Baylor at Texas - 2022 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns  Texas logo
Friday, November 25th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas -10 (55.0)
Texas 38 - Baylor: 27  (Big 12)

 
Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
BAY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ TEX -11)
Projected Score: BAY: 26 - TEX: 36 (62)
TEX Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 95 miles
Longhorns (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Baylor vs UAlbany-42.546.5W 69 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Baylor at BYU+2.554.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Baylor vs Texas State-30.053.0W 42 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Baylor at Iowa State+2.545.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-2.556.0L 25 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13 Baylor at West Virginia-3.055.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 10/22 Baylor vs Kansas-10.556.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 10/29 Baylor at Texas Tech+1.561.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/5 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.061.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Baylor vs Kansas State-2.552.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Baylor vs TCU+2.058.0L 28 - 29UY
Fri 11/25 Baylor at Texas+10.055.0L 27 - 38ON
Thu 12/22 Baylor vs Air Force-3.542.0L 15 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Texas's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas vs UL Monroe-37.064.5W 52 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Texas vs Alabama+21.064.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 Texas vs UTSA-13.057.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 9/24 Texas at Texas Tech-7.060.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/1 Texas vs West Virginia-7.561.0W 38 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Texas vs Oklahoma-7.565.0W 49 - 0UY
Sat 10/15 Texas vs Iowa State-15.548.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Texas at Oklahoma State-6.558.5L 34 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Texas at Kansas State-3.054.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/12 Texas vs TCU-7.565.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/19 Texas at Kansas-9.063.5W 55 - 14OY
Fri 11/25 Texas vs Baylor-10.055.0W 38 - 27OY
Thu 12/29 Texas vs Washington-3.067.0L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.2745%31.146%3.2621944%2034.1537%32.635%39%3.0448.41.11.8
TEX.2845%30.546%3.4419943%2254.44.2846%20.346%46%4.3248.31.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1431.133.245%41.1214222192035.459%41%46%44%15%.27
TEX Defense1220.31746.1%4.321.3 - - - - - 54%46%46%46%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1432.639.237%3.041.8 - - - - - 47%52%35%39%20%.15
TEX Offense1230.538.844.6%4.441.4204251992255.252%48%46%43%16%.28

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1431:2320.742%63%5.448.41.11.87.43.1331.3
Texas1228:0420.344%45%5.848.31.41.361.7129.4
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1459%46%40.9219.35.429.283.2674%11%1.19
TEX Defense1254%46% - - - - .213.1667%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1447%35% - - - - .12.7675%13%1.08
TEX Offense1252%46%38.1199.35.225.233.4480%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1441%44%16.926.1203.17.812247.261.629%32%.334%1.8
TEX Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 7.351.529%34%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1452%39% - - - - - - 19.221.635%26%.217%2.2
TEX Offense1248%43%18.128.8225.47.812.52910.361.730%31%.335%2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7  #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Texas: 14.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 11.7   Texas: 23.1




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 14.05 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.1  #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #20
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 36
Baylor 26

Projected Total Points: 62
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Baylor6Texas38Texas -17.5Texas49.5Under
202211/25Texas38Baylor27Texas -10Texas55.0Over
202110/30Baylor31Texas24Baylor -2Baylor61.5Under
202010/24Texas27Baylor16Texas -11Push61.5Under
201911/23Baylor24Texas10Baylor -3.5Baylor58.0Under
201810/13Texas23Baylor17Texas -14Baylor58.5Under
201710/28Baylor7Texas38Texas -10Texas52.5Under
201610/29Texas35Baylor34Baylor -3.5Texas75.5Under
201512/05Baylor17Texas23Baylor -20.5Texas63.5Under
201410/04Texas7Baylor28Baylor -13Baylor0
201312/07Baylor30Texas10Baylor -13Baylor0
201210/20Texas56Baylor50
201112/03Baylor48Texas24
201010/30Texas22Baylor30
200911/14Baylor14Texas47
200811/08Texas45Baylor21
200710/20Baylor10Texas31
200610/14Texas63Baylor31
200511/05Baylor0Texas62
200410/02Texas44Baylor14
200310/25Baylor0Texas56
200211/09Texas41Baylor0
200111/03Baylor10Texas49
200010/27Texas48Baylor14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1851 Overs
Baylor658 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 54 - 21 - 3
Road Teams10 - 145 - 53 - 12 - 4

(#) BAY at (#) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #7
Perf GradeGrade #27 #20
OffenseOff #25 #32
DefenseDef #42 #27
Spec TeamsST #65 #18
TalentTal #41 #6
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #68 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #24 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #13 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffBAY Def
Run GameRun #1 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffBAY Def
Pass GamePass #63 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #30 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Texas -10.0 (55.0)
Texas won vs Baylor this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Baylor in 2023 (38-6)

  
BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD