West Virginia at Baylor - 2021 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -1.0 (45.0)
Baylor 45 - West Virginia: 20 (Big 12)

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BAY is playing their 6th straight game
WVU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ BAY -14)
Projected Score: WVU: 26 - BAY: 31 (57)
BAY Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WVU Travel: 1112 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bears (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	West Virginia at Maryland	-2.5	56.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	West Virginia vs Long Island University	-50.0	56.0	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	West Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-2.0	49.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/25	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+17.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	-7.5	55.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	West Virginia at Baylor	+1.0	45.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	West Virginia at TCU	+5.0	58.0	W 29 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+7.5	49.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	+3.5	48.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	West Virginia at Kansas State	+6.0	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/20	West Virginia vs Texas	-2.5	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	West Virginia at Kansas	-15.5	55.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Tue 12/28	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Baylor's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Baylor at Texas State	-13.5	52.5	W 29 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/11	Baylor vs Texas Southern	-44.5	53.0	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Baylor at Kansas	-17.0	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Baylor vs Iowa State	+7.0	46.0	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Baylor at Oklahoma State	+3.5	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Baylor vs West Virginia	-1.0	45.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Baylor vs BYU	-5.5	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Baylor vs Texas	-2.0	61.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Baylor at TCU	-7.5	57.0	L 28 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+4.0	63.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Baylor at Kansas State	+2.5	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-14.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/4	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	+7.0	45.0	W 21 - 16	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Baylor vs Ole Miss	+1.0	60.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	.12	40%	21.8	36%	2.51	135	43%	278	3.06	.07	37%	30.8	39%	35%	2.94	74.1	1.2	1.3
BAY	.05	34%	31.1	34%	2.15	91	34%	220	3.33	.13	40%	32.6	41%	39%	4.17	62.4	1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	10	21.8	20.8	40.2%	3.06	1.2	22	413	135	278	3.8	42%	58%	36%	43%	19%	.12
BAY Defense	9	32.6	27.9	40%	4.17	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	41%	39%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	10	30.8	33.5	37.2%	2.94	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	39%	35%	19%	.07
BAY Offense	9	31.1	29.6	34.2%	3.33	1	18	311	91	220	2.8	42%	58%	34%	34%	20%	.05

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	10	31:49	21.9	41%	55%	8.2	74.1	1.2	1.3	6.2	2.1	1	29.3
Baylor	9	29:08	18.3	33%	60%	7.1	62.4	1	1.9	6.6	2	4	29.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	10	42%	36%	35.8	135	3.8	15	.01	2.51	68%	12%	1.11
BAY Defense	9	55%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.78	67%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	10	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.49	63%	12%	0.94
BAY Offense	9	42%	34%	33	91.2	2.8	8	-.03	2.15	79%	13%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	10	58%	43%	25.3	40.1	277.5	6.9	11	16	4	.2	1.4	35%	34%	.33	7%	2
BAY Defense	9	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	33%	29%	.31	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	10	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.1	1.5	33%	29%	.32	7%	2
BAY Offense	9	58%	34%	22.8	36.8	219.9	6	9.7	14	8	.11	1.5	37%	25%	.2	7%	2.1

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
West Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #76
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: Baylor: 10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 1.8 Baylor: 15.6

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 10.3 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2021 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6 #15
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 31
West Virginia 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	West Virginia	35	Baylor	49	Baylor -2	Baylor	60.0	Over
2023	11/25	Baylor	31	West Virginia	34	West Virginia -6.5	Baylor	53.5	Over
2022	10/13	West Virginia	43	Baylor	40	Baylor -3.0	West Virginia	55.0	Over
2021	10/09	Baylor	45	West Virginia	20	Baylor -1.0	Baylor	45.0	Over
2020	10/03	West Virginia	27	Baylor	21	Baylor -1.5	West Virginia	54.5	Under
2019	10/31	Baylor	17	West Virginia	14	Baylor -19	West Virginia	57.0	Under
2018	10/25	West Virginia	58	Baylor	14	West Virginia -14.5	West Virginia	67.0	Over
2017	10/21	Baylor	36	West Virginia	38	West Virginia -10.5	Baylor	67.5	Over
2016	12/03	West Virginia	24	Baylor	21	West Virginia -14.5	Baylor	69.0	Under
2015	10/17	Baylor	62	West Virginia	38	Baylor -18	Baylor	75.5	Over
2014	10/18	West Virginia	41	Baylor	27	Baylor -9.5	West Virginia	0
2013	10/05	Baylor	73	West Virginia	42	Baylor -30	Baylor	0
2012	09/29	West Virginia	70	Baylor	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	5	7	7 Overs
West Virginia	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 3	9 - 3	4 - 2	5 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 10	3 - 9	1 - 5	2 - 4

(#) WVU at (#) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WVU	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#15
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#13
OffenseOff	#68	#9
DefenseDef	#81	#27
Spec TeamsST	#88	#76
TalentTal	#56	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

West Virginia Injury Report

Baylor Injury Report

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	#102	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#55

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#32	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#22	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#99
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Baylor -1.0 (45.0)
Baylor won vs West Virginia this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat West Virginia in 2024 (49-35)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2023 (34-31)

WVU's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD