Baylor at Kansas - 2021 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks  Kansas logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -17 (48.5)
Baylor 45 - Kansas: 7  (Big 12)

 
Bears (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -15  (SP+ BAY -35.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 28 - KU: 33 (61)
BAY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BAY Travel: 522 miles
Jayhawks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Baylor at Texas State-13.552.5W 29 - 20UN
Sat 9/11 Baylor vs Texas Southern-44.553.0W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Baylor at Kansas-17.048.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/25 Baylor vs Iowa State+7.046.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/2 Baylor at Oklahoma State+3.547.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Baylor vs West Virginia-1.045.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Baylor vs BYU-5.552.5W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Baylor vs Texas-2.061.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 11/6 Baylor at TCU-7.557.0L 28 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Baylor vs Oklahoma+4.063.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/20 Baylor at Kansas State+2.549.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 11/27 Baylor vs Texas Tech-14.051.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 12/4 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+7.045.0W 21 - 16UY
Sat 1/1 Baylor vs Ole Miss+1.060.5W 21 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Kansas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Kansas vs South Dakota-11.555.5W 17 - 14UN
Fri 9/10 Kansas at Coastal Carolina+26.552.0L 22 - 49ON
Sat 9/18 Kansas vs Baylor+17.048.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Kansas at Duke+16.557.5L 33 - 52ON
Sat 10/2 Kansas at Iowa State+34.557.5L 7 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Kansas vs Texas Tech+18.567.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 10/23 Kansas vs Oklahoma+38.066.5L 23 - 35UY
Sat 10/30 Kansas at Oklahoma State+28.554.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/6 Kansas vs Kansas State+24.056.0L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/13 Kansas at Texas+31.061.5W 57 - 56OY
Sat 11/20 Kansas at TCU+21.064.0L 28 - 31UY
Sat 11/27 Kansas vs West Virginia+15.555.5L 28 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.0534%31.134%2.159134%2203.33.1340%32.641%39%4.1762.411.9
KU-.0628%28.128%2.1310528%1542.83.2747%26.848%44%4.0446.41.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense931.133.234.2%3.33118311912202.842%58%34%34%20%.05
KU Defense926.822.146.7%4.041.1 - - - - - 57%43%48%44%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense932.639.240%4.171.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%39%17%.13
KU Offense928.132.627.5%2.831.6162591051542.748%52%28%28%24%-.06

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor929:0818.333%60%7.162.411.96.62429.8
Kansas930:4615.923%42%5.746.41.61.14.71225.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense942%34%3391.22.88-.032.1579%13%0.95
KU Defense957%48% - - - - .273.2770%9%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense955%41% - - - - .122.7867%11%1.04
KU Offense948%28%39.3104.92.79-.052.1341%17%1.32

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense958%34%22.836.8219.969.7148.111.537%25%.27%2.1
KU Defense943%44% - - - - - - 4.251.527%31%.276%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense945%39% - - - - - - 12.151.533%29%.316%2.1
KU Offense952%28%17.231.4154.34.99710-.071.440%20%.117%2.2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2021 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6  #15
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Kansas: -7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 15.6   Kansas: -19.7




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: -7.35 NR
Kansas's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #124
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #104
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #127

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 33
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 61
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Baylor45Kansas17Kansas -2.5Baylor62.5Under
202210/22Baylor35Kansas23Baylor -10.5Baylor56.5Over
202109/18Kansas7Baylor45Baylor -17Baylor48.5Over
202009/26Baylor47Kansas14Baylor -17.5Baylor61.0Push
201911/30Kansas6Baylor61Baylor -14Baylor48.0Over
201809/22Baylor26Kansas7Baylor -7.5Baylor54.5Under
201711/04Kansas9Baylor38Baylor -7Baylor59.5Under
201610/15Baylor49Kansas7Baylor -35Baylor65.0Under
201510/10Kansas7Baylor66Baylor -38Baylor76.5Under
201411/01Baylor60Kansas14Baylor -33.5Baylor0
201310/26Kansas14Baylor59Baylor -35.5Baylor0
201211/03Baylor41Kansas14
201111/12Kansas30Baylor31
201010/02Baylor55Kansas7
200710/13Kansas58Baylor10
200610/21Baylor36Kansas35
200310/18Kansas28Baylor21
200210/05Baylor35Kansas32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas203 Overs
Baylor16115 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 66 - 55 - 01 - 5
Road Teams6 - 125 - 65 - 10 - 5

(#) BAY at (#) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #124
Perf GradeGrade #13 #128
OffenseOff #9 #118
DefenseDef #27 #132
Spec TeamsST #76 #69
TalentTal #41 #72
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #132
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #127
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
Run GameRun #22 #130
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #122
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #124
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #107
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCatKU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffBAY Def
Run GameRun #88 #34
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #55
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCatKU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePass #107 #45
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #116 #42
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Baylor 17.0 (48.5)
Baylor won at Kansas this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Kansas in 2024 (45-17)

  
BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD