Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#17)
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0) (-185) Open: -7.5
Baylor 59 - Texas Tech: 35 (Big 12)
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BAY coming off BYE
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Baylor -4.5 (SP+ BAY -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - TTU: 29 (63)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Baylor -4.5 (SP+ BAY -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 34 - TTU: 29 (63)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian | -34.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Texas Tech at Washington State | -2.5 | 64.5 | L 16 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Texas Tech vs North Texas | -10.5 | 70.5 | W 66 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Texas Tech vs Arizona State | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 30 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Texas Tech vs Cincinnati | -3.0 | 60.0 | W 44 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Texas Tech at Arizona | +6.0 | 64.0 | W 28 - 22 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Texas Tech vs Baylor | -4.5 | 56.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Texas Tech at TCU | +5.0 | 66.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Texas Tech at Iowa State | +13.5 | 55.0 | W 23 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas Tech vs Colorado | +5.0 | 62.0 | L 27 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Texas Tech at Oklahoma State | -5.0 | 63.5 | W 56 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Texas Tech vs West Virginia | -2.5 | 61.5 | W 52 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/27 | Texas Tech vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 52.5 | L 26 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 34.4 | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 26.7 | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| TTU | #33 (.25) | 44% (50) | 37.6 | 45% (49) | 3.17 (45) | 150 | 43% (51) | 275 | 4.73 (7) | #104 (.23) | 44% (93) | 34.8 | 44% (76) | 44% (101) | 3.97 (83) | 59.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| TTU | #33 (.25) | 44% (50) | 45% (49) | 3.17 (45) | 150 | 43% (51) | 275 | 4.73 (7) | #104 (.23) | 44% (93) | 44% (76) | 44% (101) | 3.97 (83) | 59.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 32 | 46.8% | 4.28 | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 12% | .25 |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 34.8 | 35.7 | 43.6% | 3.97 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 54% | 44% | 44% | 13% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 30.7 | 39.4% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 15% | .18 |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 37.6 | 43.7 | 44.2% | 4.73 | 1.5 | 23 | 425 | 150 | 275 | 4.5 | 45% | 55% | 45% | 43% | 14% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 31.5 |
| Texas Tech | 13 | 27:50 | 22.8 | 49% | 52% | 7 | 59.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 45% (16) | 44% (76) | - | - | - | - | .12 (69) | 2.75 (30) | 62% (14) | 8% (108) | 1.08 (111) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 45% (104) | 45% (49) | 33.2 | 149.6 | 4.5 | 24 (45) | .17 (46) | 3.17 (45) | 72% (81) | 8% (38) | 1.05 (42) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| TTU Defense | 13 | 54% (120) | 44% (101) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .33 (108) | 1.7 (106) | 31% (91) | 36% (120) | .45 (116) | 4% (124) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
| TTU Offense | 13 | 55% (27) | 43% (51) | 24.3 | 38.6 | 275.4 | 7.1 | 11.3 | 30 (9) | 9 (48) | .31 (44) | 1.6 (77) | 32% (81) | 34% (39) | .39 (45) | 6% (66) | 2 (89) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.17 Texas Tech: 5.695
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Texas Tech: 4.3
Baylor: 12.17 Texas Tech: 5.695
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Texas Tech: 4.3
Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 34
Texas Tech 29
Total Points: 63
Baylor 34
Texas Tech 29
Total Points: 63
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | 59 | Baylor | Texas Tech -4.5 | Baylor | 56.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/07 | Baylor | 14 | Texas Tech | 39 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -2.5 | Texas Tech | 59.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Texas Tech | 17 | Baylor | 45 | Baylor | Texas Tech -1.5 | Baylor | 61.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Baylor | 27 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | Baylor -14 | Texas Tech | 51.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | 23 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -1 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Baylor | 33 | Texas Tech | 30 | Baylor | Baylor -10.5 | Texas Tech | 58.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Texas Tech | 24 | Baylor | 35 | Baylor | Texas Tech -6 | Baylor | 63.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Baylor | 24 | Texas Tech | 38 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -9.5 | Texas Tech | 67.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/25 | Texas Tech | 54 | Baylor | 35 | Texas Tech | Baylor -2.5 | Texas Tech | 83.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Baylor | 63 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | Baylor -15.5 | Baylor | 88.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Texas Tech | 46 | Baylor | 48 | Baylor | Baylor -21.5 | Texas Tech | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Baylor | 63 | Texas Tech | 34 | Baylor | Baylor -27 | Baylor | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Texas Tech | 45 | Baylor | 52 | Baylor | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Baylor | 66 | Texas Tech | 42 | Baylor | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Texas Tech | 45 | Baylor | 38 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Baylor | 13 | Texas Tech | 20 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Texas Tech | 35 | Baylor | 28 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Baylor | 7 | Texas Tech | 38 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Texas Tech | 55 | Baylor | 21 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Baylor | 0 | Texas Tech | 28 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Texas Tech | 42 | Baylor | 17 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Baylor | 14 | Texas Tech | 62 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | Texas Tech | 62 | Baylor | 11 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Baylor | 19 | Texas Tech | 63 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Texas Tech | 28 | Baylor | 0 | Texas Tech |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 15 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Baylor | 10 | 5 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 12 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 5 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 13 | 7 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 5 - 2 |
(#22) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has lost 3 straight
Baylor has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has lost 3 straight
Baylor has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TTU | BAY |
| OverallOver | #59 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #36 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #101 | #90 |
| Special TeamsST | #22 | #2 |
| PassingPass | #28 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #31 | #25 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #41 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #24 | #49 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #40 | #21 |
| TacklingTkl | #117 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #82 | #51 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #92 | #96 |
| Coverage DefCov | #104 | #98 |
Rematch from Week 8
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0)
Baylor won at Texas Tech this year (59-35)
Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Texas Tech last year (59-35)
Texas Tech beat Baylor in 2023 (39-14)
Baylor beat Texas Tech in 2022 (45-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BAY | TTU
Depth Chart: BAY | TTU
Rosters: BAY | TTU
(#55) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech has won 4 straight
Texas Tech has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Texas Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Texas Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#71)
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech has won 4 straight
Texas Tech has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Texas Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Texas Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#71)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Dequan Finn (Tr) | 23 | 43 | 54% | 307 | 3 | 2 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr) | 45 | 567 | 5 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Monaray Baldwin | 27 | 478 | 5 | 17.7 | 46 |
| Hal Presley | 31 | 429 | 3 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Treven Ma'ae | 40 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Garmon Randolph | 33 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorando Johnson (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Caden Jenkins | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behren Morton | 293 | 463 | 63% | 3300 | 27 | 8 | 7.1 |
| Will Hammond | 15 | 23 | 65% | 191 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Brooks | 286 | 1505 | 17 | 5.3 | 40 |
| Cameron Dickey | 25 | 150 | 1 | 6.0 | 37 |
| J'Koby Williams | 26 | 113 | 1 | 4.3 | 13 |
| Cameran Brown (Tr) | 8 | 83 | 0 | 10.4 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kelly (Tr) | 89 | 1023 | 5 | 11.5 | 41 |
| Caleb Douglas (Tr) | 55 | 765 | 6 | 13.9 | 57 |
| Coy Eakin | 45 | 605 | 6 | 13.4 | 70 |
| Jalin Conyers (Tr) | 25 | 271 | 5 | 10.8 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Ben Roberts | 74 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| C.J. Baskerville | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Terrell Tilmon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Smith | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Harvey Dyson III | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| C.J. Baskerville | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |