Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (5:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -14.0 (60.0) (-700) Open: -14.5 | 60.5
Louisiana 55 - Arkansas State: 19 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Heavy Rain Predicted
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - ULL: 36 (57)
ULL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 397 miles
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - ULL: 36 (57)
ULL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 397 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisiana's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisiana vs Grambling | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Louisiana at Kennesaw State | -14.5 | 46.5 | W 34 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisiana vs Tulane | +1.5 | 53.5 | L 33 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisiana at Wake Forest | +3.0 | 59.5 | W 41 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisiana at Southern Miss | -17.5 | 57.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisiana vs App State | -10.0 | 64.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisiana at Coastal Carolina | -6.0 | 57.0 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Louisiana at Texas State | +4.0 | 60.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Louisiana vs Arkansas State | -14.0 | 60.0 | W 55 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Louisiana vs South Alabama | -6.5 | 60.0 | L 22 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisiana vs Troy | -7.5 | 51.5 | W 51 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisiana at UL Monroe | -8.5 | 50.5 | W 37 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Louisiana vs Marshall | -5.0 | 58.0 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Louisiana vs TCU | +9.5 | 61.0 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 42% (73) | 25.8 | 43% (71) | 3.12 (65) | 148 | 41% (80) | 225 | 3.21 (114) | #110 (.25) | 42% (72) | 32.2 | 44% (80) | 41% (59) | 4.05 (92) | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 |
| ULL | #48 (.22) | 45% (35) | 30.9 | 46% (42) | 3.23 (46) | 177 | 46% (29) | 217 | 4.16 (42) | #71 (.18) | 45% (110) | 24.1 | 47% (112) | 43% (87) | 4.38 (117) | 49.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| ULL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 20.7 | 41.6% | 3.21 | 1 | 20 | 374 | 148 | 225 | 4.2 | 50% | 49% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .17 |
| ULL Defense | 13 | 24.1 | 25.6 | 45% | 4.38 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 42% | 47% | 43% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 37.3 | 42.3% | 4.05 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 15% | .25 |
| ULL Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 34 | 45.2% | 4.16 | 1.5 | 20 | 393 | 177 | 217 | 4.9 | 52% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 17% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:17 | 19.8 | 36% | 35% | 6.2 | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 30.4 |
| Louisiana | 13 | 29:05 | 20.4 | 41% | 55% | 6.1 | 49.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 4 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 50% (72) | 43% (71) | 35.3 | 148.2 | 4.2 | 20 (61) | .16 (66) | 3.12 (65) | 69% (104) | 9% (58) | 1.05 (43) |
| ULL Defense | 13 | 57% (129) | 47% (112) | - | - | - | - | .17 (90) | 3.31 (111) | 86% (125) | 10% (86) | 0.86 (15) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 50% (65) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .17 (88) | 3.09 (66) | 85% (124) | 10% (71) | 1.01 (78) |
| ULL Offense | 13 | 52% (50) | 46% (42) | 36.1 | 176.8 | 4.9 | 25 (37) | .16 (61) | 3.23 (46) | 77% (38) | 12% (99) | 1.04 (45) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 49% (65) | 41% (80) | 16 | 28.5 | 225.5 | 7.9 | 14.1 | 17 (85) | 9 (40) | .24 (83) | 1.7 (40) | 31% (59) | 31% (68) | .28 (88) | 6% (87) | 2.1 (53) |
| ULL Defense | 13 | 42% (6) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (26) | .26 (63) | 1.6 (63) | 26% (131) | 32% (96) | .31 (69) | 6% (74) | 2 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 49% (73) | 41% (59) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .34 (105) | 1.6 (59) | 31% (83) | 24% (11) | .3 (66) | 5% (111) | 2.2 (116) |
| ULL Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 46% (29) | 18.3 | 28.2 | 216.7 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 23 (51) | 9 (40) | .34 (49) | 1.5 (107) | 30% (38) | 27% (97) | .23 (100) | 5% (30) | 2 (81) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.76 Louisiana: 4.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Louisiana: 4.8
Arkansas State: -7.76 Louisiana: 4.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Louisiana: 4.8
Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 36
Arkansas State 23
Projected Total Points: 57
Louisiana 36
Arkansas State 23
Projected Total Points: 57
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Louisiana | 55 | Arkansas State | 19 | Louisiana | Louisiana -14.0 | Louisiana | 60.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Arkansas State | 37 | Louisiana | 17 | Arkansas State | Louisiana -9 | Arkansas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Louisiana | 38 | Arkansas State | 18 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6 | Louisiana | 51.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/21 | Arkansas State | 27 | Louisiana | 28 | Louisiana | Louisiana -17 | Arkansas State | 70.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 20 | Louisiana | Louisiana -13.5 | Arkansas State | 69.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/17 | Arkansas State | 20 | Louisiana | 37 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6 | Louisiana | 69.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Louisiana | 47 | Arkansas State | 43 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -3 | Louisiana | 69.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/19 | Arkansas State | 47 | Louisiana | 3 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -12 | Arkansas State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Louisiana | 24 | Arkansas State | 19 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -6.5 | Louisiana | 50.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/20 | Arkansas State | 37 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/21 | Louisiana | 55 | Arkansas State | 40 | Louisiana | Arkansas State -3 | Louisiana | 59.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 10/22 | Arkansas State | 7 | Louisiana | 23 | Louisiana | Louisiana -6.5 | Louisiana | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/23 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 50 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Arkansas State | 30 | Louisiana | 21 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2010 | 09/11 | Louisiana | 31 | Arkansas State | 24 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Arkansas State | 18 | Louisiana | 21 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Louisiana | 28 | Arkansas State | 23 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 52 | Louisiana | 21 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Louisiana | 28 | Arkansas State | 13 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2005 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 39 | Louisiana | 36 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Louisiana | 27 | Arkansas State | 24 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Louisiana | 13 | Arkansas State | 10 | Louisiana | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 26 | Louisiana | 20 | Arkansas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | 15 | 7 | 5 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 8 | 5 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 18 - 5 | 9 - 3 | 4 - 1 | 5 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 18 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 4 |
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Power #91
#67Off #62
#11Def #124
#103Talent #65
#85SP+ #104
#53SP+ Off #87
#38SP+ Def #119
#78Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana -14.0 (60.0)
Louisiana won vs Arkansas State this year (55-19)
Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Arkansas State last year (55-19)
Arkansas State beat Louisiana in 2023 (37-17)
Louisiana beat Arkansas State in 2022 (38-18)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 80°( - Hum: 76%) - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.075
Team Information
Injuries: ARST | ULL
Depth Chart: ARST | ULL
Rosters: ARST | ULL
(#67) Louisiana Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Malik Hornsby (Tr) | 5 | 86 | 1 | 17.2 | 73 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 35 | 228 | 1 | 6.5 | 20 |
| Hunter Summers (Tr) | 9 | 116 | 2 | 12.9 | 32 |
| Miller McCrumby | 11 | 79 | 0 | 7.2 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Tim Hardiman | 31 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Beale | 13 | 30 | 43% | 126 | 0 | 2 | 4.2 |
| D'Wayne' Winfield | 1 | 2 | 50% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Davis | 163 | 796 | 9 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Zylan Perry | 112 | 695 | 4 | 6.2 | 30 |
| Dre'Lyn Washington | 73 | 478 | 5 | 6.5 | 64 |
| Bill Davis | 9 | 103 | 0 | 11.4 | 73 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Carter | 48 | 689 | 4 | 14.4 | 74 |
| Harvey Broussard | 31 | 486 | 3 | 15.7 | 50 |
| Robert Williams | 26 | 290 | 1 | 11.2 | 47 |
| Caden Jensen | 19 | 138 | 2 | 7.3 | 18 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmycah Glass (Tr) | 75 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Jordan Lawson | 44 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Tyree Skipper | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden Dugger (Tr) | 37 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Whitfield | 36 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Jordan Lawson | 44 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Fitzgerald West Jr. (Tr) | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Edwards | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Agu | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Kody Jackson | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tyree Skipper | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |