Auburn at Baylor Game Matchup

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Auburn -1.5 (56.5) (-125) Open: -1.5 | 56.5
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Our Line: Auburn -5.5 (SP+ AUB -4)
Projected Score: AUB: 30 - BAY: 24 (55)
AUB Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
AUB Travel: 684 miles

Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Auburn at Baylor	-1.5	56.5		U	N
Sat 9/6	Auburn vs Ball State
Sat 9/13	Auburn vs South Alabama
Sat 9/20	Auburn at Oklahoma
Sat 9/27	Auburn at Texas A&M
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Auburn vs Georgia
Sat 10/18	Auburn vs Missouri
Sat 10/25	Auburn at Arkansas
Sat 11/1	Auburn vs Kentucky
Sat 11/8	Auburn at Vanderbilt
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Auburn vs Mercer
Sat 11/29	Auburn vs Alabama

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Baylor's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Baylor vs Auburn	+1.5	56.5		U	Y
Sat 9/6	Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13	Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20	Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27	Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4	Baylor vs Kansas State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25	Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1	Baylor vs UCF
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22	Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29	Baylor vs Houston

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)	27.8	48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)	21.3	38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)	34.4	46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)	26.7	38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	12	27.8	17	44.9%	3.42	1.8	21	430	166	264	5	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.24
BAY Defense	13	26.7	19.8	39.4%	3.85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	42%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	12	21.3	22.5	37.8%	3.35	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	38%	38%	15%	.09
BAY Offense	13	34.4	37.3	46.8%	4.28	1	21	401	174	227	5	52%	48%	46%	48%	12%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	12	27:13	20.9	41%	47%	5.8	49.3	1.8	1.1	5.7	2.3	1	27.9
Baylor	13	25:48	20.6	44%	61%	5.8	58.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.8	2	31.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	12	48% (85)	48% (21)	33.4	165.7	5	13 (105)	.16 (55)	3.32 (23)	69% (95)	10% (67)	0.92 (89)
BAY Defense	13	54% (107)	38% (13)	-	-	-	-	.11 (64)	3.03 (74)	82% (122)	9% (84)	1.03 (92)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	12	53% (98)	38% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (7)	2.49 (6)	80% (108)	10% (81)	0.93 (44)
BAY Offense	13	52% (61)	46% (37)	35.1	174.3	5	23 (52)	.18 (41)	3.19 (43)	77% (42)	7% (9)	1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	12	52% (47)	42% (67)	19.2	30.8	263.9	8.6	13.8	27 (20)	13 (103)	.31 (45)	1.6 (39)	31% (55)	32% (69)	.41 (34)	7% (113)	1.9 (101)
BAY Defense	13	46% (29)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.26 (80)	1.7 (99)	34% (39)	31% (77)	.38 (98)	6% (80)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	12	47% (42)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.22 (63)	1.7 (104)	35% (19)	28% (34)	.21 (31)	6% (77)	2.1 (85)
BAY Offense	13	48% (75)	48% (14)	17.2	27.8	227.1	8.2	13.2	29 (12)	9 (48)	.37 (21)	1.6 (49)	29% (29)	36% (24)	.37 (53)	6% (55)	2 (91)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.63 #11
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.38 #16
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.75 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #11
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19

Auburn's SP+ Ratings
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 946.5
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.51

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 22.63 Baylor: 11.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 12.1 Baylor: 8.0

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 11.785 #34
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 780.38
Average Power Five Talent: 863.55
Average FBS Talent: 682.51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 30
Baylor 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	0	0	0 Overs
Auburn	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#11) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.63 #11
Offense Rating: 23.38 #16
Defense Rating: 0.75 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19
Talent Rating: 986.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #11
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Auburn Notes
(4/4) DE Keldric Faulk a top 10 DE via PFF.
(4/4) QB Arnold (OU) likely starter, Daniels/Knight #2?
(4/4) RB rebuild, D. Robinson (UConn) added, talent
(4/4) WR a top CFB Unit, Singleton (GT) big add
(4/4) Connor Lew (C) a top IOL via PFF
(3/28) This is a playoff roster if QB is competent
(3/18) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. Top CFB unit?
(3/18) TO's killed AU LY. Too many, little forced
(3/18) Freeze needs a good year. OC/DC 2nd year

Auburn Ratings Matchup Baylor

Power #11

#34

Off #16

#25

Def #9

#47

Talent #12

#49

SP+ #23

#36

SP+ Off #42

#17

SP+ Def #19

#57

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | BAY
Depth Chart: AUB | BAY
Rosters: AUB | BAY

(#34) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.785 #34
Offense Rating: 22.05 #25
Defense Rating: 11.48 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 790.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Baylor Notes
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).
(3/21) OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure
(3/21) Def was Avg LY. 9 portal adds. Return a lot

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	170	271	63%	1700	10	12	6.3
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	154	246	63%	1421	12	3	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Durell Robinson (Tr)	107	731	8	6.8	68
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	148	669	3	4.5	67
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	150	444	3	3.0	47
Damari Alston	52	276	3	5.3	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	56	754	3	13.5	57
Cam Coleman	37	598	8	16.2	63
Horatio Fields (Tr)	39	463	4	11.9	42
Malcolm Simmons	40	451	3	11.3	57

View Auburn's Full Roster

Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raion Strader (Tr)	53	0	0	0	17
Dallas Walker IV (Tr)	51	4	0	1	0
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Taye Seymore (Tr)	45	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Chris Murray (Tr)	34	12	6	2	0
Caleb Wheatland (Tr)	42	7	4	4	2
Demarcus Riddick	27	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Raion Strader (Tr)	53	17
Kayin Lee	32	7
Jay Crawford	15	7

Baylor's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sawyer Robertson	229	368	62%	3071	28	8	8.3
Walker White (Tr)	2	5	40%	18	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Washington	175	1028	12	5.9	51
Dawson Pendergrass	121	671	6	5.5	55
Sawyer Robertson	63	230	4	3.7	45
Walker White (Tr)	4	18	0	4.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Cameron	52	754	10	14.5	47
Kole Wilson (Tr)	43	630	4	14.7	53
Michael Trigg	30	395	3	13.2	42
Bryson Washington	22	217	1	9.9	23

View Baylor's Full Roster

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Devyn Bobby	75	3	0	0	2
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Fobbs-White (Tr)	21	8	4	0	1
Keaton Thomas	97	8	4	2	0
Travion Barnes (Tr)	129	11	3	4	0
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phoenix Jackson (Tr)	45	5	2	5	4
Caden Jenkins	25	0	0	0	4
Devin Turner (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3