Baylor at Arizona Game Matchup

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ (Big 12)

Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)

ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Baylor -8.5 (SP+ BAY -8)
Projected Score: BAY: 33 - ARIZ: 24 (57)
BAY Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 812 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#108)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Baylor vs Auburn	+1.5	56.5		U	Y
Sat 9/6	Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13	Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20	Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27	Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4	Baylor vs Kansas State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25	Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1	Baylor vs UCF
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22	Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29	Baylor vs Houston

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Arizona's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arizona vs Hawai'i
Sat 9/6	Arizona vs Weber State
Fri 9/12	Arizona vs Kansas State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Arizona at Iowa State
Sat 10/4	Arizona vs Oklahoma State
Sat 10/11	Arizona vs BYU
Sat 10/18	Arizona at Houston
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Arizona at Colorado
Sat 11/8	Arizona vs Kansas
Sat 11/15	Arizona at Cincinnati
Sat 11/22	Arizona vs Baylor
Sat 11/29	Arizona at Arizona State

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)	34.4	46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)	26.7	38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)	21.8	37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)	31.8	45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	13	34.4	32	46.8%	4.28	1	21	401	174	227	5	52%	48%	46%	48%	12%	.25
ARIZ Defense	12	31.8	27.7	44.6%	4.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	45%	44%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	13	26.7	30.7	39.4%	3.85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	42%	15%	.18
ARIZ Offense	12	21.8	24.6	38.5%	3.53	1.7	19	355	107	248	3.9	39%	61%	37%	40%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	13	25:48	20.6	44%	61%	5.8	58.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.8	2	31.5
Arizona	12	29:45	18.5	43%	42%	6.5	57.6	1.7	1.2	4.8	1.7	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	13	52% (61)	46% (37)	35.1	174.3	5	23 (52)	.18 (41)	3.19 (43)	77% (42)	7% (9)	1.01 (50)
ARIZ Defense	12	51% (73)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.18 (100)	3.32 (115)	78% (99)	9% (94)	1.08 (109)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	13	54% (107)	38% (13)	-	-	-	-	.11 (64)	3.03 (74)	82% (122)	9% (84)	1.03 (92)
ARIZ Offense	12	39% (127)	37% (126)	27.4	106.7	3.9	11 (116)	.03 (112)	2.64 (123)	55% (134)	9% (59)	1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	13	48% (75)	48% (14)	17.2	27.8	227.1	8.2	13.2	29 (12)	9 (48)	.37 (21)	1.6 (49)	29% (29)	36% (24)	.37 (53)	6% (55)	2 (91)
ARIZ Defense	12	48% (61)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.31 (103)	1.6 (66)	31% (88)	32% (95)	.39 (101)	5% (93)	2.2 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	13	46% (29)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.26 (80)	1.7 (99)	34% (39)	31% (77)	.38 (98)	6% (80)	2.1 (83)
ARIZ Offense	12	61% (8)	40% (91)	21.8	36.4	247.9	6.8	11.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.22 (88)	1.6 (44)	36% (124)	31% (70)	.33 (71)	6% (88)	2.1 (35)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 10.57 #34
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 780.38
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.51

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 10.57 Arizona: 0.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.0 Arizona: -0.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 0.545 #76
Arizona's Offense Rating: 13.75 #69
Arizona's Defense Rating: 17.56 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 688.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Arizona's SP+ Ratings
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #66
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #66
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #64

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 780.38
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.51

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 33
Arizona 24

Projected Total Points: 57

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	0	0	0 Overs
Baylor	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#34) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.57 #34
Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Baylor Notes
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
(3/21) OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure
(3/21) Def was Avg LY. 9 portal adds. Return a lot

Baylor Ratings Matchup Arizona

Power #34

#76

Off #25

#69

Def #47

#88

Talent #49

#74

SP+ #36

#66

SP+ Off #17

#66

SP+ Def #57

#64

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BAY | ARIZ
Depth Chart: BAY | ARIZ
Rosters: BAY | ARIZ

(#76) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.545 #76
Offense Rating: 13.75 #69
Defense Rating: 17.56 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #64
Talent Rating: 688.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona Notes
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) WR Hunter back, 4 portal adds. Some talent
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY

Baylor's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sawyer Robertson	229	368	62%	3071	28	8	8.3
Walker White (Tr)	2	5	40%	18	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Washington	175	1028	12	5.9	51
Dawson Pendergrass	121	671	6	5.5	55
Sawyer Robertson	63	230	4	3.7	45
Walker White (Tr)	4	18	0	4.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Cameron	52	754	10	14.5	47
Kole Wilson (Tr)	43	630	4	14.7	53
Michael Trigg	30	395	3	13.2	42
Bryson Washington	22	217	1	9.9	23

View Baylor's Full Roster

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Devyn Bobby	75	3	0	0	2
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Fobbs-White (Tr)	21	8	4	0	1
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4
Caden Jenkins	25	0	0	0	4
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3

Arizona's OC Seth Doege

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	260	430	61%	2958	18	12	6.9
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)	183	991	4	5.4	45
Kedrick Reescano	78	359	1	4.6	56
Mike Mitchell (Tr)	47	158	1	3.4	18
Luke Wysong (Tr)	9	55	0	6.1	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Wysong (Tr)	69	840	1	12.2	53
Kris Hutson (Tr)	55	691	2	12.6	59
Chris Hunter	35	323	3	9.2	45
Keyan Burnett (Tr)	18	217	1	12.1	35

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	78	5	0	0	2
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	0	6
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos (Tr)	22	2	2	0	0
Chase Kennedy	17	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Michael Dansby (Tr)	37	1	0	6
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	6
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	4