Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Southern Miss -6.5 (54.5) (-238) Open: -3.5
Southern Miss 27 - Arkansas State: 21 (Sun Belt)
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
USM coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Southern Miss -2.5 (SP+ USM -4)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - ARST: 26 (54)
USM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USM Travel: 322 miles
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Southern Miss -2.5 (SP+ USM -4)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - ARST: 26 (54)
USM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USM Travel: 322 miles
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
| Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Southern Miss vs Mississippi State | +11.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Southern Miss vs Jackson State | -13.5 | 53.0 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Southern Miss vs App State | +3.0 | 55.5 | W 38 - 22 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech | +3.0 | 51.5 | L 20 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State | -4.5 | 55.5 | W 42 - 25 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Southern Miss at Georgia Southern | -3.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Southern Miss at Louisiana | -4.5 | 54.5 | W 22 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Southern Miss vs UL Monroe | -14.0 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Southern Miss at Arkansas State | -6.5 | 54.5 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Southern Miss vs Texas State | -3.0 | 65.5 | L 14 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Southern Miss at South Alabama | -2.5 | 53.0 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Southern Miss vs Troy | -6.5 | 50.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | N | |
| Tue 12/23 | Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky | -3.0 | 59.0 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +1.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +7.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +6.5 | 54.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +1.0 | 54.5 | W 30 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/18 | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | #68 (.18) | 39% (104) | 28.8 | 39% (109) | 2.95 (67) | 127 | 40% (91) | 246 | 3.6 (80) | #43 (.11) | 42% (64) | 27.4 | 43% (73) | 41% (64) | 3.94 (98) | 52.5 | 1.1 | 2 |
| ARST | #112 (.09) | 42% (71) | 25.2 | 40% (102) | 2.65 (118) | 124 | 44% (47) | 260 | 3.31 (110) | #89 (.19) | 43% (90) | 27.4 | 44% (81) | 43% (93) | 3.9 (93) | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | #132 () | 35% (130) | 40% (108) | 2.59 (126) | 109 | 30% (133) | 175 | 2.75 (133) | #125 (.3) | 44% (97) | 45% (89) | 43% (93) | 4.17 (104) | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 28.4 | 39.3% | 3.6 | 1.1 | 20 | 373 | 127 | 246 | 3.8 | 48% | 51% | 39% | 40% | 16% | .18 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 43.4% | 3.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 27.6 | 41.5% | 3.94 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 18% | .11 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 29 | 42% | 3.31 | 1.8 | 22 | 383 | 124 | 260 | 3.6 | 42% | 56% | 40% | 44% | 18% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 13 | 25:31 | 20 | 40% | 50% | 6.5 | 52.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 29.5 |
| Arkansas State | 13 | 29:31 | 22.2 | 39% | 60% | 6.3 | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 48% (79) | 39% (109) | 33.3 | 126.6 | 3.8 | 18 (78) | .09 (77) | 2.95 (67) | 67% (99) | 9% (49) | 0.94 (79) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (96) | 44% (81) | - | - | - | - | .12 (80) | 2.75 (45) | 69% (50) | 11% (39) | 1.01 (92) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 52% (102) | 43% (73) | - | - | - | - | .14 (93) | 2.98 (87) | 78% (112) | 9% (89) | 1.02 (99) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 42% (122) | 40% (102) | 34.5 | 123.5 | 3.6 | 14 (107) | -.01 (125) | 2.65 (118) | 70% (80) | 10% (89) | 0.8 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 51% (53) | 40% (91) | 20.4 | 31.2 | 246.2 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 25 (33) | 10 (34) | .28 (57) | 1.7 (15) | 34% (119) | 30% (74) | .33 (57) | 8% (121) | 2.1 (45) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 47% (44) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .31 (97) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (87) | 32% (99) | .41 (118) | 5% (109) | 2.2 (117) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 45% (33) | 41% (64) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 (3) | .14 (22) | 1.5 (40) | 32% (67) | 30% (75) | .27 (63) | 8% (10) | 2.2 (120) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 56% (13) | 44% (47) | 25.7 | 39.1 | 259.8 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 20 (86) | 12 (60) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (122) | 30% (47) | 28% (86) | .27 (83) | 8% (125) | 2.1 (27) |
Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -3.72 #85
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.79 #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6 #90
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -3.72 #85
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.79 #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6 #90
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.72 Arkansas State: -7.31
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -5.6 Arkansas State: -9.8
Southern Miss: -3.72 Arkansas State: -7.31
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -5.6 Arkansas State: -9.8
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.31 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.31 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
Arkansas State 26
Total Points: 54
Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 29
Arkansas State 26
Total Points: 54
Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 28
Arkansas State 27
Total Points: 55
Southern Miss 28
Arkansas State 26
Total Points: 54
Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 29
Arkansas State 26
Total Points: 54
Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 28
Arkansas State 27
Total Points: 55
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/08 | Arkansas State | 21 | Southern Miss | 27 | Southern Miss -6.5 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/19 | Southern Miss | 28 | Arkansas State | 44 | Arkansas State -7 | Arkansas State | 57.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/23 | Arkansas State | 44 | Southern Miss | 37 | Southern Mississippi -7 | Arkansas State | 46.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Southern Miss | 20 | Arkansas State | 19 | Southern Mississippi -4.5 | Arkansas State | 53.0 | Under |
| 2008 | 09/13 | Arkansas State | 24 | Southern Miss | 27 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | Southern Miss | 16 | Arkansas State | 10 | ||||
| 2005 | 12/20 | Arkansas State | 19 | Southern Miss | 31 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 2 | 4 | 2 Overs |
| Southern Miss | 5 | 0 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USM | ARST |
| Power RatePwr | #85 | #108 |
| SP+SP+ | #90 | #105 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #36 | #93 |
| OffenseOff | #76 | #86 |
| DefenseDef | #10 | #94 |
| Spec TeamsST | #40 | #62 |
| TalentTal | #52 | #75 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #56 | #79 |
(12/11) Hired OC Blake Anderson at HC. Decent hire?
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| USM Off | ARST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #76 | #94 |
| SuccessSuc | #104 | #90 |
| ExplosiveExp | #22 | #95 |
| PPAPPA | #68 | #89 |
| PowerPwr | #75 | #102 |
| SP+SP+ | #67 | #104 |
| Pts POPPO | #80 | #93 |
| HavocHav | #91 | #70 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| USM Off | ARST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #116 | #79 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #109 | #81 |
| Run ExplRExp | #79 | #92 |
| PPAExp | #77 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #118 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #67 | #45 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #71 | #64 |
| TackleTak | - | #48 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| USM Off | ARST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #35 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #91 | #93 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #15 | #89 |
| PPAExp | #57 | #97 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #45 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #49 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #121 | #109 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | USM Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #86 | #10 |
| SuccessSuc | #71 | #64 |
| ExplosiveExp | #124 | #53 |
| PPAPPA | #112 | #43 |
| PowerPwr | #102 | #88 |
| SP+SP+ | #97 | #102 |
| Pts POPPO | #110 | #98 |
| HavocHav | #111 | #32 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | USM Def | |
| Run GameRun | #115 | #22 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #102 | #73 |
| Run ExplRExp | #125 | #99 |
| PPAExp | #125 | #93 | Run BlockR Blk | #79 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #118 | #87 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #111 | #74 |
| TackleTak | - | #31 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | USM Def |
| Pass GamePass | #78 | #13 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #47 | #64 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #122 | #40 |
| PPAExp | #86 | #22 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #13 | #33 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #89 |
| DB HavocDB | #125 | #10 |
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 8 mph
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 8 mph
Southern Miss 6.5 (54.5)
Southern Miss won at Arkansas State this year (27-21)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Southern Miss last year (44-28)
Arkansas State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (44-37)
Southern Miss beat Arkansas State in 2022 (20-19)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 254 | 400 | 64% | 3053 | 24 | 8 | 7.6 |
| Landy Lyddy | 34 | 52 | 65% | 406 | 2 | 3 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Pittman (Tr) | 156 | 695 | 8 | 4.5 | 25 |
| Matt Jones (Tr) | 82 | 325 | 4 | 4.0 | 17 |
| Robert Briggs (Tr) | 62 | 304 | 1 | 4.9 | 24 |
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 98 | 215 | 1 | 2.2 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Metcalf (Tr) | 54 | 683 | 2 | 12.6 | 76 |
| Carl Chester (Tr) | 30 | 550 | 6 | 18.3 | 52 |
| Tychaun Chapman (Tr) | 24 | 444 | 3 | 18.5 | 50 |
| Micah Davis (Tr) | 31 | 429 | 5 | 13.8 | 98 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones | 132 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Montgomery (Tr) | 106 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Corey Myrick (Tr) | 91 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 76 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Mond Tapp (Tr) | 69 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 2 |
| Garrick Ponder | 37 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 132 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Montgomery (Tr) | 106 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Moten (Tr) | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Anthony Richard | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 76 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 332 | 500 | 66% | 3364 | 19 | 11 | 6.7 |
| Josh Flowers | 2 | 6 | 33% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Spencer | 108 | 559 | 3 | 5.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 139 | 523 | 3 | 3.8 | 30 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 154 | 428 | 7 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Josh Flowers | 9 | 60 | 0 | 6.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 73 | 1029 | 4 | 14.1 | 71 |
| Chauncy Cobb | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Hunter Summers | 44 | 505 | 4 | 11.5 | 43 |
| Tyler Fortenberry (Tr) | 32 | 294 | 2 | 9.2 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Taylor | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Brandon Barnes | 68 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Hendricks | 53 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Ethan Hassler | 56 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
