Kansas at Baylor - 2022 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -10.5 (56.5)
Baylor 35 - Kansas: 23  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lance Leipold (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KU 2nd straight Road Game
KU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ BAY -9)
Projected Score: KU: 27 - BAY: 30 (57)
BAY Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
KU Travel: 522 miles
Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Kansas vs Tennessee Tech-30.562.0W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Kansas at West Virginia+14.059.5W 55 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Kansas at Houston+8.558.0W 48 - 30OY
Sat 9/24 Kansas vs Duke-7.566.0W 35 - 27UY
Sat 10/1 Kansas vs Iowa State+3.559.0W 14 - 11UY
Sat 10/8 Kansas vs TCU+7.070.0L 31 - 38UY
Sat 10/15 Kansas at Oklahoma+10.566.0L 42 - 52OY
Sat 10/22 Kansas at Baylor+10.556.5L 23 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-3.059.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 11/12 Kansas at Texas Tech+3.563.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 11/19 Kansas vs Texas+9.063.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/26 Kansas at Kansas State+11.562.0L 27 - 47ON
Wed 12/28 Kansas vs Arkansas+1.570.5L 53 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Baylor's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Baylor vs UAlbany-42.546.5W 69 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Baylor at BYU+2.554.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Baylor vs Texas State-30.053.0W 42 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Baylor at Iowa State+2.545.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-2.556.0L 25 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13 Baylor at West Virginia-3.055.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 10/22 Baylor vs Kansas-10.556.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 10/29 Baylor at Texas Tech+1.561.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/5 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.061.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Baylor vs Kansas State-2.552.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Baylor vs TCU+2.058.0L 28 - 29UY
Fri 11/25 Baylor at Texas+10.055.0L 27 - 38ON
Thu 12/22 Baylor vs Air Force-3.542.0L 15 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU.1538%28.136%2.9114041%1853.79.4355%26.856%54%5.0533.71.11.2
BAY.2745%31.146%3.2621944%2034.1537%32.635%39%3.0448.41.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1228.121.837.8%3.791.1163241401853.956%43%36%41%17%.15
BAY Defense1432.627.937%3.041.8 - - - - - 47%52%35%39%20%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1226.833.254.8%5.051.2 - - - - - 59%40%56%54%11%.43
BAY Offense1431.129.645%41.1214222192035.459%41%46%44%15%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:4916.336%37%4.133.71.11.23.61.3230.1
Baylor1431:2320.742%63%5.448.41.11.87.43.1331.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1256%36%36.3139.53.915.092.9156%11%1
BAY Defense1447%35% - - - - .12.7675%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1259%56% - - - - .383.8279%8%1.05
BAY Offense1459%46%40.9219.35.429.283.2674%11%1.19

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1243%41%16.326.5184.8711.41510.311.732%28%.356%2.2
BAY Defense1452%39% - - - - - - 19.221.635%26%.217%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1240%54% - - - - - - 7.581.624%40%.644%2
BAY Offense1441%44%16.926.1203.17.812247.261.629%32%.334%1.8

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: NR
Kansas's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kansas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #61
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #14
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #109

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas:    Baylor: 8.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 2.9   Baylor: 11.7




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 8.35 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7  #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 30
Kansas 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Baylor45Kansas17Kansas -2.5Baylor62.5Under
202210/22Baylor35Kansas23Baylor -10.5Baylor56.5Over
202109/18Kansas7Baylor45Baylor -17Baylor48.5Over
202009/26Baylor47Kansas14Baylor -17.5Baylor61.0Push
201911/30Kansas6Baylor61Baylor -14Baylor48.0Over
201809/22Baylor26Kansas7Baylor -7.5Baylor54.5Under
201711/04Kansas9Baylor38Baylor -7Baylor59.5Under
201610/15Baylor49Kansas7Baylor -35Baylor65.0Under
201510/10Kansas7Baylor66Baylor -38Baylor76.5Under
201411/01Baylor60Kansas14Baylor -33.5Baylor0
201310/26Kansas14Baylor59Baylor -35.5Baylor0
201211/03Baylor41Kansas14
201111/12Kansas30Baylor31
201010/02Baylor55Kansas7
200710/13Kansas58Baylor10
200610/21Baylor36Kansas35
200310/18Kansas28Baylor21
200210/05Baylor35Kansas32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor16113 Overs
Kansas205 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 66 - 55 - 01 - 5
Road Teams6 - 125 - 65 - 10 - 5

(#) KU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #30
Perf GradeGrade #69 #27
OffenseOff #33 #25
DefenseDef #109 #42
Spec TeamsST #94 #65
TalentTal #70 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCat
KU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffBAY Def
Run GameRun #73 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
KU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePass #30 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #53 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #109
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
Run GameRun #68 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #84
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #24 #96
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #13 #91
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Baylor -10.5 (56.5)
Baylor won vs Kansas this year (35-23)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Kansas in 2024 (45-17)

  
KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD