Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (5:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -14.0 (60.0) (-700) Open: -14.5 | 60.5
Louisiana 55 - Arkansas State: 19 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - ULL: 36 (59)
ULL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 397 miles
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - ULL: 36 (59)
ULL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 397 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisiana's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisiana vs Grambling | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Louisiana at Kennesaw State | -14.5 | 46.5 | W 34 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisiana vs Tulane | +1.5 | 53.5 | L 33 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisiana at Wake Forest | +3.0 | 59.5 | W 41 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisiana at Southern Miss | -17.5 | 57.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisiana vs App State | -10.0 | 64.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisiana at Coastal Carolina | -6.0 | 57.0 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Louisiana at Texas State | +4.0 | 60.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Louisiana vs Arkansas State | -14.0 | 60.0 | W 55 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Louisiana vs South Alabama | -6.5 | 60.0 | L 22 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisiana vs Troy | -7.5 | 51.5 | W 51 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisiana at UL Monroe | -8.5 | 50.5 | W 37 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Louisiana vs Marshall | -5.0 | 58.0 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Louisiana vs TCU | +9.5 | 61.0 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 25.8 | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 32.2 | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| ULL | #16 (.3) | 45% (47) | 30.9 | 42% (91) | 3.24 (35) | 159 | 47% (17) | 242 | 4.27 (32) | #97 (.22) | 48% (126) | 24.1 | 53% (133) | 44% (105) | 4.43 (121) | 44.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||
| ULL | #16 (.3) | 45% (47) | 42% (91) | 3.24 (35) | 159 | 47% (17) | 242 | 4.27 (32) | #97 (.22) | 48% (126) | 53% (133) | 44% (105) | 4.43 (121) | 44.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 20.7 | 41% | 3.96 | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 39% | 16% | .17 |
| ULL Defense | 14 | 24.1 | 25.6 | 48.4% | 4.43 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 53% | 44% | 13% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 37.3 | 48% | 4.62 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 51% | 44% | 15% | .31 |
| ULL Offense | 14 | 30.9 | 34 | 44.5% | 4.27 | 0.6 | 20 | 401 | 159 | 242 | 5 | 53% | 47% | 42% | 47% | 11% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 27.6 |
| Louisiana | 14 | 29:12 | 19.7 | 43% | 64% | 5.4 | 44.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
| ULL Defense | 14 | 50% (61) | 53% (133) | - | - | - | - | .24 (121) | 3.36 (118) | 82% (116) | 7% (125) | 0.87 (18) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
| ULL Offense | 14 | 53% (52) | 42% (91) | 31.6 | 158.9 | 5 | 26 (36) | .2 (33) | 3.24 (35) | 76% (44) | 6% (6) | 1.07 (31) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| ULL Defense | 14 | 50% (77) | 44% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (18) | .21 (53) | 1.4 (11) | 28% (121) | 34% (108) | .33 (84) | 5% (97) | 1.9 (33) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
| ULL Offense | 14 | 47% (80) | 47% (17) | 18.4 | 27.5 | 241.9 | 8.8 | 13.1 | 22 (46) | 7 (26) | .41 (10) | 1.6 (50) | 28% (17) | 29% (97) | .39 (48) | 5% (29) | 2.3 (9) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.76 Louisiana: 4.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Louisiana: 4.8
Arkansas State: -7.76 Louisiana: 4.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Louisiana: 4.8
Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 36
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 59
Louisiana 36
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 59
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Louisiana | 55 | Arkansas State | 19 | Louisiana | Louisiana -14.0 | Louisiana | 60.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Arkansas State | 37 | Louisiana | 17 | Arkansas State | Louisiana -9 | Arkansas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Louisiana | 38 | Arkansas State | 18 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6 | Louisiana | 51.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/21 | Arkansas State | 27 | Louisiana | 28 | Louisiana | Louisiana -17 | Arkansas State | 70.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 20 | Louisiana | Louisiana -13.5 | Arkansas State | 69.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/17 | Arkansas State | 20 | Louisiana | 37 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6 | Louisiana | 69.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Louisiana | 47 | Arkansas State | 43 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -3 | Louisiana | 69.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/19 | Arkansas State | 47 | Louisiana | 3 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -12 | Arkansas State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Louisiana | 24 | Arkansas State | 19 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -6.5 | Louisiana | 50.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/20 | Arkansas State | 37 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/21 | Louisiana | 55 | Arkansas State | 40 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -3 | Louisiana | 59.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 10/22 | Arkansas State | 7 | Louisiana | 23 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6.5 | Louisiana | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/23 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 50 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Arkansas State | 30 | Louisiana | 21 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2010 | 09/11 | Louisiana | 31 | Arkansas State | 24 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Arkansas State | 18 | Louisiana | 21 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Louisiana | 28 | Arkansas State | 23 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 52 | Louisiana | 21 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Louisiana | 28 | Arkansas State | 13 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2005 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 39 | Louisiana | 36 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 24 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Louisiana | 13 | Arkansas State | 10 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 26 | Louisiana | 20 | Arkansas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | 15 | 7 | 5 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 8 | 5 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 18 - 5 | 9 - 3 | 4 - 1 | 5 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 18 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 4 |
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has won 2 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has won 2 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ULL | ARST |
| OverallOver | #25 | #73 |
| OffenseOff | #14 | #67 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #100 |
| Special TeamsST | #108 | #64 |
| PassingPass | #7 | #37 |
| RushingRush | #43 | #71 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #21 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #40 | #97 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #20 | #74 |
| TacklingTkl | #110 | #112 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #88 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #101 | #67 |
| Coverage DefCov | #20 | #98 |
Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana -14.0 (60.0)
Louisiana won vs Arkansas State this year (55-19)
Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Arkansas State last year (55-19)
Arkansas State beat Louisiana in 2023 (37-17)
Louisiana beat Arkansas State in 2022 (38-18)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ARST | ULL
Depth Chart: ARST | ULL
Rosters: ARST | ULL
(#67) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana has won 5 straight
Louisiana has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana offense is explosive (#71)
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana has won 5 straight
Louisiana has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana offense is explosive (#71)
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Wallace | 154 | 721 | 11 | 4.7 | 57 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Courtney Jackson | 42 | 494 | 2 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Reagan Ealy | 23 | 262 | 0 | 11.4 | 22 |
| Adam Jones | 21 | 255 | 3 | 12.1 | 46 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Justin Parks | 96 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Charles Willekes | 92 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Trevian Thomas | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wooldridge | 192 | 291 | 66% | 2453 | 17 | 6 | 8.4 |
| Chandler Fields | 63 | 87 | 72% | 897 | 5 | 1 | 10.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Davis | 163 | 796 | 9 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Zylan Perry | 112 | 695 | 4 | 6.2 | 30 |
| Dre'Lyn Washington | 73 | 478 | 5 | 6.5 | 64 |
| Ben Wooldridge | 65 | 174 | 5 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance LeGendre | 49 | 826 | 6 | 16.9 | 48 |
| Terrance Carter | 48 | 689 | 4 | 14.4 | 74 |
| Harvey Broussard | 31 | 486 | 3 | 15.7 | 50 |
| Jacob Bernard | 28 | 375 | 0 | 13.4 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.C. Ossai | 115 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Tyrone Lewis | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Carmycah Glass (Tr) | 75 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Keyon Martin | 56 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Whitfield | 36 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Jordan Lawson | 44 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Mason Narcisse | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Antoine Baylis | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Baylis | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Keyon Martin | 56 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Justin Agu | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |