Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0) (-185) Open: -7.5
Baylor 59 - Texas Tech: 35 (Big 12)
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Wind: 20.5 MPH
BAY coming off BYE
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Baylor -4.5 (SP+ BAY -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - TTU: 29 (67)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
BAY coming off BYE
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Baylor -4.5 (SP+ BAY -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - TTU: 29 (67)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian | -34.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Texas Tech at Washington State | -2.5 | 64.5 | L 16 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Texas Tech vs North Texas | -10.5 | 70.5 | W 66 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Texas Tech vs Arizona State | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 30 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Texas Tech vs Cincinnati | -3.0 | 60.0 | W 44 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Texas Tech at Arizona | +6.0 | 64.0 | W 28 - 22 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Texas Tech vs Baylor | -4.5 | 56.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Texas Tech at TCU | +5.0 | 66.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Texas Tech at Iowa State | +13.5 | 55.0 | W 23 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas Tech vs Colorado | +5.0 | 62.0 | L 27 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Texas Tech at Oklahoma State | -5.0 | 63.5 | W 56 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Texas Tech vs West Virginia | -2.5 | 61.5 | W 52 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/27 | Texas Tech vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 52.5 | L 26 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #90 (.15) | 39% (102) | 34.4 | 40% (107) | 2.99 (91) | 115 | 39% (90) | 263 | 3.12 (118) | #130 (.32) | 46% (118) | 26.7 | 46% (98) | 47% (123) | 4.36 (116) | 28.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| TTU | #92 (.15) | 42% (59) | 37.6 | 47% (26) | 3.36 (17) | 163 | 39% (97) | 224 | 3.91 (70) | #51 (.16) | 41% (54) | 34.8 | 42% (63) | 40% (51) | 3.46 (42) | 49.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TTU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 12 | 34.4 | 32 | 39.5% | 3.12 | 1.3 | 20 | 378 | 115 | 263 | 3.3 | 46% | 54% | 40% | 39% | 18% | .15 |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 34.8 | 35.7 | 40.9% | 3.46 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 42% | 40% | 15% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 12 | 26.7 | 30.7 | 45.7% | 4.36 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 46% | 47% | 17% | .32 |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 37.6 | 43.7 | 42.5% | 3.91 | 1.8 | 22 | 387 | 163 | 224 | 4.5 | 47% | 51% | 47% | 39% | 15% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 12 | 31:42 | 19.8 | 36% | 46% | 4.1 | 28.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.5 | 2 | 28.6 |
| Texas Tech | 13 | 28:45 | 21.9 | 40% | 65% | 5.4 | 49.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 30 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 12 | 46% (99) | 40% (107) | 34.4 | 114.8 | 3.3 | 13 (108) | .09 (101) | 2.99 (91) | 74% (63) | 12% (103) | 1.03 (53) |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 48% (42) | 42% (63) | - | - | - | - | .15 (73) | 3.14 (76) | 61% (11) | 9% (101) | 1 (74) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 12 | 54% (114) | 46% (98) | - | - | - | - | .24 (115) | 3.27 (103) | 70% (51) | 11% (53) | 1.16 (121) |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 47% (90) | 47% (26) | 36.5 | 162.8 | 4.5 | 17 (81) | .21 (32) | 3.36 (17) | 76% (47) | 7% (12) | 0.99 (69) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 12 | 54% (31) | 39% (90) | 21.9 | 36.8 | 263 | 7.1 | 12 | 15 (96) | 7 (21) | .22 (90) | 1.6 (79) | 34% (109) | 26% (103) | .18 (111) | 6% (77) | 1.8 (123) |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (26) | .21 (37) | 1.5 (22) | 30% (100) | 28% (42) | .32 (74) | 6% (71) | 2.2 (108) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 12 | 45% (21) | 47% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .47 (131) | 1.7 (107) | 30% (101) | 38% (129) | .52 (130) | 6% (75) | 2.2 (102) |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 51% (46) | 39% (97) | 21.8 | 36.2 | 223.8 | 6.2 | 10.2 | 24 (41) | 18 (128) | .16 (111) | 1.5 (116) | 30% (44) | 27% (94) | .24 (97) | 8% (118) | 1.9 (120) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.17 Texas Tech: 5.695
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Texas Tech: 4.3
Baylor: 12.17 Texas Tech: 5.695
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Texas Tech: 4.3
Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 34
Texas Tech 29
Projected Total Points: 67
Baylor 34
Texas Tech 29
Projected Total Points: 67
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | 59 | Baylor | Texas Tech -4.5 | Baylor | 56.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/07 | Baylor | 14 | Texas Tech | 39 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -2.5 | Texas Tech | 59.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Texas Tech | 17 | Baylor | 45 | Baylor | Texas Tech -1.5 | Baylor | 61.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Baylor | 27 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | Baylor -14 | Texas Tech | 51.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | 23 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -1 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Baylor | 33 | Texas Tech | 30 | Baylor | Baylor -10.5 | Texas Tech | 58.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | 35 | Baylor | Texas Tech -6 | Baylor | 63.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Baylor | 24 | Texas Tech | 38 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -9.5 | Texas Tech | 67.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/25 | Texas Tech | 54 | Baylor | 35 | Texas Tech | Baylor -2.5 | Texas Tech | 83.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Baylor | 63 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | Baylor -15.5 | Baylor | 88.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Texas Tech | 46 | Baylor | 48 | Baylor | Baylor -21.5 | Texas Tech | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Baylor | 63 | Texas Tech | 34 | Baylor | Baylor -27 | Baylor | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Texas Tech | 45 | Baylor | 52 | Baylor | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Baylor | 66 | Texas Tech | 42 | Baylor | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Texas Tech | 45 | Baylor | 38 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Baylor | 13 | Texas Tech | 20 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | 28 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Baylor | 7 | Texas Tech | 38 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Texas Tech | 55 | Baylor | 21 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Baylor | 0 | Texas Tech | 28 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Texas Tech | 42 | Baylor | 17 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Baylor | 14 | Texas Tech | 62 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | Texas Tech | 62 | Baylor | 11 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Baylor | 19 | Texas Tech | 63 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Texas Tech | 28 | Baylor | 0 | Texas Tech |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 15 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Baylor | 10 | 5 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 12 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 5 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 13 | 7 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 5 - 2 |
(#22) Baylor Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Power #22
#55Off #20
#49Def #30
#99Talent #39
#23SP+ #38
#54SP+ Off #25
#25SP+ Def #63
#95Rematch from Week 8
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0)
Baylor won at Texas Tech this year (59-35)
Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Texas Tech last year (59-35)
Texas Tech beat Baylor in 2023 (39-14)
Baylor beat Texas Tech in 2022 (45-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 21 mph
Team Information
Injuries: BAY | TTU
Depth Chart: BAY | TTU
Rosters: BAY | TTU
(#55) Texas Tech Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Dequan Finn (Tr) | 23 | 43 | 54% | 307 | 3 | 2 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr) | 45 | 567 | 5 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Michael Trigg (Tr) | 30 | 395 | 3 | 13.2 | 42 |
| Bryson Washington | 22 | 217 | 1 | 9.9 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Williams IV | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Steve Linton (Tr) | 26 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Williams IV | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorando Johnson (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Caden Jenkins | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Corey Gordon | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behren Morton | 293 | 463 | 63% | 3300 | 27 | 8 | 7.1 |
| Will Hammond | 15 | 23 | 65% | 191 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Dickey | 25 | 150 | 1 | 6.0 | 37 |
| J'Koby Williams | 26 | 113 | 1 | 4.3 | 13 |
| Cameran Brown (Tr) | 8 | 83 | 0 | 10.4 | 22 |
| Cam'Ron Valdez | 9 | 40 | 0 | 4.4 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kelly (Tr) | 89 | 1023 | 5 | 11.5 | 41 |
| Caleb Douglas (Tr) | 55 | 765 | 6 | 13.9 | 57 |
| Coy Eakin | 45 | 605 | 6 | 13.4 | 70 |
| Jalin Conyers (Tr) | 25 | 271 | 5 | 10.8 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Ben Roberts | 74 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Chapman Lewis | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Terrell Tilmon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Smith | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden Cofield | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Chapman Lewis | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |