Utah at Baylor - 2025 Matchup Preview
Utah logo (#16)Utah Utes at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX  (Big 12)

 
Utes (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 46 - 8 (37 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
UTAH coming off BYE
BAY coming off BYE
Our Line: Utah -6   (SP+ UTAH -8.5)

Projected Score: UTAH: 31 - BAY: 25 (56)
UTAH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UTAH Travel: 1037 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bears (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 38 - 30 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.058.5
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-8
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-5
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-19.5
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-6
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-16.5
Sat 11/29 Utah at Kansas-8

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Baylor vs Auburn+1.557.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU+3.065.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford-51.565.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State-1.560.5
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU+8.5
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati+4
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah+6
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona-0.5
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston-9.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#28 (.35)58% (8)45.761% (5)3.77 (10)24054% (19)1844.58 (45)#3 (-.14)30% (14)8.332% (19)29% (16)2.71 (41)46.70.31.3
BAY#50 (.26)44% (59)3841% (90)3.26 (39)14947% (46)3684.09 (64)#98 (.19)45% (105)3047% (108)41% (77)4.23 (96)54.71.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense345.73757.9%4.580.3224242401845.955%45%61%54%9%.35
BAY Defense33022.544.9%4.231.7 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense38.3830.4%2.711.3 - - - - - 49%51%32%29%20%-.14
BAY Offense3383344.4%4.091.328517149368437%62%41%47%11%.26

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah328:5922.371%100%5.346.70.31.35.33131.3
Baylor331:082837%53%5.354.71.31.74.31.7030
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense355% (43)61% (5)41239.75.99 (17).39 (11)3.77 (10)83% (28)6% (25)0.85 (95)
BAY Defense364% (132)47% (108) - - - - .16 (105)3.28 (121)100% (127)9% (88)0.9 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense349% (61)32% (19) - - - - -.04 (36)2.51 (43)63% (43)13% (37)0.98 (76)
BAY Offense337% (128)41% (90)37149.345 (62).11 (80)3.26 (39)73% (65)7% (30)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense345% (92)54% (19)1824.31847.610.25 (54)0 (1).29 (68)1 (135)20% (5)47% (9).51 (39)3% (26)1.1 (132)
BAY Defense334% (4)41% (77) - - - - - - 4 (12).32 (102)1.5 (50)26% (126)24% (40).19 (54)6% (56)1.5 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense351% (79)29% (16) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.24 (4)1.4 (48)32% (76)18% (22)-.42 (1)7% (34)1.4 (10)
BAY Offense362% (8)47% (46)29.747.33687.812.410 (7)2 (60).35 (59)1.6 (57)30% (64)39% (28).52 (36)5% (60)1.9 (84)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 23.29 #22
Utah's Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Utah's Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13% #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 23.29   Baylor: 14.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 18.8   Baylor: 10.3




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 14.865 #40
Baylor's Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Baylor's Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Utah Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 8.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 31
Baylor 25


Total Points: 56

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Utah23Baylor12UtahUtah -14.5Baylor52.5Under
202309/09Baylor13Utah20UtahUtah -7NA46.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor010 Overs
Utah202 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#22) Utah Info
Power Rating: 23.29 #22
Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13% #36
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 58%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 61%
Great Pass Success 54%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Utah has lost 6 straight
Utah has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah Notes
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
(3/20) Def replaces a lot, but always v good.
(3/20) Def not many portals. Belief in depth
(3/20) DC Scalley named HC in waiting. Whit retiring?

Utah Highlights
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah in Undefeated

Utah has Really Good Running Game (#14)
Utah offense is efficent (#8)
Utah has a top Offensive Line (#10)
Utah offense is good on 3rd downs
Utah does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#12)

Utah Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah offense is not Explosive (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBAYUTAH
OverallOver#66#25
OffenseOff#56#26
DefenseDef#79#25
Special TeamsST#101#22
PassingPass#77#44
RushingRush#92#15
Run BlockRBLK#23#35
Pass BlockPBLK#71#5
Route RunningWR Rt#45#55
TacklingTkl#77#29
Run DefenseR Def#105#29
Pass Rush DefPRush#93#14
Coverage DefCov#16#65

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Baylor last year (23-12)
Utah beat Baylor in 2023 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | BAY
Depth Chart: UTAH | BAY
Rosters: UTAH | BAY
(#40) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 14.865 #40
Offense Rating: 20.81 #29
Defense Rating: 6.38 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Baylor has lost 6 straight
Baylor has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Baylor Notes
(8/11) #2 RB Pendergrass out for season (foot inj)
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24
(5/13) OC Spavital was good hire, offense took off LY
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama).

Baylor Highlights
Baylor defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor has a bad defense (#105)
Baylor Does Not Stuff Runs (#122)
Baylor has a bad defensive line (#121)


  
Utah's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)658973%628707.1
Byrd Ficklin44100%530013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier (Tr)3319816.023
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)2719227.143
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)3615244.223
Hunter Andrews1210819.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)1917119.027
Dallen Bentley11112210.224
Tobias Merriweather (Tr)588017.636
Hunter Andrews86307.914

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Jackson Bennee120003
Lander Barton120010
Nate Ritchie121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Kash Dillon82200
Logan Fano62101
Paul Fitzgerald102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Bennee120003
John Henry Daley137501
Johnathan Hall90001

Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson8413562%10701027.9
Nate Bennett5771%34004.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington6630444.631
Caden Knighten238913.917
Michael Turner63606.013
Sawyer Robertson131200.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashtyn Hawkins17257015.136
Josh Cameron15244316.348
Kole Wilson (Tr)13182014.057
Michael Trigg13151111.620

View Baylor's Full Roster
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaton Thomas301000
Devyn Bobby160000
Jacob Redding120000
Travion Barnes (Tr)111100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)63200
Kendrick Simpkins62110
Micah Gifford31100
Travion Barnes (Tr)111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Coleman101012
Taz Williams Jr.00001
Tyler Turner (Tr)60001