Baylor at Vanderbilt - 2018 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears vs Vanderbilt Commodores  Vanderbilt logo
Thursday, December 27th 2018 (9:00 PM EST)
Vanderbilt -4 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 45 - Vanderbilt: 38  (ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOORS TEXAS BOWL)

 
Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3  (SP+ VAN -6)
Projected Score: BAY: 27 - VAN: 39 (66)
VAN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 164 miles
Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Baylor vs Abilene Christian-41.0
Sat 9/8 Baylor at UTSA-17.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Duke-2.050.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 9/22 Baylor vs Kansas-7.554.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 Baylor at Oklahoma+21.069.0L 33 - 66ON
Sat 10/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-3.554.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/13 Baylor at Texas+14.058.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25 Baylor at West Virginia+14.567.0L 14 - 58ON
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.068.0W 35 - 31UY
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Iowa State+17.051.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs TCU-1.050.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+6.063.5W 35 - 24UY
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee-3.057.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/8 Vanderbilt vs Nevada-10.059.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/15 Vanderbilt at Notre Dame+14.051.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/22 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+1.553.5L 14 - 37UN
Sat 9/29 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State-28.0
Sat 10/6 Vanderbilt at Georgia+15
Sat 10/13 Vanderbilt vs Florida+9.551.0L 27 - 37ON
Sat 10/20 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+10.545.0L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/27 Vanderbilt at Arkansas-1.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Vanderbilt at Missouri+13.565.0L 28 - 33UY
Sat 11/17 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss-3.072.5W 36 - 29UY
Sat 11/24 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee-3.551.5W 38 - 13UY
Thu 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Baylor-4.056.5L 38 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.1338%31.135%2.3911737%2882.99.2145%32.643%43%3.6555.92.10.9
VAN.1943%38.539%2.6410746%2444.32.2142%22.846%35%3.8550.11.20.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1231.133.237.7%2.992.1204051172883.443%54%35%37%20%.13
VAN Defense1222.821.142.3%3.850.8 - - - - - 54%45%46%35%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1232.639.244.7%3.650.9 - - - - - 50%48%43%43%16%.21
VAN Offense1238.54443%4.321.2183511072443.746%53%39%46%18%.19

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1229:4419.932%52%7.355.92.10.96.91.9028.8
Vanderbilt1229:2218.441%45%5.850.11.20.86.12.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1243%35%34.5117.33.410-.012.3950%13%1.05
VAN Defense1254%46% - - - - .233.1773%11%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1250%43% - - - - .122.7769%11%1.03
VAN Offense1246%39%29107.23.714-.022.6465%9%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254%37%22.438.5287.77.512.82314.251.937%33%.327%2
VAN Defense1245%35% - - - - - - 7.191.633%29%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 3.321.634%38%.415%1.8
VAN Offense1253%46%19.333.6243.67.312.62710.381.630%28%.239%1.9

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2018 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #85

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Vanderbilt: 3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 2.0   Vanderbilt: 7.6




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 3.8 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2018 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #24
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 39
Baylor 27

Projected Total Points: 66
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201812/27Vanderbilt38Baylor45Vanderbilt -4Baylor56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt001 Overs
Baylor110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018Texas Bowl Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38
2016Cactus Bowl Baylor vs Boise State+10.071.0W 31 - 12
2015Athletic Bowl Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5W 49 - 38
2014Cotton Bowl Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42
2013Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52
2012Holiday Bowl Baylor vs UCLA  W 49 - 26
Vanderbilt Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018Texas Bowl Vanderbilt vs Baylor-4.056.5L 38 - 45
2016Independence Bowl Vanderbilt vs NC State+4.047.0L 17 - 41
2013Compass Bowl Vanderbilt vs Houston-1.553.0W 41 - 24
2012City Bowl Vanderbilt vs NC State  W 38 - 24
  
(#) BAY at (#) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #33 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCatVAN OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCatVAN OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 1
Vanderbilt -4.0 (56.5)
Baylor won at Vanderbilt this year (45-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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BAY's DC ()
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VAN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()
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