Arkansas State Red Wolves (@AStateFB)
Butch Jones (5th year) (21-35)
Record: 3 - 4 (2 - 1) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#111) | SOS: (#110)
Roster | Injuries | Portals | Croots | Map
Record: 3 - 4 (2 - 1) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#111) | SOS: (#110)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +9.5 | |||||
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 #111
Schedule Rating: #110
Record: 3 - 4( SBC: 2 - 1)
Spread Record 4 - 3 - 0 | O/U 2 - 5
Future 2026 Schedule
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | W 34 - 31 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (SBC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 6 - 7
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 5Poor
2025 class: 171 points #78
2024 class: 167 points #77
2023 class: 167 points #75
2022 class: 167 points #67
2021 class: 133 points #106
Average Class Ranking: #81
Average Recruiting Points: 161
2024 class: 167 points #77
2023 class: 167 points #75
2022 class: 167 points #67
2021 class: 133 points #106
Average Class Ranking: #81
Average Recruiting Points: 161
Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class: #75 - Best: #67 Worst: #78
CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144 #98
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class: #75 - Best: #67 Worst: #78
CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144 #98
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
2020 class: 149 points #92
2019 class: 143 points #95
2018 class: 148 points #88
2017 class: 115 points #111
2016 class: 132 points #90
Average Class Ranking: #95
Average Recruiting Points: 137
2019 class: 143 points #95
2018 class: 148 points #88
2017 class: 115 points #111
2016 class: 132 points #90
Average Class Ranking: #95
Average Recruiting Points: 137
2025 Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
2024 Portal Class #108 - 11 players, 85 Avg
2023 Portal Class #110 - 9 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class #91 - 10 players, 83 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Keith Heckendorf (been OC for 3 years)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 147 | 220 | 67% | 1454 | 8 | 4 | 6.6 |
| Josh Flowers | 1 | 3 | 33% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 75 | 201 | 4 | 2.7 | 33 |
| Devin Spencer | 43 | 200 | 1 | 4.7 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 59 | 194 | 1 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Kameron Thomas | 8 | 38 | 0 | 4.8 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncy Cobb | 34 | 406 | 0 | 11.9 | 45 |
| Corey Rucker | 25 | 331 | 1 | 13.2 | 50 |
| Hunter Summers | 20 | 243 | 2 | 12.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 20 | 112 | 2 | 5.6 | 27 |
Defensive Coordinator Nate Dreiling (in his first season)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Brandon Greil | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nigel Nelson | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hassler | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Drew Collins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Trenton Alan Yowe | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Malekhi Weedon | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense Returning Production: 67% #31
Defense Returning Production: 26% #130
Overall Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense Returning Production: 67% #31
Defense Returning Production: 26% #130
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #117
22 Commits, 82.8 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 36% TY
2025 Portal Class #117
22 Commits, 82.8 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 36% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Offense Talent #79 | Defense Talent #72
2024 #65 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #88 | 2021 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Offense Talent #79 | Defense Talent #72
2024 #65 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #88 | 2021 #82
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 3 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 1
Spread: 4 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 5
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2023 Record: 6 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 3 - 9
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5
Four Year Record: 20 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 23 - 20 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 15
2025 Record: 3 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 1
Spread: 4 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 5
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2023 Record: 6 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 3 - 9
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5
Four Year Record: 20 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 23 - 20 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 42 - 52
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 45 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 26 - 34
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 42 - 52
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 45 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 26 - 34
| Arkansas State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Ventures Bowl | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 |
| 2023 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 19 - 21 |
| 2019 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Florida International | +1.5 | 60.0 | W 34 - 26 |
| 2018 | N/A | Arkansas State vs Nevada | +1.5 | 56.5 | L 13 - 16 |
| 2017 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee | -3.5 | 61.0 | L 30 - 35 |
| 2016 | Cure Bowl | Arkansas State vs UCF | -6.5 | 51.0 | W 31 - 13 |
| 2015 | Orleans Bowl | Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech | -1.0 | L 28 - 47 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .1 (112) | 1.24 (69) | 40% (108) | 3.73 (87) | 28.2 (90) | 40% | 50% | .28 (127) | 1.29 (89) | 49% (130) | 4.44 (114) | 26.8 (41) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .17 (81) | 1.22 (102) | 41% (91) | 3.96 (63) | 27.6 (104) | 40% | 75% | .31 (126) | 1.31 (91) | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 27 (22) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | 27:04 | 18.6 | 40% | 50% | 5.4 | 49.1 | 1 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 2 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 7 | 22.1 | 29.7 | 17.3 | 40% (108) | 3.73 (87) | 1 | 19 | 311 | 103 | 209 | 3.5 | 41% (123) | 59% (14) | 42% (87) | 39% (103) | 19% (122) | .1 (112) |
| 2025 Defense | 7 | 29.1 | 26 | 23.3 | 49.2% (130) | 4.44 (114) | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% (118) | 43% (20) | 49% (124) | 50% (132) | 12% (126) | .28 (127) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 29 | 20.7 | 41% (91) | 3.96 (63) | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% (83) | 52% (49) | 43% (84) | 39% (96) | 16% (80) | .17 (81) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 27.2 | 37.3 | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% (84) | 48% (52) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 15% (80) | .31 (126) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 7 | 41% (123) | 42% (87) | 29.6 | 102.7 | 3.5 | 7 (95) | .04 (106) | 2.89 (76) | 70% (91) | 12% (117) | 0.91 (95) |
| 2025 Defense | 7 | 56% (118) | 49% (124) | - | - | - | - | .17 (107) | 2.79 (53) | 81% (118) | 7% (128) | 1.06 (101) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 7 | 59% (14) | 39% (103) | 21.1 | 31.9 | 208.7 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 8 (86) | 4 (50) | .14 (113) | 1.5 (85) | 31% (69) | 28% (92) | .27 (86) | 7% (111) | 2.2 (26) |
| 2025 Defense | 7 | 43% (20) | 50% (132) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (62) | .43 (128) | 1.6 (84) | 28% (116) | 36% (124) | .42 (114) | 5% (106) | 2.1 (95) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
Team Notes
(10/14) Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch ❌
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far ❌
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St ❌
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early ❌
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun ❌
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds ❌
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY ❌
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY ❌
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds ❌
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs ❌
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth ❌
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back ❌
(10/14) Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch ❌
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far ❌
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St ❌
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early ❌
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun ❌
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds ❌
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY ❌
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY ❌
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds ❌
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs ❌
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth ❌
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back ❌
Injury Notes
Overall
Power Rating #125 | SP+ Rating #120
Performance Grade #120
Special Teams Grade #111
Record Prediction 4.3 - 7.7 #111
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Power Rating #125 | SP+ Rating #120
Performance Grade #120
Special Teams Grade #111
Record Prediction 4.3 - 7.7 #111
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Offense
Power #95 | SP+ #97 | Grade #103
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Off Success #108 | Explosivness #69
Rush Grade #120 | Pass Grade #110
Rush Success #87 | Explosiveness #95
Pass Success #103 | Explosiveness #85
Run Block #99 | Pass Block #31
OL YDS #76 | Stuff Rate #83
Scoring Zone Off: #87
Power #95 | SP+ #97 | Grade #103
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Off Success #108 | Explosivness #69
Rush Grade #120 | Pass Grade #110
Rush Success #87 | Explosiveness #95
Pass Success #103 | Explosiveness #85
Run Block #99 | Pass Block #31
OL YDS #76 | Stuff Rate #83
Scoring Zone Off: #87
Defense
Power #130 | SP+ #130 | Grade #131
Def Success #130 | Explosivness #89
Rush Success #124 | Explosiveness #101
Tackling #111 | Run Def #129
Pass Success #132 | Explosiveness #84
Pass Rush #134 | Coverage #122
F7 Havoc #128 | DB Havoc #106
Scoring Zone Def #114
Power #130 | SP+ #130 | Grade #131
Def Success #130 | Explosivness #89
Rush Success #124 | Explosiveness #101
Tackling #111 | Run Def #129
Pass Success #132 | Explosiveness #84
Pass Rush #134 | Coverage #122
F7 Havoc #128 | DB Havoc #106
Scoring Zone Def #114
Roster
Team Talent #75 Blue Chips: 2% #79
Offense Talent #79 Defense Talent #72
Crootin: '25 Class #78 - 4 YR Class: #75
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 36% TY
94 New Players, 97% of '25 Roster #133
Team Talent #75 Blue Chips: 2% #79
Offense Talent #79 Defense Talent #72
Crootin: '25 Class #78 - 4 YR Class: #75
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 36% TY
94 New Players, 97% of '25 Roster #133
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 22.1 - 29.1 (26 - 32) in '24
Scoring at Home: 30 - 26 | Road: 17 - 23
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Nate Dreiling - in his first season
2025 Record: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0) (SBC: 2 - 1)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (20 - 25) | 8 Yr Record: (42 - 52)
Scoring: 22.1 - 29.1 (26 - 32) in '24
Scoring at Home: 30 - 26 | Road: 17 - 23
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Nate Dreiling - in his first season
2025 Record: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0) (SBC: 2 - 1)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (20 - 25) | 8 Yr Record: (42 - 52)
Notes
Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch
Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch
Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
'25 Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Poor when off Schedule 28%
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Poor when off Schedule 28%
'25 Defense
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 36%
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 36%
Returning Prod
HC Jones, OC Heckendorf & QB all back
'24 QB Jaylen Raynor returns
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
OL Prod: 61% #50, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2764 #76 | From Portal: 486 #64
Rush Prod: 78% #31 | Rec Prod: 58% #52
Def Front Seven: 25% - Secondary: 21%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5
HC Jones, OC Heckendorf & QB all back
'24 QB Jaylen Raynor returns
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
OL Prod: 61% #50, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2764 #76 | From Portal: 486 #64
Rush Prod: 78% #31 | Rec Prod: 58% #52
Def Front Seven: 25% - Secondary: 21%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #120 - Power Rating: #125
2024 SP+ Overall: #104 - Power Rating: #91
2023 SP+ Overall: #92 - Power Rating: #100
2022 SP+ Overall: #107
2025 SP+ Overall: #120 - Power Rating: #125
2024 SP+ Overall: #104 - Power Rating: #91
2023 SP+ Overall: #92 - Power Rating: #100
2022 SP+ Overall: #107
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #97 - Power Rating: #95
2024 SP+ Offense: #87 - Power Rating: #62
2023 SP+ Offense: #72 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Offense: #89
2025 SP+ Offense: #97 - Power Rating: #95
2024 SP+ Offense: #87 - Power Rating: #62
2023 SP+ Offense: #72 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Offense: #89
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #130 - Power Rating: #130
2024 SP+ Defense: #119 - Power Rating: #124
2023 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #95
2022 SP+ Defense: #118
2025 SP+ Defense: #130 - Power Rating: #130
2024 SP+ Defense: #119 - Power Rating: #124
2023 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #95
2022 SP+ Defense: #118