Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX (Big 12)
Bears (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 38 - 30 (48 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 38 - 30 (48 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BAY coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -8.5 (SP+ TCU -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 32 - TCU: 40 (72)
TCU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -8.5 (SP+ TCU -4)
Projected Score: BAY: 32 - TCU: 40 (72)
TCU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Horned Frogs (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 8) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 8) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Baylor vs Auburn | +1.5 | 57.5 | L 24 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Baylor at SMU | +3.0 | 65.5 | W 48 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Baylor vs Samford | -51.5 | 65.5 | W 42 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Baylor vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 60.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Baylor at Oklahoma State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Baylor vs Kansas State | -8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Baylor at TCU | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Baylor at Cincinnati | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Baylor vs UCF | -8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Baylor vs Utah | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Baylor at Arizona | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Baylor vs Houston | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| TCU's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | TCU at North Carolina | -3.0 | 59.5 | W 48 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | TCU vs Abilene Christian | -42.5 | 60.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | TCU vs SMU | -7.0 | 64.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | TCU at Arizona State | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | TCU vs Colorado | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | TCU at Kansas State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | TCU vs Baylor | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | TCU at West Virginia | -8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | TCU vs Iowa State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | TCU at BYU | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | TCU at Houston | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | TCU vs Cincinnati | -7.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #50 (.26) | 44% (59) | 38 | 41% (90) | 3.26 (39) | 149 | 47% (46) | 368 | 4.09 (64) | #98 (.19) | 45% (105) | 30 | 47% (108) | 41% (77) | 4.23 (96) | 54.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| TCU | #7 (.5) | 57% (9) | 45 | 54% (24) | 3.3 (35) | 193 | 59% (6) | 323 | 5.08 (29) | #102 (.2) | 42% (83) | 17.5 | 40% (72) | 46% (104) | 3.8 (81) | 52 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| TCU | #18 (.3) | 47% (20) | 45% (53) | 2.95 (85) | 106 | 49% (9) | 293 | 4.46 (20) | #82 (.19) | 42% (67) | 46% (102) | 36% (18) | 3.82 (72) | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 3 | 38 | 48 | 44.4% | 4.09 | 1.3 | 28 | 517 | 149 | 368 | 4 | 37% | 62% | 41% | 47% | 11% | .26 |
| TCU Defense | 2 | 17.5 | 21 | 42.2% | 3.8 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 19% | .2 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 3 | 30 | 45 | 44.9% | 4.23 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 64% | 34% | 47% | 41% | 15% | .19 |
| TCU Offense | 2 | 45 | 42 | 57% | 5.08 | 1 | 27 | 516 | 193 | 323 | 6.1 | 43% | 57% | 54% | 59% | 8% | .5 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 3 | 31:08 | 28 | 37% | 53% | 5.3 | 54.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 30 |
| TCU | 2 | 27:43 | 26.5 | 70% | 100% | 4.5 | 52 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 3 | 1 | 25.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 3 | 37% (128) | 41% (90) | 37 | 149.3 | 4 | 5 (62) | .11 (80) | 3.26 (39) | 73% (65) | 7% (30) | 0.98 (62) |
| TCU Defense | 2 | 58% (120) | 40% (72) | - | - | - | - | .13 (98) | 3.13 (106) | 100% (127) | 15% (15) | 0.93 (70) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 3 | 64% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .16 (105) | 3.28 (121) | 100% (127) | 9% (88) | 0.9 (58) |
| TCU Offense | 2 | 43% (108) | 54% (24) | 31.5 | 193 | 6.1 | 4 (79) | .2 (48) | 3.3 (35) | 100% (1) | 5% (8) | 0.84 (97) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 3 | 62% (8) | 47% (46) | 29.7 | 47.3 | 368 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 10 (7) | 2 (60) | .35 (59) | 1.6 (57) | 30% (64) | 39% (28) | .52 (36) | 5% (60) | 1.9 (84) |
| TCU Defense | 2 | 42% (19) | 46% (104) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .29 (97) | 2.2 (135) | 30% (97) | 48% (133) | 1.17 (136) | 3% (120) | 2.8 (133) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 3 | 34% (4) | 41% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (102) | 1.5 (50) | 26% (126) | 24% (40) | .19 (54) | 6% (56) | 1.5 (14) |
| TCU Offense | 2 | 57% (25) | 59% (6) | 26 | 34.5 | 322.5 | 9.4 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .72 (7) | 1.7 (36) | 27% (37) | 52% (3) | 1.12 (1) | 3% (26) | 2.5 (14) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Baylor's Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Baylor's Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Baylor's Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Baylor's Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Baylor's Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 14.43 TCU: 21.01
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 10.3 TCU: 14.3
Baylor: 14.43 TCU: 21.01
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 10.3 TCU: 14.3
TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 21.01 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
TCU's Power Rating: 21.01 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 48
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 48
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 40
Baylor 32
Total Points: 72
TCU 40
Baylor 32
Total Points: 72
TCU Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Baylor | 37 | TCU | 34 | Baylor | Baylor -2.5 | Baylor | 64.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | TCU | 42 | Baylor | 17 | TCU | TCU -13.0 | TCU | 62.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Baylor | 28 | TCU | 29 | TCU | TCU -2 | Baylor | 58.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | TCU | 30 | Baylor | 28 | TCU | Baylor -7.5 | TCU | 57.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Baylor | 23 | TCU | 33 | TCU | TCU -3.0 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/09 | TCU | 23 | Baylor | 29 | Baylor | Baylor -3.0 | Baylor | 48.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Baylor | 9 | TCU | 16 | TCU | Baylor -1 | TCU | 50.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/24 | TCU | 45 | Baylor | 22 | TCU | TCU -25.5 | Baylor | 53.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Baylor | 22 | TCU | 62 | TCU | Baylor -9 | TCU | 65.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/27 | TCU | 28 | Baylor | 21 | TCU | Baylor -2 | TCU | 75.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Baylor | 61 | TCU | 58 | Baylor | Baylor -11 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | TCU | 38 | Baylor | 41 | Baylor | Baylor -14 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Baylor | 21 | TCU | 49 | TCU | ||||
| 2011 | 09/02 | Baylor | 50 | TCU | 48 | Baylor | ||||
| 2010 | 09/18 | TCU | 45 | Baylor | 10 | TCU | ||||
| 2007 | 09/01 | TCU | 27 | Baylor | 0 | TCU | ||||
| 2006 | 09/03 | Baylor | 7 | TCU | 17 | TCU |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 12 | 8 | 5 Overs |
| Baylor | 5 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 8 | 6 - 6 | 2 - 4 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 9 | 6 - 6 | 2 - 4 | 4 - 2 |
(#40) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Baylor has lost 3 straight
Baylor has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(8/11) #2 RB Pendergrass out for season (foot inj)
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24
(5/13) OC Spavital was good hire, offense took off LY
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
Baylor Highlights
Baylor defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor has a bad defense (#105)
Baylor Does Not Stuff Runs (#122)
Baylor has a bad defensive line (#121)
Power Rating: 14.43 #40
Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Baylor has lost 3 straight
Baylor has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(8/11) #2 RB Pendergrass out for season (foot inj)
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24
(5/13) OC Spavital was good hire, offense took off LY
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
Baylor Highlights
Baylor defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor has a bad defense (#105)
Baylor Does Not Stuff Runs (#122)
Baylor has a bad defensive line (#121)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TCU | BAY |
| OverallOver | #20 | #66 |
| OffenseOff | #9 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #35 | #79 |
| Special TeamsST | #63 | #101 |
| PassingPass | #6 | #77 |
| RushingRush | #31 | #92 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #43 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #19 | #71 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #12 | #45 |
| TacklingTkl | #19 | #77 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #19 | #105 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #52 | #93 |
| Coverage DefCov | #52 | #16 |
(#23) TCU Info
Power Rating: 21.01 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
TCU has lost 4 straight
TCU has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated
TCU is Undefeated at Home
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)
TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)
Power Rating: 21.01 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
TCU has lost 4 straight
TCU has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated
TCU is Undefeated at Home
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)
TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 84 | 135 | 62% | 1070 | 10 | 2 | 7.9 |
| Nate Bennett | 5 | 7 | 71% | 34 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 66 | 304 | 4 | 4.6 | 31 |
| Caden Knighten | 23 | 89 | 1 | 3.9 | 17 |
| Michael Turner | 6 | 36 | 0 | 6.0 | 13 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashtyn Hawkins | 17 | 257 | 0 | 15.1 | 36 |
| Josh Cameron | 15 | 244 | 3 | 16.3 | 48 |
| Kole Wilson (Tr) | 13 | 182 | 0 | 14.0 | 57 |
| Michael Trigg | 13 | 151 | 1 | 11.6 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Thomas | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Redding | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travion Barnes (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emar'Rion Winston (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendrick Simpkins | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Micah Gifford | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Travion Barnes (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Coleman | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Taz Williams Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Turner (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hoover | 48 | 63 | 76% | 621 | 6 | 1 | 9.9 |
| Ken Seals | 4 | 6 | 67% | 24 | 0 | 1 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevorian Barnes (Tr) | 21 | 156 | 1 | 7.4 | 75 |
| Nate Palmer | 13 | 88 | 0 | 6.8 | 26 |
| Jeremy Payne | 11 | 57 | 0 | 5.2 | 29 |
| Trent Battle | 5 | 48 | 2 | 9.6 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dwyer (Tr) | 14 | 225 | 2 | 16.1 | 33 |
| Joseph Manjack | 6 | 138 | 0 | 23.0 | 51 |
| Eric McAlister | 5 | 66 | 0 | 13.2 | 33 |
| D'Andre Rogers | 6 | 51 | 1 | 8.5 | 14 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Johnson | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Namdi Obiazor | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Devean Deal | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Elarms-Orr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Namdi Obiazor | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Bax | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zachary Chapman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon McIver Jr. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Austin Jordan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gil Jackson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |