Baylor at Kansas - 2026 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Lawrence, KS

 
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (36 - 37)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -2  (SP+ KU -3)

Projected Score: BAY: 30 - KU: 32 (61)
KU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 522 miles
Jayhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (27 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Baylor at Auburn+13
Sat 9/12 Baylor vs Prairie View A&M-25.5
Sat 9/19 Baylor vs Louisiana Tech-10.5
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Colorado-12.5
Sat 10/3 Baylor at Arizona State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Baylor vs TCU+3.5
Sat 10/24 Baylor at Kansas+2
Sat 10/31 Baylor at UCF-2
Sat 11/7 Baylor vs Iowa State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Baylor at BYU+16
Sat 11/21 Baylor vs Texas Tech+22
Sat 11/28 Baylor at Houston+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Kansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Kansas vs Long Island University-25
Sat 9/12 Kansas vs Missouri+13.5
Sat 9/19 Kansas at Arizona State+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Kansas vs Middle Tennessee-21.5
Sat 10/10 Kansas at Utah+17.5
Sat 10/17 Kansas at Kansas State+7.5
Sat 10/24 Kansas vs Baylor-2
Sat 10/31 Kansas at TCU+9
Sat 11/7 Kansas vs UCF-6
Sat 11/14 Kansas at West Virginia-1.5
Sat 11/21 Kansas vs BYU+11.5
Sat 11/28 Kansas at Oklahoma State-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#49 (.2)45% (39)31.147% (38)3.09 (42)14244% (41)3103.69 (69)#81 (.18)44% (104)32.646% (107)43% (93)4.3 (124)61.420.9
KU#26 (.25)48% (13)28.151% (6)3.53 (3)17046% (31)2203.94 (47)#121 (.25)42% (69)26.841% (62)42% (71)4.24 (120)39.81.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1231.133.245%3.692254511423104.240%59%47%44%15%.2
KU Defense1226.822.141.7%4.240.8 - - - - - 51%48%41%42%18%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1232.639.244.3%4.30.9 - - - - - 56%42%46%43%12%.18
KU Offense1228.132.648.4%3.941.1213901702204.851%47%51%46%14%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1229:1524.838%53%661.420.941128.5
Kansas1230:4020.639%57%539.81.10.86.32129.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1240% (129)47% (38)34.1141.64.212 (88).17 (44)3.09 (42)77% (32)8% (36)0.9 (99)
KU Defense1251% (78)41% (62) - - - - .13 (87)2.84 (57)77% (110)11% (25)1.1 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1256% (129)46% (107) - - - - .14 (93)3.15 (111)89% (134)7% (131)0.96 (68)
KU Offense1251% (53)51% (6)35.5169.84.817 (99).22 (19)3.53 (3)84% (3)9% (44)0.87 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1259% (8)44% (41)25.842.5309.67.31231 (3)12 (88).25 (67)1.5 (80)31% (58)33% (28).42 (27)6% (86)2.1 (35)
KU Defense1248% (67)42% (71) - - - - - - 4 (75).39 (122)1.7 (126)34% (34)33% (103).43 (124)7% (43)2.2 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1242% (9)43% (93) - - - - - - 9 (55).25 (71)1.4 (13)28% (122)29% (65).24 (51)6% (86)1.7 (8)
KU Offense1247% (87)46% (31)17.628.82207.712.523 (8)8 (7).32 (45)1.5 (76)28% (20)32% (41).27 (81)6% (55)1.8 (120)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.84  #53
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.66  #47
Baylor's Defense Rating: 15.82  #60
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Baylor's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Baylor's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4  #71
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #32
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 2.84   Kansas: 3.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 1.4   Kansas: 4.1




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 3.96  #63
Kansas's Offense Rating: 13.00  #53
Kansas's Defense Rating: 19.18  #79
2026 Talent Rating: 728.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Kansas's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 32
Baylor 30


Projected Total Points: 61
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Baylor45Kansas17Kansas -2.5Baylor62.5Under
202210/22Baylor35Kansas23Baylor -10.5Baylor56.5Over
202109/18Kansas7Baylor45Baylor -17Baylor48.5Over
202009/26Baylor47Kansas14Baylor -17.5Baylor61.0Push
201911/30Kansas6Baylor61Baylor -14Baylor48.0Over
201809/22Baylor26Kansas7Baylor -7.5Baylor54.5Under
201711/04Kansas9Baylor38Baylor -7Baylor59.5Under
201610/15Baylor49Kansas7Baylor -35Baylor65.0Under
201510/10Kansas7Baylor66Baylor -38Baylor76.5Under
201411/01Baylor60Kansas14Baylor -33.5Baylor0
201310/26Kansas14Baylor59Baylor -35.5Baylor0
201211/03Baylor41Kansas14
201111/12Kansas30Baylor31
201010/02Baylor55Kansas7
200710/13Kansas58Baylor10
200610/21Baylor36Kansas35
200310/18Kansas28Baylor21
200210/05Baylor35Kansas32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas203 Overs
Baylor16115 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 66 - 55 - 01 - 5
Road Teams6 - 125 - 65 - 10 - 5

(#53) BAY at (#63) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #53 #63
SP+SP+ #71 #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #79
Baylor on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #39 #69
ExplosiveExp #53 #131
PPAPPA #49 #121
PowerPwr #47 #79
SP+SP+ #32 #76
Pts POPPO #69 #120
HavocHav #56 #26
Baylor Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #38 #62
Run ExplRExp #99 #125
PPAExp #44 #87
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #42 #57
Stuff RateStuff #27 #32
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BAY OffKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #71
Pass ExplPExl #80 #126
PPAExp #67 #122
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #25
DB HavocDB #86 #43
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #13 #104
ExplosiveExp #113 #15
PPAPPA #26 #81
PowerPwr #53 #60
SP+SP+ #48 #110
Pts POPPO #47 #124
HavocHav #52 #126
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #107
Run ExplRExp #111 #68
PPAExp #19 #93
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #3 #111
Stuff RateStuff #8 #123
TackleTak - NR
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #31 #93
Pass ExplPExl #76 #13
PPAExp #45 #71
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #44 #131
DB HavocDB #55 #86
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Kansas in 2024 (45-17)

  
BAY's OC Jake Spavital (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway (Tr)21333763%226416146.7
Nate Bennett5771%34004.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Knighten10446914.549
Michael Turner6532014.940
D.J. Lagway (Tr)7113611.938
Drelon Miller4613412.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman (Tr)5348149.133
Drelon Miller2115917.632
Caden Knighten11134112.239
Tony Livingston (Tr)11119210.838

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kedrick Walker (Tr)577310
Jacob Redding531002
Kyland Reed502021
Daniel Cobbs (Tr)393002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garrick Ponder (Tr)3712540
Ryan Davis (Tr)146414
Kedrick Walker (Tr)577310
Jamaal Whyce295310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Levar Thornton Jr.271007
Ryan Davis (Tr)146414
Reggie Bush110002

KU's OC Jim Zebrowski (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins (Tr)11917269%1025926.0
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis (Tr)12955344.341
Chase Jenkins (Tr)15153153.534
Jalen Dupree (Tr)10250825.031
Dylan Edwards (Tr)3420526.075
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan (Tr)61975316.055
Emmanuel Henderson Jr.45766517.093
Nahzae Cox (Tr)40473511.843
Cam Pickett45449310.038

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)516342
Eamon Smalls (Tr)504110
Austin Alexander464002
Jalen Todd442214
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III317518
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)516342
Jalen Todd442214
Blake Herold435243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III317518
Jalen Todd442214
Roman Pearson (Tr)271004