Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
TCU -3.5 (66.5) (-162) Open: -3.0
TCU 42 - Baylor: 36 (Big 12)
Bears (5 - 7) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 13.2 MPH
BAY coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -6.5 (SP+ TCU -7)
Projected Score: BAY: 29 - TCU: 36 (65)
TCU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Wind: 13.2 MPH
BAY coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -6.5 (SP+ TCU -7)
Projected Score: BAY: 29 - TCU: 36 (65)
TCU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Baylor's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Baylor vs Auburn | +1.5 | 57.5 | L 24 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Baylor at SMU | +3.0 | 65.5 | W 48 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Baylor vs Samford | -51.5 | 65.5 | W 42 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Baylor vs Arizona State | -3.0 | 60.5 | L 24 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Baylor at Oklahoma State | -21.0 | 58.5 | W 45 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Baylor vs Kansas State | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Baylor at TCU | +3.5 | 66.5 | L 36 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Baylor at Cincinnati | +3.5 | 68.5 | L 20 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Baylor vs UCF | -3.0 | 58.5 | W 30 - 3 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Baylor vs Utah | +9.5 | 60.5 | L 28 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Baylor at Arizona | +6.5 | 61.5 | L 17 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Baylor vs Houston | -2.5 | 57.5 | L 24 - 31 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| TCU's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | TCU at North Carolina | -3.0 | 59.5 | W 48 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | TCU vs Abilene Christian | -42.5 | 60.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | TCU vs SMU | -6.5 | 63.5 | W 35 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | TCU at Arizona State | +2.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | TCU vs Colorado | -13.5 | 57.5 | W 35 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | TCU at Kansas State | -3.0 | 54.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | TCU vs Baylor | -3.5 | 66.5 | W 42 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | TCU at West Virginia | -16.5 | 55.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | TCU vs Iowa State | -7.5 | 58.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | TCU at BYU | +3.0 | 51.5 | L 13 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | TCU at Houston | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 17 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | TCU vs Cincinnati | -3.0 | 58.5 | W 45 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/30 | TCU vs USC | +4.5 | 56.5 | W 30 - 27 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 31.1 | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 32.6 | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| TCU | #18 (.3) | 47% (20) | 30.7 | 45% (53) | 2.95 (85) | 106 | 49% (9) | 293 | 4.46 (20) | #82 (.19) | 42% (67) | 25.3 | 46% (102) | 36% (18) | 3.82 (72) | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TCU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 31.1 | 33.2 | 46.8% | 4.28 | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 12% | .25 |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 25.3 | 24.2 | 41.5% | 3.82 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 46% | 36% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 32.6 | 39.2 | 39.4% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 15% | .18 |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 30.7 | 36 | 47.1% | 4.46 | 1.6 | 21 | 400 | 106 | 293 | 3.9 | 42% | 58% | 45% | 49% | 13% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 31.5 |
| TCU | 13 | 26:11 | 21 | 44% | 80% | 5.2 | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 31.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 53% (95) | 46% (102) | - | - | - | - | .22 (118) | 3.26 (104) | 89% (134) | 9% (105) | 1.02 (87) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 42% (119) | 45% (53) | 27.6 | 106.4 | 3.9 | 26 (36) | .08 (95) | 2.95 (85) | 73% (70) | 8% (36) | 0.94 (85) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 47% (41) | 36% (18) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .18 (40) | 1.5 (57) | 34% (42) | 27% (19) | .19 (22) | 6% (81) | 1.8 (26) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 58% (19) | 49% (9) | 23.5 | 34.9 | 293.2 | 8.4 | 12.5 | 25 (31) | 10 (63) | .47 (5) | 1.6 (75) | 31% (57) | 33% (47) | .4 (39) | 5% (38) | 2.1 (55) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.66 #30
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.18 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 9.52 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #71
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #32
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #110
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.66 #30
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.18 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 9.52 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #71
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #32
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #110
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.66 TCU: 13.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 1.4 TCU: 8.3
Baylor: 12.66 TCU: 13.725
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 1.4 TCU: 8.3
TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 13.725 #25
TCU's Offense Rating: 21.60 #22
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.45 #33
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #50
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
TCU's Power Rating: 13.725 #25
TCU's Offense Rating: 21.60 #22
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.45 #33
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #50
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2
Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2
Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 36
Baylor 29
Projected Total Points: 65
TCU 36
Baylor 29
Projected Total Points: 65
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2
TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2
TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/18 | TCU | 42 | Baylor | 36 | TCU -3.5 | TCU | 66.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/02 | Baylor | 37 | TCU | 34 | Baylor -2.5 | Baylor | 64.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | TCU | 42 | Baylor | 17 | TCU -13.0 | TCU | 62.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Baylor | 28 | TCU | 29 | TCU -2 | Baylor | 58.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | TCU | 30 | Baylor | 28 | Baylor -7.5 | TCU | 57.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Baylor | 23 | TCU | 33 | TCU -3.0 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/09 | TCU | 23 | Baylor | 29 | Baylor -3.0 | Baylor | 48.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Baylor | 9 | TCU | 16 | Baylor -1 | TCU | 50.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/24 | TCU | 45 | Baylor | 22 | TCU -25.5 | Baylor | 53.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Baylor | 22 | TCU | 62 | Baylor -9 | TCU | 65.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/27 | TCU | 28 | Baylor | 21 | Baylor -2 | TCU | 75.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Baylor | 61 | TCU | 58 | Baylor -11 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | TCU | 38 | Baylor | 41 | Baylor -14 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Baylor | 21 | TCU | 49 | ||||
| 2011 | 09/02 | Baylor | 50 | TCU | 48 | ||||
| 2010 | 09/18 | TCU | 45 | Baylor | 10 | ||||
| 2007 | 09/01 | TCU | 27 | Baylor | 0 | ||||
| 2006 | 09/03 | Baylor | 7 | TCU | 17 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 13 | 9 | 6 Overs |
| Baylor | 5 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 8 | 7 - 6 | 3 - 4 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 10 | 6 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 4 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BAY | TCU |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #30 | #25 |
| SP+SP+ | #71 | #37 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #78 | #26 |
| OffenseOff | #61 | #34 |
| DefenseDef | #100 | #27 |
| Spec TeamsST | #5 | #73 |
| TalentTal | #24 | #29 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #49 | #31 |
(11/25) HC Aranda will return in '26, $ decision, not popular
(11/16) Def is non-competitive. Aranda feels done here
(10/28) 2 straight L's now 4-4, Aranda on hot seat
(10/22) DL is one of worst in CFB, is worst in P4
(10/6) TE M Trigg is best TE in CFB. Incredible weapon
(10/5) Huge comeback W over K St, a season turner. Bravo
(10/4) Turnovers a major issue, into Oct 110th, 2 in 1Q today
(9/21) Tough L vs ASU, Def played better, Robertson great
(8/29) Def tackling is atrocious. DB's cannot run fit
(8/11) #2 RB Pendergrass out for season (foot inj)
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24
(11/16) Frogs disappointing. No show vs decent teams
(10/27) Even box score @ WVU? Frogs not road warriors
(10/12) Blew season vs K St, Run Off bad, Run Def worse
(9/27) Run Off awful vs ASU, Def torched 500 yds, 200 rush
(9/27) 3 TOs, 8 penalties, outgained 500-271 and lost by 3
(9/20) Hoover great, Run Off meh, R Def great vs SMU
(9/20) WR McAlister one of best in CFB, great weapon
(9/1) Killed NC, Run game dominant, Run Def great
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BAY Off | TCU Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #61 | #27 |
| SuccessSuc | #23 | #67 |
| ExplosiveExp | #49 | #52 |
| PPAPPA | #29 | #82 |
| PowerPwr | #20 | #33 |
| SP+SP+ | #32 | #50 |
| Pts POPPO | #30 | #72 |
| HavocHav | #17 | #102 |
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BAY Off | TCU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #92 | #3 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #37 | #102 |
| Run ExplRExp | #50 | #87 |
| PPAExp | #41 | #118 | Run BlockR Blk | #60 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #43 | #104 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #13 | #87 |
| TackleTak | - | #8 |
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| BAY Off | TCU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #71 | #74 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #14 | #18 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #49 | #57 |
| PPAExp | #21 | #40 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #84 | #103 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #9 | #105 |
| DB HavocDB | #55 | #81 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TCU Off | BAY Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #34 | #100 |
| SuccessSuc | #20 | #38 |
| ExplosiveExp | #45 | #102 |
| PPAPPA | #18 | #74 |
| PowerPwr | #22 | #42 |
| SP+SP+ | #30 | #110 |
| Pts POPPO | #20 | #77 |
| HavocHav | #28 | #83 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TCU Off | BAY Def | |
| Run GameRun | #60 | #115 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #53 | #13 |
| Run ExplRExp | #85 | #92 |
| PPAExp | #95 | #64 | Run BlockR Blk | #69 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #85 | #74 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #82 | #90 |
| TackleTak | - | #38 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TCU Off | BAY Def |
| Pass GamePass | #22 | #45 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #9 | #78 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #75 | #99 |
| PPAExp | #5 | #80 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #32 | #124 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #36 | #84 |
| DB HavocDB | #38 | #80 |
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
BAY 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
BAY 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.157
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.157
TCU -3.5 (66.5)
TCU won vs Baylor this year (42-36)
Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 304 | 503 | 60% | 3681 | 31 | 12 | 7.3 |
| Nate Bennett | 5 | 7 | 71% | 34 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 154 | 788 | 6 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Caden Knighten | 104 | 469 | 1 | 4.5 | 49 |
| Michael Turner | 65 | 320 | 1 | 4.9 | 40 |
| Joseph Dodds | 26 | 104 | 1 | 4.0 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 69 | 872 | 9 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Michael Trigg | 50 | 694 | 6 | 13.9 | 42 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins | 53 | 621 | 0 | 11.7 | 41 |
| Kole Wilson (Tr) | 44 | 591 | 5 | 13.4 | 64 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Thomas | 99 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Devyn Bobby | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jacob Redding | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kyland Reed | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emar'Rion Winston (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Jackie Marshall | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Thomas | 99 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Travion Barnes (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levar Thornton Jr. | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| DJ Coleman | 41 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Caldra Williford (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hoover | 272 | 413 | 66% | 3472 | 29 | 13 | 8.4 |
| Ken Seals | 33 | 46 | 72% | 282 | 1 | 2 | 6.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Payne | 110 | 623 | 5 | 5.7 | 51 |
| Kevorian Barnes (Tr) | 97 | 443 | 3 | 4.6 | 75 |
| Trent Battle | 64 | 349 | 6 | 5.5 | 65 |
| Jon Denman | 50 | 178 | 3 | 3.6 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric McAlister | 72 | 1190 | 10 | 16.5 | 85 |
| Jordan Dwyer (Tr) | 54 | 730 | 7 | 13.5 | 69 |
| Joseph Manjack | 44 | 579 | 3 | 13.2 | 51 |
| D'Andre Rogers | 34 | 319 | 2 | 9.4 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Elarms-Orr | 130 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Jamel Johnson | 96 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Namdi Obiazor | 88 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Bud Clark | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Elarms-Orr | 130 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Devean Deal | 53 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| Kylin Jackson (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Paul Oyewale | 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bud Clark | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Vernon Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Devean Deal | 53 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 |