Southern Miss at Arkansas State Game Matchup
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Centennial Bank Stadium - Jonesboro, AR  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
USM coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -0   (SP+ ARST -8)

Projected Score: USM: 28 - ARST: 28 (56)
ARST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 322 miles
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-15
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State-8
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech-5
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern+7.5
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana+4.5
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State+0
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State+1.5
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama+8.5
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy+2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-12.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+19.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-7
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+4
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+11
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+9
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss-0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+2
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)15.340% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)37.845% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)25.843% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)32.251% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1215.31134.7%2.752.4162841091753.249%51%40%30%26%
ARST Defense1332.227.248%4.621.4 - - - - - 52%48%51%44%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1237.842.544.1%4.170.8 - - - - - 55%45%45%43%14%.3
ARST Offense1325.82941%3.961.3203571482104.348%52%43%39%16%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1227:2215.525%44%648.32.40.85.41.7226.5
Arkansas State1326:5620.340%75%5.147.81.31.44.51.4127.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1249% (79)40% (108)34.21093.213 (105).06 (103)2.59 (126)61% (124)18% (133)1 (53)
ARST Defense1352% (84)51% (131) - - - - .28 (131)3.45 (127)73% (65)9% (82)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1255% (116)45% (89) - - - - .27 (129)3.22 (101)71% (54)10% (80)1.21 (131)
ARST Offense1348% (83)43% (84)34.8147.84.316 (90).12 (72)3.01 (77)73% (71)9% (48)0.9 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1251% (55)30% (133)13.826.5174.96.612.67 (130)17 (127)-.05 (134)1.7 (30)38% (130)24% (125).15 (129)8% (122)2.1 (45)
ARST Defense1348% (52)44% (110) - - - - - - 14 (23).35 (115)1.7 (103)29% (106)32% (89).51 (125)6% (74)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1245% (20)43% (93) - - - - - - 6 (109).35 (114)1.7 (114)31% (77)35% (114).51 (124)5% (113)2.2 (116)
ARST Offense1352% (49)39% (96)19.631.6209.66.610.717 (79)9 (48).21 (90)1.5 (88)31% (67)32% (55).39 (42)8% (115)2 (97)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.40 #66
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.40   Arkansas State: -8.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -17.7   Arkansas State: -9.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
Arkansas State 28


Projected Total Points: 56
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Southern Miss28Arkansas State44Arkansas StateArkansas State -7Arkansas State57.0Over
202309/23Arkansas State44Southern Miss37Arkansas StateSouthern Mississippi -7Arkansas State46.5Over
202210/15Southern Miss20Arkansas State19Southern MissSouthern Mississippi -4.5Arkansas State53.0Under
200809/13Arkansas State24Southern Miss27Southern Miss
200711/24Southern Miss16Arkansas State10Southern Miss
200512/20Arkansas State19Southern Miss31Southern Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State232 Overs
Southern Miss401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 32 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#66) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.40 #66
Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126
Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Southern Miss Notes
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) RB rebuild. 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 4/5 back, 7 portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, complete rebuild. 17 portals, 11 DBs
(3/24) New HC Huff a good one, a steal for S. Miss
(3/24) 1/2 roster is new. CB Moten (Marsh) great add
(3/24) New OC Anderson former Utah St HC.
Southern Miss     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #66
#99
Off #85
#62
Def #44
#130
Talent #63
#75
SP+ #128
#100
SP+ Off #114
#68
SP+ Def #126
#122

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Southern Miss last year (44-28)
Arkansas State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (44-37)
Southern Miss beat Arkansas State in 2022 (20-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | ARST
Depth Chart: USM | ARST
Rosters: USM | ARST
(#99) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY


  
Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
John White173155%240037.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Matt Jones (Tr)4321134.946
JQ Gray3210603.319
Robert Briggs (Tr)98809.855
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Grant Page (Tr)3328128.535
Kyirin Heath15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ian Foster (Tr)485004
Chris Jones463101
Brodarius Lewis398400
Josh Moten (Tr)380005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Jabari Ishmael (Tr)223251
JJ Hawkins222173
Ahmere Foster (Tr)372102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)380005
Ian Foster (Tr)485004
JJ Hawkins222173

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Ethan Crawford (Tr)5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Kenyon Clay (Tr)8438774.670
Ethan Crawford (Tr)9720932.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Kenyon Clay (Tr)21225110.737
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AG McGhee (Tr)541000
Christopher Boti361111
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Christopher Boti361111
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avante Dickerson (Tr)192003
James Reed III71002
Marcus Bradley71011