Utah at Baylor - 2023 Matchup Preview
Utah logo Utah Utes at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah -7 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah 20 - Baylor: 13

 
Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 93.7° (41% Hum)
Wind: 13.7 MPH
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Utah -12.5   (SP+ UTAH -17)
Projected Score: UTAH: 31 - BAY: 19 (53)
UTAH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 1037 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bears (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Utah vs Florida-5.544.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/9 Utah at Baylor-7.046.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Utah vs Weber State-26.544.0W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Utah vs UCLA-3.050.5W 14 - 7UY
Fri 9/29 Utah at Oregon State+4.043.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Utah vs California-9.042.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Utah at USC+7.551.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/28 Utah vs Oregon+6.547.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Utah vs Arizona State-11.040.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Utah at Washington+9.548.5L 28 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 Utah at Arizona+2.545.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Utah vs Colorado-21.543.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 12/23 Utah vs Northwestern-6.544.5L 7 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Baylor's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Texas State-26.558.5L 31 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs Utah+7.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Baylor vs Long Island University-44.054.0W 30 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Texas+17.549.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Baylor at UCF+8.056.5W 36 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.559.5L 14 - 39UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Baylor at Cincinnati+2.551.5W 32 - 29OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+3.047.0L 18 - 30ON
Sat 11/4 Baylor vs Houston-3.058.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/11 Baylor at Kansas State+20.555.5L 25 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 Baylor at TCU+13.062.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/25 Baylor vs West Virginia+6.553.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH.2851%23.654%3.5421848%2494.16.1739%20.741%38%3.8640.21.32.3
BAY.2245%34.447%3.2118244%2314.35.245%26.745%44%4.12411.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1423.624.251%4.161.3264672182495.451%49%54%48%12%.28
BAY Defense1326.719.844.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 51%49%45%44%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1420.724.539.1%3.862.3 - - - - - 43%56%41%38%19%.17
BAY Offense1334.437.345.1%4.351.4234141822314.455%44%47%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1433:4025.951%62%4.540.21.32.35.92.9332.2
Baylor1331:3022.740%64%4.8411.41.54.61.8230.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1451%54%40217.75.438.313.5481%7%0.99
BAY Defense1351%45% - - - - .133.0576%8%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1443%41% - - - - .172.9169%13%1.16
BAY Offense1355%47%41.2182.44.434.213.2179%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1449%48%20.631.9249.27.812.13110.261.427%36%.475%2
BAY Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 13.281.529%37%.517%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1456%38% - - - - - - 12.191.734%28%.226%2.2
BAY Offense1344%44%1930.2231.57.712.21911.291.530%33%.344%2

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51   Baylor: -5.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3   Baylor: -8.8




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: -5.875 #108
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Baylor's Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 31
Baylor 19

Projected Total Points: 53
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Utah23Baylor12UtahUtah -14.5Baylor52.5Under
202309/09Baylor13Utah20UtahUtah -7NA46.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor010 Overs
Utah202 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Utah     Ratings Matchup     Baylor
Power #38
#108
Off #97
#99
Def #37
#127
Talent #35
#49
SP+ #35
#98
SP+ Off #60
#78
SP+ Def #26
#105

Rematch from Week 2
Utah 7.0 (46.5)
Utah won at Baylor this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Baylor last year (23-12)
Utah beat Baylor in 2023 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 94° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | BAY
Depth Chart: UTAH | BAY
Rosters: UTAH | BAY
(#108) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.875 #108
Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50

Team Profile






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Utah's OC Andy Ludwig
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard (Tr)197100945.164
Ja'Quinden Jackson149790155.346
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Charlie Vincent144403.16
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Mikey Matthews3429218.646
Micah Bernard (Tr)3015025.019

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karene Reid546311
Van Fillinger438515
Jadon Pearson423012
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Connor O'Toole225300
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
Van Fillinger438515
JaTravis Broughton380003

Baylor's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
RJ Martinez (Tr)182475%148016.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Shapen343621.118
RJ Martinez (Tr)82102.615
Monaray Baldwin3301.02
Armani Winfield1-90-9.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Monaray Baldwin27478517.746
Hal Presley31429313.853
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Javon Gipson23335214.643

View Baylor's Full Roster
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Caleb Parker151012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Tony Anyanwu21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Caleb Parker151012
Treven Ma'ae (Tr)407431