Kansas State at Baylor - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Baylor -2.5 (52.0)
Kansas State 31 - Baylor: 3 (Big 12)

Wildcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (20 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BAY is playing their 5th straight game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ KSU -9.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 30 - BAY: 29 (59)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 529 miles

Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kansas State vs South Dakota	-27.0	50.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kansas State vs Missouri	-7.0	52.5	W 40 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kansas State vs Tulane	-13.5	49.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Kansas State at Oklahoma	+13.5	53.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Kansas State vs Texas Tech	-7.5	56.0	W 37 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Kansas State at Iowa State	-1.0	45.0	W 10 - 9	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kansas State at TCU	+3.5	54.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/29	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-2.5	57.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kansas State vs Texas	+3.0	54.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/12	Kansas State at Baylor	+2.5	52.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Kansas State at West Virginia	-8.0	54.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Kansas State vs Kansas	-11.5	62.0	W 47 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Kansas State vs TCU	+1.0	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kansas State vs Alabama	+8.0	58.5	L 20 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Baylor's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Baylor vs UAlbany	-42.5	46.5	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Baylor at BYU	+2.5	54.5	L 20 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Baylor vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor at Iowa State	+2.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-2.5	56.0	L 25 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13	Baylor at West Virginia	-3.0	55.0	L 40 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/22	Baylor vs Kansas	-10.5	56.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas Tech	+1.5	61.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Baylor at Oklahoma	+3.0	61.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Baylor vs Kansas State	-2.5	52.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs TCU	+2.0	58.0	L 28 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Baylor at Texas	+10.0	55.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Thu 12/22	Baylor vs Air Force	-3.5	42.0	L 15 - 30	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	.29	48%	29.4	51%	3.36	162	45%	200	4.03	.23	41%	26.7	38%	45%	3.28	45.8	1.1	1.2
BAY	.27	45%	31.1	46%	3.26	219	44%	203	4	.15	37%	32.6	35%	39%	3.04	48.4	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	13	29.4	30.8	47.6%	4.03	1.1	18	362	162	200	4.8	55%	45%	51%	45%	17%	.29
BAY Defense	14	32.6	27.9	37%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	39%	20%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	13	26.7	26.4	40.7%	3.28	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	38%	45%	18%	.23
BAY Offense	14	31.1	29.6	45%	4	1.1	21	422	219	203	5.4	59%	41%	46%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	13	29:54	17.9	44%	75%	5.5	45.8	1.1	1.2	6.9	2.3	3	31.2
Baylor	14	31:23	20.7	42%	63%	5.4	48.4	1.1	1.8	7.4	3.1	3	31.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	13	55%	51%	33.5	162.4	4.8	29	.25	3.36	83%	12%	0.96
BAY Defense	14	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.76	75%	13%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.85	72%	13%	1.07
BAY Offense	14	59%	46%	40.9	219.3	5.4	29	.28	3.26	74%	11%	1.19

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	13	45%	45%	15.7	23.9	199.9	8.4	12.7	14	7	.39	1.6	30%	29%	.4	5%	2.2
BAY Defense	14	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.22	1.6	35%	26%	.21	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.37	1.6	32%	31%	.34	5%	1.8
BAY Offense	14	41%	44%	16.9	26.1	203.1	7.8	12	24	7	.26	1.6	29%	32%	.33	4%	1.8

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #9
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #15

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: Baylor: 8.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 21.4 Baylor: 11.7

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 8.35 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Baylor 29

Projected Total Points: 59

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Baylor	35	Kansas State	34	Baylor -4.5	Kansas State	59.5	Over
2023	11/11	Kansas State	59	Baylor	25	Kansas State -20.5	Kansas State	55.5	Over
2022	11/12	Baylor	3	Kansas State	31	Baylor -2.5	Kansas State	52.0	Under
2021	11/20	Kansas State	10	Baylor	20	Kansas State -2.5	Baylor	49.5	Under
2020	11/28	Baylor	32	Kansas State	31	Baylor -5.5	Kansas State	44.5	Over
2019	10/05	Kansas State	12	Baylor	31	Baylor -1	Baylor	48.5	Under
2018	10/06	Baylor	37	Kansas State	34	Baylor -3.5	Kansas State	54.0	Over
2017	09/30	Kansas State	33	Baylor	20	Kansas State -15	Baylor	57.5	Under
2016	11/19	Baylor	21	Kansas State	42	Kansas State -2	Kansas State	58.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kansas State	24	Baylor	31	Baylor -18.5	Kansas State	67.0	Under
2014	12/06	Baylor	38	Kansas State	27	Baylor -9	Baylor	0
2013	10/12	Kansas State	25	Baylor	35	Baylor -10.5	Kansas State	0
2012	11/17	Baylor	52	Kansas State	24
2011	10/01	Kansas State	36	Baylor	35
2010	10/23	Baylor	47	Kansas State	42
2007	10/27	Kansas State	51	Baylor	13
2006	09/30	Baylor	17	Kansas State	3
2003	11/01	Kansas State	38	Baylor	10
2002	10/26	Baylor	10	Kansas State	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	11	4	5 Overs
Kansas State	8	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 7	4 - 8	2 - 6	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 12	8 - 4	2 - 2	6 - 2

(#) KSU at (#) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KSU	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#30
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#27
OffenseOff	#35	#25
DefenseDef	#81	#42
Spec TeamsST	#22	#65
TalentTal	#67	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kansas State Injury Report

Baylor Injury Report

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#35	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	#15	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#55

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Baylor -2.5 (52.0)
Kansas State won at Baylor this year (31-3)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Kansas State last year (35-34)
Kansas State beat Baylor in 2023 (59-25)

KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD