Baylor at BYU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT

 
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (36 - 37)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU is playing their 7th straight game
BAY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: BYU -16  (SP+ BYU -15)
Projected Score: BAY: 22 - BYU: 38 (60)
BYU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
BAY Travel: 1009 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (84 - 45)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 2.3 (#7)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Baylor at Auburn+13
Sat 9/12 Baylor vs Prairie View A&M-25.5
Sat 9/19 Baylor vs Louisiana Tech-10.5
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Colorado-12.5
Sat 10/3 Baylor at Arizona State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Baylor vs TCU+3.5
Sat 10/24 Baylor at Kansas+2
Sat 10/31 Baylor at UCF-2
Sat 11/7 Baylor vs Iowa State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Baylor at BYU+16
Sat 11/21 Baylor vs Texas Tech+22
Sat 11/28 Baylor at Houston+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
BYU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 BYU vs Utah Tech-39
Sat 9/12 BYU vs Arizona-9.5
Sat 9/19 BYU at Colorado State-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 BYU at TCU-4.5
Sat 10/10 BYU vs Iowa State-13.5
Sat 10/17 BYU vs Notre Dame+9
Sat 10/24 BYU at UCF-15
Sat 10/31 BYU vs Arizona State-14
Sat 11/7 BYU at Utah+4
Sat 11/14 BYU vs Baylor-16
Sat 11/21 BYU at Kansas-11.5
Sat 11/28 BYU vs Cincinnati-14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#49 (.2)45% (39)31.147% (38)3.09 (42)14244% (41)3103.69 (69)#81 (.18)44% (104)32.646% (107)43% (93)4.3 (124)61.420.9
BYU#34 (.22)46% (33)31.447% (32)3 (58)17944% (48)2214.03 (39)#31 (.09)39% (37)19.139% (33)40% (59)3.29 (35)45.41.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1231.133.245%3.692254511423104.240%59%47%44%15%.2
BYU Defense1419.113.739.1%3.291.7 - - - - - 47%52%39%40%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1232.639.244.3%4.30.9 - - - - - 56%42%46%43%12%.18
BYU Offense1431.440.545.5%4.031.1224001792214.853%45%47%44%14%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1229:1524.838%53%661.420.941128.5
BYU1432:4221.941%58%5.445.41.11.75.32.1428.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1240% (129)47% (38)34.1141.64.212 (88).17 (44)3.09 (42)77% (32)8% (36)0.9 (99)
BYU Defense1447% (33)39% (33) - - - - .06 (45)2.83 (54)75% (96)10% (70)0.96 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1256% (129)46% (107) - - - - .14 (93)3.15 (111)89% (134)7% (131)0.96 (68)
BYU Offense1453% (37)47% (32)37.7179.14.833 (16).2 (26)3 (58)82% (5)8% (27)0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1259% (8)44% (41)25.842.5309.67.31231 (3)12 (88).25 (67)1.5 (80)31% (58)33% (28).42 (27)6% (86)2.1 (35)
BYU Defense1452% (107)40% (59) - - - - - - 17 (12).18 (37)1.5 (23)34% (36)26% (22).16 (16)6% (52)1.9 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1242% (9)43% (93) - - - - - - 9 (55).25 (71)1.4 (13)28% (122)29% (65).24 (51)6% (86)1.7 (8)
BYU Offense1445% (102)44% (48)18.428.8221.17.712.115 (86)7 (20).28 (54)1.5 (94)30% (40)30% (76).34 (54)6% (65)2.1 (47)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.84  #53
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.66  #47
Baylor's Defense Rating: 15.82  #60
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Baylor's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Baylor's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4  #71
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #32
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 2.84   BYU: 17.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 1.4   BYU: 15.9




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 17.89  #20
BYU's Offense Rating: 19.71  #17
BYU's Defense Rating: 9.83  #24
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
BYU's 2026 Expected Record: 11.7 - 2.3
BYU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #18
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #24
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #22

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 38
Baylor 22

Projected Total Points: 60
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Baylor28BYU34Baylor -3BYU47.0Over
202209/10BYU26Baylor20BYU -2.5BYU54.5Under
202110/16Baylor38BYU24Baylor -5.5Baylor52.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU222 Overs
Baylor111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#53) BAY at (#20) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #53 #20
SP+SP+ #71 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #54
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #56
Baylor on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #39 #37
ExplosiveExp #53 #54
PPAPPA #49 #31
PowerPwr #47 #24
SP+SP+ #32 #22
Pts POPPO #69 #35
HavocHav #56 #65
Baylor Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #38 #33
Run ExplRExp #99 #71
PPAExp #44 #45
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #42 #54
Stuff RateStuff #27 #38
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #59
Pass ExplPExl #80 #23
PPAExp #67 #37
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #70
DB HavocDB #86 #52
BYU on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBYU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #33 #104
ExplosiveExp #106 #15
PPAPPA #34 #81
PowerPwr #17 #60
SP+SP+ #24 #110
Pts POPPO #39 #124
HavocHav #43 #126
BYU Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BYU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #107
Run ExplRExp #77 #68
PPAExp #26 #93
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #58 #111
Stuff RateStuff #39 #123
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatBYU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #93
Pass ExplPExl #94 #13
PPAExp #54 #71
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #27 #131
DB HavocDB #65 #86
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
BYU beat Baylor in 2024 (34-28)

  
BAY's OC Jake Spavital (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway (Tr)21333763%226416146.7
Nate Bennett5771%34004.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Knighten10446914.549
Michael Turner6532014.940
D.J. Lagway (Tr)7113611.938
Drelon Miller4613412.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman (Tr)5348149.133
Drelon Miller2115917.632
Caden Knighten11134112.239
Tony Livingston (Tr)11119210.838

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kedrick Walker (Tr)577310
Jacob Redding531002
Kyland Reed502021
Daniel Cobbs (Tr)393002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garrick Ponder (Tr)3712540
Ryan Davis (Tr)146414
Kedrick Walker (Tr)577310
Jamaal Whyce295310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Levar Thornton Jr.271007
Ryan Davis (Tr)146414
Reggie Bush110002

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier25138765%30331577.8
Parker Kingston1617%22003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2361305125.549
Bear Bachmeier147527113.622
Parker Kingston2612334.720
Jovesa Damuni1911115.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Kingston66924514.075
LJ Martin3625507.126
Walker Lyons (Tr)20223211.226
Jojo Phillips14161011.521

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cade Uluave (Tr)9712344
Faletau Satuala798114
Isaiah Glasker639391
Siale Esera443141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cade Uluave (Tr)9712344
Isaiah Glasker639391
Bodie Schoonover335333
Keanu Tanuvasa225233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Johnson422107
Therrian Alexander313125
Cade Uluave (Tr)9712344