Long Island University at Baylor - 2023 Matchup Preview
Long Island University logo   Long Island University Sharks at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -44 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 30 - Long Island University: 7

 
Sharks (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (14 - 39 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 3rd straight Home Game
LIU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6  (SP+ BAY -9)
BAY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 81%
Bears (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#126)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Long Island University's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Long Island University at Ohio+34.558.0L 10 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Long Island University at Baylor+44.054.0L 7 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Long Island University's Schedule
Baylor's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Texas State-26.558.5L 31 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs Utah+7.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Baylor vs Long Island University-44.054.0W 30 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Texas+17.549.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Baylor at UCF+8.056.5W 36 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.559.5L 14 - 39UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Baylor at Cincinnati+2.551.5W 32 - 29OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+3.047.0L 18 - 30ON
Sat 11/4 Baylor vs Houston-3.058.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/11 Baylor at Kansas State+20.555.5L 25 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 Baylor at TCU+13.062.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/25 Baylor vs West Virginia+6.553.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIU0%140%000%000%390%0%0000
BAY.2245%31.147%3.2118244%2314.35.245%32.645%44%4.12411.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIU Offense214140%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BAY Defense1332.627.944.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 51%49%45%44%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIU Defense239390%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BAY Offense1331.129.645.1%4.351.4234141822314.455%44%47%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Long Island University20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Baylor1331:3022.740%64%4.8411.41.54.61.8230.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
BAY Defense1351%45% - - - - .133.0576%8%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BAY Offense1355%47%41.2182.44.434.213.2179%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
BAY Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 13.281.529%37%.517%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BAY Offense1344%44%1930.2231.57.712.21911.291.530%33%.344%2

Long Island University's Power Ratings
Long Island University's Power Rating: NR
Long Island University's Offense Rating: NR
Long Island University's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Long Island University's 2023 Expected Record: -
Long Island University's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Long Island University's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Long Island University's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Long Island University:    Baylor: -5.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Long Island University:    Baylor: -8.8




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: -5.875  #108
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.22  #99
Baylor's Defense Rating: 17.47  #127
2023 Talent Rating: 678.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #38
Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #98
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #105

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Long Island University Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 39 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Long Island University's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 35
Long Island University 22

Projected Total Points: 57
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Baylor30Long Island University7Baylor -44Long Island University54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor100 Overs
Long Island University011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) LIU at (#108) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #108
SP+SP+NR #98
Perf GradeGradeNR #100
OffenseOffNR #82
DefenseDefNR #123
Spec TeamsSTNR #18
TalentTalNR #46
Blue ChipsBC%NR #38
Long Island University on Offense
CategoryCat
LIU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #123
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #127
SP+SP+NR #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Long Island University Run Game
CategoryCat
LIU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNR #126
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Long Island University Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNR #116
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #96
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffLIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #99NR
SP+SP+ #78NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffLIU Def
Run GameRun #84NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffLIU Def
Pass GamePass #82NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Baylor -44.0 (54.0)
Baylor won vs Long Island University this year (30-7)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Long Island University in 2023 (30-7)

  
LIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luca Stanzani6611458%562334.9
Ethan Greenwood529257%645337.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ethan Greenwood10241644.165
Pat Bowen8937344.249
Luca Stanzani6435075.575
Will Lynch1505.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pat Bowen782211.729
Luca Stanzani174074.074
Aviyon Smith-Mack94905.412
Ethan Greenwood1707.07

View Long Island University's Full Roster

LIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill37103101
Kam Canterbury312101
Rafael Fasolino174001
Leisaan Hibbert40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill37103101
Kam Canterbury312101
Rafael Fasolino174001
Leisaan Hibbert40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill37103101
Kam Canterbury312101
Rafael Fasolino174001

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen18429862%21881337.3
Sawyer Robertson (Tr)6611756%864247.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)12551914.232
Dawson Pendergrass7933854.331
Richard Reese6630624.628
Sawyer Robertson (Tr)356912.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Monaray Baldwin38623416.471
Drake Dabney33552516.763
Ketron Jackson (Tr)28489117.555
Jake Roberts (Tr)23231110.037

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones8413415
Devyn Bobby741016
Devin Lemear401003
Caden Jenkins371003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones8413415
Byron Vaughns (Tr)308301
TJ Franklin308331
Gabe Hall184241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devyn Bobby741016
Matt Jones8413415
Corey Gordon311004