Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones(#12)
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -13 (45.0) (-500) Open: -13.0
Iowa State 43 - Baylor: 21 (Big 12)
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BAY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5 (SP+ ISU -2)
Projected Score: BAY: 24 - ISU: 28 (52)
ISU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 748 miles
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5 (SP+ ISU -2)
Projected Score: BAY: 24 - ISU: 28 (52)
ISU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 748 miles
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 0)
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Iowa State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Iowa State vs North Dakota | -30.5 | 51.5 | W 21 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Iowa State at Iowa | +3.0 | 35.0 | W 20 - 19 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Iowa State vs Arkansas State | -20.5 | 52.0 | W 52 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Iowa State at Houston | -16.0 | 43.0 | W 20 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Iowa State vs Baylor | -13.0 | 45.0 | W 43 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Iowa State at West Virginia | -3.0 | 54.0 | W 28 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Iowa State vs UCF | -13.0 | 49.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Iowa State vs Texas Tech | -13.5 | 55.0 | L 22 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Iowa State vs Kansas | -2.5 | 50.5 | L 36 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Iowa State vs Cincinnati | -7.0 | 52.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Iowa State at Utah | -6.5 | 42.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Iowa State vs Kansas State | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Iowa State vs Arizona State | -1.5 | 51.5 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Iowa State vs Miami | +5.0 | 62.0 | W 42 - 41 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 34.4 | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 26.7 | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 31.1 | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 22.9 | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | #29 (.25) | 47% (23) | 46% (37) | 3.19 (43) | 174 | 48% (14) | 227 | 4.28 (30) | #74 (.18) | 39% (38) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 3.85 (77) | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 32 | 46.8% | 4.28 | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 12% | .25 |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 22.9 | 18.1 | 42.6% | 3.44 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 46% | 38% | 15% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 30.7 | 39.4% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 15% | .18 |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 31.1 | 34.1 | 40.4% | 4.23 | 1.1 | 21 | 387 | 150 | 236 | 4.4 | 51% | 49% | 40% | 41% | 14% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 31.5 |
| Iowa State | 14 | 30:00 | 20.9 | 42% | 81% | 3.6 | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1 | 30 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 55% (114) | 46% (101) | - | - | - | - | .22 (114) | 3.05 (76) | 76% (81) | 9% (85) | 1.08 (112) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 51% (68) | 40% (106) | 34.4 | 150.2 | 4.4 | 24 (45) | .12 (74) | 2.83 (102) | 70% (88) | 8% (22) | 1.1 (19) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 45% (21) | 38% (41) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .17 (36) | 1.6 (73) | 32% (63) | 32% (86) | .32 (78) | 5% (86) | 2 (48) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 49% (67) | 41% (77) | 18.3 | 31.1 | 236.4 | 7.6 | 12.9 | 22 (46) | 10 (63) | .29 (49) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (52) | 35% (29) | .39 (41) | 7% (94) | 2 (70) |
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor's Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Baylor's Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Baylor's Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 12.17 Iowa State: 13.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Iowa State: 10.3
Baylor: 12.17 Iowa State: 13.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4 Iowa State: 10.3
Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7
Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
Baylor 24
Total Points: 52
Iowa State 28
Baylor 24
Total Points: 52
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1
Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1
Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Iowa State | 43 | Baylor | 21 | Iowa State | Iowa State -13 | Iowa State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/28 | Baylor | 18 | Iowa State | 30 | Iowa State | Iowa State -3 | Iowa State | 47.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/24 | Iowa State | 24 | Baylor | 31 | Baylor | Iowa State -2.5 | Baylor | 45.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Baylor | 31 | Iowa State | 29 | Baylor | Iowa State -7 | Baylor | 46.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Iowa State | 38 | Baylor | 31 | Iowa State | Iowa State -14 | Baylor | 46.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/28 | Baylor | 23 | Iowa State | 21 | Baylor | Iowa State -2.5 | Baylor | 55.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Iowa State | 28 | Baylor | 14 | Iowa State | Iowa State -17 | Baylor | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Baylor | 13 | Iowa State | 23 | Iowa State | Iowa State -7.5 | Iowa State | 50.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Iowa State | 42 | Baylor | 45 | Baylor | Baylor -17 | Iowa State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Baylor | 45 | Iowa State | 27 | Baylor | Baylor -37 | Iowa State | 74.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Iowa State | 28 | Baylor | 49 | Baylor | Baylor -22 | Iowa State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Baylor | 71 | Iowa State | 7 | Baylor | Baylor -33 | Baylor | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/27 | Iowa State | 35 | Baylor | 21 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | Baylor | 49 | Iowa State | 26 | Baylor | ||||
| 2009 | 10/17 | Iowa State | 24 | Baylor | 10 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | Baylor | 38 | Iowa State | 10 | Baylor | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Iowa State | 13 | Baylor | 23 | Baylor | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Baylor | 25 | Iowa State | 26 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Iowa State | 41 | Baylor | 0 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Baylor | 17 | Iowa State | 31 | Iowa State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 10 | 6 | 6 Overs |
| Baylor | 10 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 8 | 6 - 6 | 2 - 4 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 12 | 6 - 6 | 2 - 4 | 4 - 2 |
(#22) Baylor Info
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has lost 2 straight
Baylor has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
Power Rating: 12.17 #22
Offense Rating: 24.79 #20
Defense Rating: 5.51 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Baylor has lost 2 straight
Baylor has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Baylor Notes
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
(10/28) 2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things?
(10/19) No quit. 500+ yds on T. T., QB good, Rgame great
Baylor Highlights
Baylor offense is efficent (#59)
Baylor offense is good in red zone (#64)
Baylor does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#31)
Baylor has a good run defense (#108)
Baylor has a great TO Margin (#82)
Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ISU | BAY |
| OverallOver | #57 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #66 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #58 | #90 |
| Special TeamsST | #61 | #2 |
| PassingPass | #73 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #36 | #25 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #94 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #88 | #49 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #22 | #21 |
| TacklingTkl | #99 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #51 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #108 | #96 |
| Coverage DefCov | #14 | #98 |
Rematch from Week 6
Iowa State -13.0 (45.0)
Iowa State won vs Baylor this year (43-21)
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Baylor last year (43-21)
Iowa State beat Baylor in 2023 (30-18)
Baylor beat Iowa State in 2022 (31-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BAY | ISU
Depth Chart: BAY | ISU
Rosters: BAY | ISU
(#23) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Iowa State has won 4 straight
Iowa State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)
Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Iowa State has won 4 straight
Iowa State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Dequan Finn (Tr) | 23 | 43 | 54% | 307 | 3 | 2 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins (Tr) | 45 | 567 | 5 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Monaray Baldwin | 27 | 478 | 5 | 17.7 | 46 |
| Hal Presley | 31 | 429 | 3 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Devyn Bobby | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackie Marshall | 41 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Treven Ma'ae | 40 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Keaton Thomas | 97 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Garmon Randolph | 33 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorando Johnson (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Matt Jones | 101 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Caden Jenkins | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Becht | 272 | 457 | 60% | 3505 | 25 | 9 | 7.7 |
| Connor Moberly | 5 | 10 | 50% | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Hansen | 151 | 752 | 13 | 5.0 | 57 |
| Abu Sama III | 124 | 587 | 2 | 4.7 | 77 |
| Jaylon Jackson (Tr) | 93 | 388 | 2 | 4.2 | 51 |
| Rocco Becht | 98 | 318 | 8 | 3.2 | 32 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Noel | 81 | 1194 | 8 | 14.7 | 75 |
| Jayden Higgins | 87 | 1183 | 9 | 13.6 | 39 |
| Gabe Burkle | 26 | 296 | 1 | 11.4 | 32 |
| Benjamin Brahmer | 10 | 179 | 1 | 17.9 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Freyler | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Malik Verdon | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Kooper Ebel | 69 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Cooper | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Singleton | 32 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Petersen | 46 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| Domonique Orange | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Cooper | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Myles Purchase | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Malik Verdon | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |