Baylor at Texas - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 25th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas -10 (55.0)
Texas 38 - Baylor: 27 (Big 12)

Bears (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (14 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (34 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX is playing their 4th straight game
BAY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ TEX -11)
Projected Score: BAY: 27 - TEX: 28 (55)
TEX Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BAY Travel: 95 miles

Longhorns (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 22 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Baylor vs UAlbany	-42.5	46.5	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Baylor at BYU	+2.5	54.5	L 20 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Baylor vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor at Iowa State	+2.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-2.5	56.0	L 25 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13	Baylor at West Virginia	-3.0	55.0	L 40 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/22	Baylor vs Kansas	-10.5	56.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas Tech	+1.5	61.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Baylor at Oklahoma	+3.0	61.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Baylor vs Kansas State	-2.5	52.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs TCU	+2.0	58.0	L 28 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Baylor at Texas	+10.0	55.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Thu 12/22	Baylor vs Air Force	-3.5	42.0	L 15 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Texas's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas vs UL Monroe	-37.0	64.5	W 52 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas vs Alabama	+21.0	64.0	L 19 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Texas vs UTSA	-13.0	57.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Texas at Texas Tech	-7.0	60.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/1	Texas vs West Virginia	-7.5	61.0	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Texas vs Oklahoma	-7.5	65.0	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Texas vs Iowa State	-15.5	48.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Texas at Oklahoma State	-6.5	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Texas at Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Texas vs TCU	-7.5	65.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas at Kansas	-9.0	63.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Texas vs Baylor	-10.0	55.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	67.0	L 20 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	.22	45%	32.2	47%	3.21	182	44%	231	4.35	.2	45%	26.8	45%	44%	4.12	41	1.4	1.5
TEX	.28	48%	34.5	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	21.6	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)		46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)		38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6
TEX	#39 (.24)	46% (27)		49% (16)	2.95 (84)	152	44% (43)	241	4.03 (54)	#3 (-.01)	38% (22)		42% (61)	34% (7)	2.57 (3)	44.3	1.4	1.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	13	32.2	33.5	45.1%	4.35	1.4	23	414	182	231	4.4	55%	44%	47%	44%	13%	.22
TEX Defense	13	21.6	19.3	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	13	26.8	30.5	44.7%	4.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	44%	16%	.2
TEX Offense	13	34.5	31.7	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	13	31:30	22.7	40%	64%	4.8	41	1.4	1.5	4.6	1.8	2	30.2
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	13	55%	47%	41.2	182.4	4.4	34	.21	3.21	79%	9%	1.08
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	76%	8%	0.88
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	13	44%	44%	19	30.2	231.5	7.7	12.2	19	11	.29	1.5	30%	33%	.34	4%	2
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.5	29%	37%	.51	7%	2
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2022 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #22
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: Texas: 14.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 11.7 Texas: 23.1

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 14.05 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #20
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Baylor's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 28
Baylor 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 28
Texas 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Texas 31
Baylor 27

Total Points: 58

Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Baylor	6	Texas	38	Texas -17.5	Texas	49.5	Under
2022	11/25	Texas	38	Baylor	27	Texas -10	Texas	55.0	Over
2021	10/30	Baylor	31	Texas	24	Baylor -2	Baylor	61.5	Under
2020	10/24	Texas	27	Baylor	16	Texas -11	Push	61.5	Under
2019	11/23	Baylor	24	Texas	10	Baylor -3.5	Baylor	58.0	Under
2018	10/13	Texas	23	Baylor	17	Texas -14	Baylor	58.5	Under
2017	10/28	Baylor	7	Texas	38	Texas -10	Texas	52.5	Under
2016	10/29	Texas	35	Baylor	34	Baylor -3.5	Texas	75.5	Under
2015	12/05	Baylor	17	Texas	23	Baylor -20.5	Texas	63.5	Under
2014	10/04	Texas	7	Baylor	28	Baylor -13	Baylor	0
2013	12/07	Baylor	30	Texas	10	Baylor -13	Baylor	0
2012	10/20	Texas	56	Baylor	50
2011	12/03	Baylor	48	Texas	24
2010	10/30	Texas	22	Baylor	30
2009	11/14	Baylor	14	Texas	47
2008	11/08	Texas	45	Baylor	21
2007	10/20	Baylor	10	Texas	31
2006	10/14	Texas	63	Baylor	31
2005	11/05	Baylor	0	Texas	62
2004	10/02	Texas	44	Baylor	14
2003	10/25	Baylor	0	Texas	56
2002	11/09	Texas	41	Baylor	0
2001	11/03	Baylor	10	Texas	49
2000	10/27	Texas	48	Baylor	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	18	5	1 Overs
Baylor	6	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 4

(#) BAY at (#) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BAY	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#20
OffenseOff	#25	#32
DefenseDef	#42	#27
Spec TeamsST	#65	#18
TalentTal	#41	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Baylor Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#68	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#44

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#13	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	#1	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#30	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 58° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Texas -10.0 (55.0)
Texas won vs Baylor this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Baylor in 2023 (38-6)
Texas beat Baylor in 2022 (38-27)

BAY's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC Ron Roberts (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD