Baylor at West Virginia - 2022 Matchup Preview

Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers

Thursday, October 13th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -3.0 (55.0)
West Virginia 43 - Baylor: 40 (Big 12)

Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BAY coming off BYE
WVU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ BAY -9.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 31 - WVU: 29 (60)
BAY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 1112 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (17 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Baylor vs UAlbany	-42.5	46.5	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Baylor at BYU	+2.5	54.5	L 20 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Baylor vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor at Iowa State	+2.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-2.5	56.0	L 25 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13	Baylor at West Virginia	-3.0	55.0	L 40 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/22	Baylor vs Kansas	-10.5	56.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas Tech	+1.5	61.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Baylor at Oklahoma	+3.0	61.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Baylor vs Kansas State	-2.5	52.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs TCU	+2.0	58.0	L 28 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Baylor at Texas	+10.0	55.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Thu 12/22	Baylor vs Air Force	-3.5	42.0	L 15 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

West Virginia's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	+7.5	50.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/10	West Virginia vs Kansas	-14.0	59.5	L 42 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/17	West Virginia vs Towson	-41.0	58.5	W 65 - 7	O	Y
Thu 9/22	West Virginia at Virginia Tech	-2.0	49.5	W 33 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	West Virginia at Texas	+7.5	61.0	L 20 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13	West Virginia vs Baylor	+3.0	55.0	W 43 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/22	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+5.0	65.5	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 10/29	West Virginia vs TCU	+7.0	70.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/5	West Virginia at Iowa State	+6.5	49.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	West Virginia vs Oklahoma	+8.5	68.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+8.0	54.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/26	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+5.5	59.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	.27	45%	31.1	46%	3.26	219	44%	203	4	.15	37%	32.6	35%	39%	3.04	48.4	1.1	1.8
WVU	.2	43%	21.8	45%	2.96	123	42%	248	4.19	.18	42%	30.8	42%	43%	3.18	43.2	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	14	31.1	33.2	45%	4	1.1	21	422	219	203	5.4	59%	41%	46%	44%	15%	.27
WVU Defense	13	30.8	28.2	42.4%	3.18	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	42%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	14	32.6	39.2	37%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	39%	20%	.15
WVU Offense	13	21.8	22.7	43.2%	4.19	1.5	21	371	123	248	3.5	45%	55%	45%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	14	31:23	20.7	42%	63%	5.4	48.4	1.1	1.8	7.4	3.1	3	31.3
West Virginia	13	31:21	21.4	40%	68%	5.2	43.2	1.5	1.1	6.3	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	14	59%	46%	40.9	219.3	5.4	29	.28	3.26	74%	11%	1.19
WVU Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.03	73%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	14	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.76	75%	13%	1.08
WVU Offense	13	45%	45%	34.8	123.2	3.5	19	.16	2.96	78%	11%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	14	41%	44%	16.9	26.1	203.1	7.8	12	24	7	.26	1.6	29%	32%	.33	4%	1.8
WVU Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.5	32%	29%	.33	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	14	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.22	1.6	35%	26%	.21	7%	2.2
WVU Offense	13	55%	42%	22.3	34.4	247.9	7.2	11.1	19	12	.25	1.5	33%	30%	.34	6%	2.1

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: West Virginia: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 11.7 West Virginia: 2.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
West Virginia's 2022 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #63
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #30
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 31
West Virginia 29

Projected Total Points: 60

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	West Virginia	35	Baylor	49	Baylor -2	Baylor	60.0	Over
2023	11/25	Baylor	31	West Virginia	34	West Virginia -6.5	Baylor	53.5	Over
2022	10/13	West Virginia	43	Baylor	40	Baylor -3.0	West Virginia	55.0	Over
2021	10/09	Baylor	45	West Virginia	20	Baylor -1.0	Baylor	45.0	Over
2020	10/03	West Virginia	27	Baylor	21	Baylor -1.5	West Virginia	54.5	Under
2019	10/31	Baylor	17	West Virginia	14	Baylor -19	West Virginia	57.0	Under
2018	10/25	West Virginia	58	Baylor	14	West Virginia -14.5	West Virginia	67.0	Over
2017	10/21	Baylor	36	West Virginia	38	West Virginia -10.5	Baylor	67.5	Over
2016	12/03	West Virginia	24	Baylor	21	West Virginia -14.5	Baylor	69.0	Under
2015	10/17	Baylor	62	West Virginia	38	Baylor -18	Baylor	75.5	Over
2014	10/18	West Virginia	41	Baylor	27	Baylor -9.5	West Virginia	0
2013	10/05	Baylor	73	West Virginia	42	Baylor -30	Baylor	0
2012	09/29	West Virginia	70	Baylor	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	8	5	7 Overs
Baylor	5	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 3	9 - 3	4 - 2	5 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 10	3 - 9	1 - 5	2 - 4

(#) BAY at (#) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BAY	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#63
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#82
OffenseOff	#25	#61
DefenseDef	#42	#104
Spec TeamsST	#65	#126
TalentTal	#41	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Baylor Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#104
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#13	#100
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	#60	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#32	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Baylor 3.0 (55.0)
West Virginia won vs Baylor this year (43-40)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat West Virginia in 2024 (49-35)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2023 (34-31)

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WVU's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD