1)	1.9 (4)	31% (52)	35% (24)	.5 (18)	5% (26)	2.2 (20)
BAY Defense	12	45% (21)	47% (123)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.47 (131)	1.7 (107)	30% (101)	38% (129)	.52 (130)	6% (75)	2.2 (102)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	13	48% (43)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.23 (47)	1.5 (23)	31% (75)	30% (59)	.29 (51)	7% (48)	2 (50)
BAY Offense	12	54% (31)	39% (90)	21.9	36.8	263	7.1	12	15 (96)	7 (21)	.22 (90)	1.6 (79)	34% (109)	26% (103)	.18 (111)	6% (77)	1.8 (123)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 686.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04 Baylor: 12.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9 Baylor: 8.4

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.785 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 34
Kansas 26

Projected Total Points: 58

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Baylor	45	Kansas	17	Baylor	Kansas -2.5	Baylor	62.5	Under
2022	10/22	Baylor	35	Kansas	23	Baylor	Baylor -10.5	Baylor	56.5	Over
2021	09/18	Kansas	7	Baylor	45	Baylor	Baylor -17	Baylor	48.5	Over
2020	09/26	Baylor	47	Kansas	14	Baylor	Baylor -17.5	Baylor	61.0	Push
2019	11/30	Kansas	6	Baylor	61	Baylor	Baylor -14	Baylor	48.0	Over
2018	09/22	Baylor	26	Kansas	7	Baylor	Baylor -7.5	Baylor	54.5	Under
2017	11/04	Kansas	9	Baylor	38	Baylor	Baylor -7	Baylor	59.5	Under
2016	10/15	Baylor	49	Kansas	7	Baylor	Baylor -35	Baylor	65.0	Under
2015	10/10	Kansas	7	Baylor	66	Baylor	Baylor -38	Baylor	76.5	Under
2014	11/01	Baylor	60	Kansas	14	Baylor	Baylor -33.5	Baylor	0
2013	10/26	Kansas	14	Baylor	59	Baylor	Baylor -35.5	Baylor	0
2012	11/03	Baylor	41	Kansas	14	Baylor
2011	11/12	Kansas	30	Baylor	31	Baylor
2010	10/02	Baylor	55	Kansas	7	Baylor
2007	10/13	Kansas	58	Baylor	10	Kansas
2006	10/21	Baylor	36	Kansas	35	Baylor
2003	10/18	Kansas	28	Baylor	21	Kansas
2002	10/05	Baylor	35	Kansas	32	Baylor

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	16	11	3 Overs
Kansas	2	0	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 6	6 - 5	5 - 0	1 - 5
Road Teams	6 - 12	5 - 6	5 - 1	0 - 5

(#41) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.04 #41
Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 686.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas Notes
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth

Kansas Ratings Matchup Baylor

Power #41

#22

Off #3

#20

Def #98

#30

Talent #60

#39

SP+ #50

#38

SP+ Off #32

#25

SP+ Def #68

#63

Rematch from Week 14
Kansas 2.5 (62.5)
Baylor won vs Kansas this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Kansas last year (45-17)
Baylor beat Kansas in 2022 (35-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 52° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: KU | BAY
Depth Chart: KU | BAY
Rosters: KU | BAY

(#22) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.785 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great

Kansas's OC Jeff Grimes

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Sevion Morrison	27	164	2	6.1	38
Cole Ballard	5	42	0	8.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	3	33	0	11.0	17
Douglas Emilien	3	20	1	6.7	8
Sevion Morrison	1	18	0	18.0	18
Mack Moeller	1	7	0	7.0	7

View Kansas's Full Roster

Kansas's DC Brian Borland

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Davis	33	1	0	0	1
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Dylan Wudke (Tr)	23	4	1	2	0
D.J. Withers	21	4	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
D.J. Withers	21	4	3	0	1
Tommy Dunn	16	4	2	0	0
Dylan Wudke (Tr)	23	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Jalen Todd	9	0	0	0	2
Taylor Davis	33	1	0	0	1

Baylor's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sawyer Robertson	229	368	62%	3071	28	8	8.3
Dequan Finn (Tr)	23	43	54%	307	3	2	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Washington	175	1028	12	5.9	51
Dawson Pendergrass	121	671	6	5.5	55
Richard Reese	58	241	1	4.2	28
Sawyer Robertson	63	230	4	3.7	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Cameron	52	754	10	14.5	47
Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr)	45	567	5	12.6	35
Michael Trigg (Tr)	30	395	3	13.2	42
Bryson Washington	22	217	1	9.9	23

View Baylor's Full Roster

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Devyn Bobby	75	3	0	0	2
Jackie Marshall	41	5	2	5	0
Carl Williams IV	36	6	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Jackie Marshall	41	5	2	5	0
Carl Williams IV	36	6	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	10
Caden Jenkins	25	0	4
Corey Gordon	33	2	2