Baylor at Arizona - 2025 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Bears (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 38 - 30 (48 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Baylor -0.5   (SP+ BAY -0.5)

Projected Score: BAY: 32 - ARIZ: 32 (64)
BAY Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
BAY Travel: 812 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Wildcats (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (37 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Baylor vs Auburn+1.557.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU+3.065.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford-51.565.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State-1.560.5
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU+8.5
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati+4
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah+6
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona-0.5
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston-9.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-16.5
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+1.5
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-3
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-1
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+7
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor+0.5
Sat 11/29 Arizona at Arizona State+8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#50 (.26)44% (59)3841% (90)3.26 (39)14947% (46)3684.09 (64)#98 (.19)45% (105)3047% (108)41% (77)4.23 (96)54.71.31.7
ARIZ#20 (.39)40% (96)3737% (113)3.44 (30)19045% (60)2482.83 (118)#13 (-.07)30% (11)8.735% (37)27% (11)1 (3)63.30.72.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense3384844.4%4.091.328517149368437%62%41%47%11%.26
ARIZ Defense38.78.729.9%12.7 - - - - - 38%61%35%27%26%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense3304544.9%4.231.7 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%15%.19
ARIZ Offense3373740.2%2.830.7234381902484.956%44%37%45%12%.39

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor331:082837%53%5.354.71.31.74.31.7030
Arizona331:1622.741%80%8.363.30.72.78.32.7139.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense337% (128)41% (90)37149.345 (62).11 (80)3.26 (39)73% (65)7% (30)0.98 (62)
ARIZ Defense338% (5)35% (37) - - - - -.15 (13)2.24 (24)0% (2)14% (20)0.91 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense364% (132)47% (108) - - - - .16 (105)3.28 (121)100% (127)9% (88)0.9 (58)
ARIZ Offense356% (32)37% (113)38.7189.74.96 (49).4 (10)3.44 (30)71% (67)9% (76)1.62 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense362% (8)47% (46)29.747.33687.812.410 (7)2 (60).35 (59)1.6 (57)30% (64)39% (28).52 (36)5% (60)1.9 (84)
ARIZ Defense361% (133)27% (11) - - - - - - 5 (6)-.02 (19)1 (3)35% (45)18% (20).21 (58)11% (4)1.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense334% (4)41% (77) - - - - - - 4 (12).32 (102)1.5 (50)26% (126)24% (40).19 (54)6% (56)1.5 (14)
ARIZ Offense344% (98)45% (60)16.328.3248.38.815.26 (34)1 (23).39 (49)1.5 (80)26% (33)30% (76).66 (23)3% (22)2.3 (26)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Baylor's Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Baylor's Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 14.43   Arizona: 11.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 10.3   Arizona: 9.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 11.71 #58
Arizona's Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Arizona's Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 48
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 32
Arizona 32


Total Points: 64

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 8.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona000 Overs
Baylor000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#40) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Baylor has lost 7 straight
Baylor has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Baylor Notes
(8/11) #2 RB Pendergrass out for season (foot inj)
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24
(5/13) OC Spavital was good hire, offense took off LY
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).

Baylor Highlights
Baylor defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor has a bad defense (#105)
Baylor Does Not Stuff Runs (#122)
Baylor has a bad defensive line (#121)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZBAY
OverallOver#26#66
OffenseOff#49#56
DefenseDef#10#79
Special TeamsST#105#101
PassingPass#34#77
RushingRush#26#92
Run BlockRBLK#30#23
Pass BlockPBLK#74#71
Route RunningWR Rt#87#45
TacklingTkl#57#77
Run DefenseR Def#24#105
Pass Rush DefPRush#37#93
Coverage DefCov#5#16

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BAY | ARIZ
Depth Chart: BAY | ARIZ
Rosters: BAY | ARIZ
(#58) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 11.71 #58
Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Great in Scoring Position 1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Arizona has lost 7 straight
Arizona has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Notes
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY

Arizona Highlights
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread
Arizona in Undefeated
Arizona is Undefeated at Home
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Arizona offense is explosive (#8)
Arizona has a top Offensive Line (#30)
Arizona has a really good defense (#11)
Arizona defense does not give up big plays (#6)
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a good pass defense (#11)
Arizona Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#19)
Arizona Defensive Line is very good (#24)
Arizona Front 7 is disruptive (#20)
Arizona Secondary is very good (#4)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)
Arizona defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)


  
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson8413562%10701027.9
Nate Bennett5771%34004.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington6630444.631
Caden Knighten238913.917
Michael Turner63606.013
Sawyer Robertson131200.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashtyn Hawkins17257015.136
Josh Cameron15244316.348
Kole Wilson (Tr)13182014.057
Michael Trigg13151111.620

View Baylor's Full Roster
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaton Thomas301000
Devyn Bobby160000
Jacob Redding120000
Travion Barnes (Tr)111100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)63200
Kendrick Simpkins62110
Micah Gifford31100
Travion Barnes (Tr)111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Coleman101012
Taz Williams Jr.00001
Tyler Turner (Tr)60001

Arizona's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita467859%712609.1
Braedyn Locke (Tr)2450%11002.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)3726317.160
Quincy Craig (Tr)1816519.254
Kedrick Reescano105115.113
Noah Fifita283731.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javin Whatley (Tr)13237218.285
Luke Wysong (Tr)597019.431
Brandon Phelps576115.242
Chris Hunter565013.018

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Taye Brown160010
Dalton Johnson160001
Max Harris (Tr)102010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy83230
Jay'Vion Cole (Tr)61101
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)85110
Jabari Mann62110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Michael Dansby (Tr)81003
Ayden Garnes (Tr)60013