Baylor at Cincinnati Game Matchup

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH (Big 12)

Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)

BAY 2nd straight Road Game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Baylor -2 (SP+ BAY -6.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 29 - CIN: 27 (56)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 881 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Baylor vs Auburn	+1.5	56.5		U	Y
Sat 9/6	Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13	Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20	Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27	Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4	Baylor vs Kansas State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25	Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1	Baylor vs UCF
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22	Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29	Baylor vs Houston

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Cincinnati vs Nebraska	+6.5	50.5		U	Y
Sat 9/6	Cincinnati vs Bowling Green
Sat 9/13	Cincinnati vs Northwestern State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Cincinnati at Kansas
Sat 10/4	Cincinnati vs Iowa State
Sat 10/11	Cincinnati vs UCF
Sat 10/18	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/25	Cincinnati vs Baylor
Sat 11/1	Cincinnati at Utah
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Cincinnati vs Arizona
Sat 11/22	Cincinnati vs BYU
Sat 11/29	Cincinnati at TCU

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)	34.4	46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)	26.7	38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)	25.2	44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)	24.6	46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	13	34.4	32	46.8%	4.28	1	21	401	174	227	5	52%	48%	46%	48%	12%	.25
CIN Defense	12	24.6	18.8	42.2%	3.51	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	39%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	13	26.7	30.7	39.4%	3.85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	42%	15%	.18
CIN Offense	12	25.2	26.7	44.7%	3.33	1.5	22	422	185	237	5.2	50%	50%	44%	45%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	13	25:48	20.6	44%	61%	5.8	58.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.8	2	31.5
Cincinnati	12	31:42	22.1	42%	55%	5.3	44.4	1.5	1.2	5.4	1.6	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	13	52% (61)	46% (37)	35.1	174.3	5	23 (52)	.18 (41)	3.19 (43)	77% (42)	7% (9)	1.01 (50)
CIN Defense	12	51% (75)	46% (94)	-	-	-	-	.14 (77)	3.19 (98)	73% (63)	11% (51)	0.95 (49)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	13	54% (107)	38% (13)	-	-	-	-	.11 (64)	3.03 (74)	82% (122)	9% (84)	1.03 (92)
CIN Offense	12	50% (72)	44% (67)	35.3	185	5.2	19 (73)	.15 (59)	3.03 (69)	71% (84)	11% (93)	1.07 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	13	48% (75)	48% (14)	17.2	27.8	227.1	8.2	13.2	29 (12)	9 (48)	.37 (21)	1.6 (49)	29% (29)	36% (24)	.37 (53)	6% (55)	2 (91)
CIN Defense	12	49% (63)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.23 (71)	1.7 (108)	31% (93)	31% (79)	.34 (86)	5% (87)	2 (66)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	13	46% (29)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.26 (80)	1.7 (99)	34% (39)	31% (77)	.38 (98)	6% (80)	2.1 (83)
CIN Offense	12	50% (63)	45% (32)	21	32.9	236.5	7.2	11.3	18 (68)	7 (26)	.26 (63)	1.4 (121)	30% (41)	36% (20)	.5 (10)	5% (33)	2.1 (67)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 10.57 #34
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 780.38
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.59

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 10.57 Cincinnati: 7.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.0 Cincinnati: 1.7

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 7.51 #44
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 17.94 #46
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 9.62 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #74
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 780.38
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.59

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 29
Cincinnati 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Cincinnati	29	Baylor	32	Baylor	Cincinnati -2.5	Baylor	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	0	1 Overs
Baylor	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#34) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.57 #34
Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Baylor Notes
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
(3/21) OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure
(3/21) Def was Avg LY. 9 portal adds. Return a lot

Baylor Ratings Matchup Cincinnati

Power #34

#44

Off #25

#46

Def #47

#37

Talent #49

#54

SP+ #36

#55

SP+ Off #17

#76

SP+ Def #57

#44

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Cincinnati in 2023 (32-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BAY | CIN
Depth Chart: BAY | CIN
Rosters: BAY | CIN

(#44) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.51 #44
Offense Rating: 17.94 #46
Defense Rating: 9.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 776.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #74
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Cincinnati Notes
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/21) QB Sorsby improved. Serviceable
(3/21) RB bad LY, big portal add T. Walker (Wisc)
(3/21) WR meh, added 3 portals. TE Royer really good
(3/21) OL 2/5 back. Bad LY, only 1 portal add?
(3/21) Def good LY, return a lot. 2 DE/4 DB portals
(3/21) HC Satt. hasn't inspired much since App St.
(3/21) Should be make/break yr for OC Glenn

Baylor's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sawyer Robertson	229	368	62%	3071	28	8	8.3
Walker White (Tr)	2	5	40%	18	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Washington	175	1028	12	5.9	51
Dawson Pendergrass	121	671	6	5.5	55
Sawyer Robertson	63	230	4	3.7	45
Walker White (Tr)	4	18	0	4.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Cameron	52	754	10	14.5	47
Kole Wilson (Tr)	43	630	4	14.7	53
Michael Trigg	30	395	3	13.2	42
Bryson Washington	22	217	1	9.9	23

View Baylor's Full Roster

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Devyn Bobby	75	3	0	0	2
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Fobbs-White (Tr)	21	8	4	0	1
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4
Caden Jenkins	25	0	0	0	4
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	249	389	64%	2813	18	7	7.2
Brady Lichtenberg	3	5	60%	25	0	0	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Brendan Sorsby	106	445	9	4.2	41
Evan Pryor	56	418	6	7.5	65
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	5	87	0	17.4	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joe Royer	51	532	3	10.4	38
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	21	436	4	20.8	85
Cyrus Allen (Tr)	18	269	1	14.9	73
Evan Pryor	15	181	1	12.1	80

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Jake Golday	57	7	1	0	2
Tayden Barnes (Tr)	57	2	0	1	6
Antwan Peek Jr.	54	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dontay Corleone	26	5	3	4	0
Jonathan Thompson	49	5	2	1	3
Jaylon White-McClain (Tr)	42	4	2	2	2
Jake Golday	57	7	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Matthew McDoom (Tr)	36	3	0	10
Tayden Barnes (Tr)	57	2	1	6
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	3