Baylor Bears vs LSU Tigers(#9)
Tuesday, December 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Baylor -3 (62.5) (-155) Open: 0.0
LSU 44 - Baylor: 31 (Kinder's Texas Bowl)
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: LSU -5 (SP+ LSU -8)
Projected Score: BAY: 28 - LSU: 33 (60)
BAY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 360 miles
Our Line: LSU -5 (SP+ LSU -8)
Projected Score: BAY: 28 - LSU: 33 (60)
BAY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 360 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| LSU's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 9/1 | LSU vs USC | -4.0 | 66.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | LSU vs Nicholls | -50.5 | 62.0 | W 44 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | LSU at South Carolina | -7.0 | 50.0 | W 36 - 33 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | LSU vs UCLA | -21.5 | 56.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | LSU vs South Alabama | -21.0 | 64.5 | W 42 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | LSU vs Ole Miss | +3.5 | 64.5 | W 29 - 26 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | LSU at Arkansas | -3.0 | 57.0 | W 34 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | LSU at Texas A&M | +2.0 | 54.5 | L 23 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | LSU vs Alabama | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | LSU at Florida | -3.0 | 57.0 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | LSU vs Vanderbilt | -10.0 | 53.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | LSU vs Oklahoma | -4.5 | 47.5 | W 37 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | LSU vs Baylor | +3.0 | 62.5 | W 44 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 34.4 | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 26.7 | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 30.5 | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 24.3 | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 32 | 46.8% | 4.28 | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 12% | .25 |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 24.3 | 21.4 | 41.1% | 3.44 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 41% | 41% | 18% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 30.7 | 39.4% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 15% | .18 |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 30.5 | 31.9 | 44.9% | 3.99 | 1.2 | 22 | 399 | 108 | 291 | 4.1 | 39% | 61% | 42% | 47% | 13% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 31.5 |
| LSU | 13 | 29:47 | 22.1 | 50% | 50% | 5.8 | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 51% (67) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .18 (97) | 2.94 (55) | 84% (125) | 12% (29) | 1.23 (132) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 39% (128) | 42% (89) | 26.4 | 108.2 | 4.1 | 14 (98) | .12 (79) | 2.92 (90) | 82% (13) | 6% (5) | 0.89 (103) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 49% (69) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .25 (75) | 1.6 (68) | 35% (28) | 31% (76) | .36 (93) | 7% (41) | 2.2 (104) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 61% (7) | 47% (24) | 24.5 | 38.4 | 290.8 | 7.6 | 11.9 | 26 (26) | 11 (72) | .33 (37) | 1.5 (96) | 33% (89) | 37% (16) | .42 (28) | 7% (97) | 2 (84) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.17 LSU: 15.42
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 LSU: 15.9
Baylor: 12.17 LSU: 15.42
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 LSU: 15.9
LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.42 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
LSU's Power Rating: 15.42 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 33
Baylor 28
Total Points: 60
LSU 33
Baylor 28
Total Points: 60
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4
LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4
LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12/31 | LSU | 44 | Baylor | 31 | LSU | Baylor -3 | LSU | 62.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Baylor | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Baylor Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 |
| 2022 | Forces Bowl | Baylor vs Air Force | -3.5 | 42.0 | L 15 - 30 |
| 2021 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Ole Miss | +1.0 | 60.5 | W 21 - 7 |
| 2019 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Georgia | +4.0 | 44.0 | L 14 - 26 |
| 2018 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs Vanderbilt | +4.0 | 56.5 | W 45 - 38 |
| LSU Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Texas Bowl | LSU vs Baylor | +3.0 | 62.5 | W 44 - 31 |
| 2023 | Reliaquest Bowl | LSU vs Wisconsin | -9.5 | 59.5 | W 35 - 31 |
| 2022 | Citrus Bowl | LSU vs Purdue | -15.0 | 54.0 | W 63 - 7 |
| 2021 | Texas Bowl | LSU vs Kansas State | +9.5 | 47.0 | L 20 - 42 |
| 2019 | CFP Nat'l Title | LSU vs Clemson | -5.0 | 67.0 | W 42 - 25 |
| 2019 | CFP Semifinal | LSU vs Oklahoma | -13.0 | 75.0 | W 63 - 28 |
| 2018 | Fiesta Bowl | LSU vs UCF | -7.5 | 57.5 | W 40 - 32 |
(#22) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Baylor has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 6)
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Baylor has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 6)
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LSU | BAY |
| OverallOver | #39 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #39 | #90 |
| Special TeamsST | #86 | #2 |
| PassingPass | #24 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #25 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #73 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #46 | #49 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #21 |
| TacklingTkl | #34 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #76 | #51 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #6 | #96 |
| Coverage DefCov | #64 | #98 |
(#15) LSU Info
Power Rating: 15.42 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 0)
LSU has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 1)
LSU has played in 25 Bowls since 2000 (17 - 8)
LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
Power Rating: 15.42 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 0)
LSU has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 1)
LSU has played in 25 Bowls since 2000 (17 - 8)
LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Dequan Finn (Tr) | 23 | 43 | 54% | 307 | 3 | 2 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr) | 45 | 567 | 5 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Monaray Baldwin | 27 | 478 | 5 | 17.7 | 46 |
| Hal Presley | 31 | 429 | 3 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Treven Ma'ae | 40 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Garmon Randolph | 33 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorando Johnson (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Caden Jenkins | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Nussmeier | 336 | 524 | 64% | 4039 | 29 | 12 | 7.7 |
| Rickie Collins | 5 | 5 | 100% | 35 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Durham | 138 | 754 | 6 | 5.5 | 86 |
| Josh Williams | 117 | 482 | 6 | 4.1 | 23 |
| Kaleb Jackson | 47 | 149 | 0 | 3.2 | 19 |
| Zavion Thomas (Tr) | 9 | 76 | 0 | 8.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Anderson | 61 | 875 | 5 | 14.3 | 76 |
| Kyren Lacy | 58 | 866 | 9 | 14.9 | 35 |
| Mason Taylor | 55 | 546 | 2 | 9.9 | 33 |
| C.J. Daniels (Tr) | 42 | 480 | 0 | 11.4 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Greg Penn III | 83 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Bradyn Swinson | 57 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Jardin Gilbert (Tr) | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradyn Swinson | 57 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Savion Jones | 40 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Dominick McKinley | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Stamps | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 |
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Zy Alexander | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |