Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Centennial Bank Stadium - Jonesboro, AR (Sun Belt)
Eagles (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (17 - 51 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (17 - 51 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Arkansas State -5 (SP+ ARST -3)
Projected Score: GASO: 29 - ARST: 34 (62)
ARST Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
GASO Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Projected Score: GASO: 29 - ARST: 34 (62)
ARST Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
GASO Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Wolves (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Georgia Southern at Fresno State | +2.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Georgia Southern at USC | +29.0 | 61.5 | L 20 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State | -3.0 | 59.0 | W 41 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Georgia Southern vs Maine | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Georgia Southern at James Madison | +24 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Georgia Southern vs Georgia State | -5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Georgia Southern at Arkansas State | +5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/6 | Georgia Southern at App State | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Georgia Southern at Marshall | +7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -6.0 | 56.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | -5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | #125 () | 36% (117) | 25 | 43% (81) | 3.76 (12) | 148 | 33% (116) | 195 | 3.89 (74) | #135 (.54) | 64% (136) | 45 | 71% (136) | 59% (135) | 5.17 (125) | 40 | 1 | 1.7 |
| ARST | #108 (.09) | 41% (87) | 24 | 45% (60) | 2.62 (101) | 153 | 38% (103) | 233 | 3.65 (88) | #130 (.42) | 52% (132) | 34.7 | 52% (125) | 52% (128) | 4.61 (110) | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | #68 (.19) | 43% (65) | 46% (44) | 2.84 (101) | 128 | 40% (85) | 238 | 4.57 (17) | #105 (.23) | 45% (108) | 47% (109) | 44% (102) | 3.81 (71) | 48.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Offense | 3 | 25 | 17 | 36.2% | 3.89 | 1 | 21 | 343 | 148 | 195 | 4.6 | 36% | 62% | 43% | 33% | 15% | |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 34.7 | 24 | 52% | 4.61 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 14% | .42 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Defense | 3 | 45 | 50.5 | 64.4% | 5.17 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 71% | 59% | 8% | .54 |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 24 | 29 | 41.5% | 3.65 | 1.3 | 23 | 386 | 153 | 233 | 3.9 | 47% | 53% | 45% | 38% | 18% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 3 | 27:05 | 21 | 41% | 67% | 3.7 | 40 | 1 | 1.7 | 4 | 0.3 | 1 | 24 |
| Arkansas State | 3 | 34:10 | 22.7 | 48% | 33% | 7.7 | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | 30.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Offense | 3 | 36% (132) | 43% (81) | 32 | 148.3 | 4.6 | 3 (95) | .11 (82) | 3.76 (12) | 100% (1) | 8% (58) | 0.64 (131) |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 51% (87) | 52% (125) | - | - | - | - | .31 (128) | 3.23 (113) | 100% (127) | 7% (115) | 1.06 (92) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Defense | 3 | 54% (101) | 71% (136) | - | - | - | - | .48 (136) | 4.49 (136) | 89% (119) | 5% (132) | 0.99 (79) |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 47% (91) | 45% (60) | 39.3 | 153.3 | 3.9 | 4 (79) | .04 (98) | 2.62 (101) | 60% (103) | 12% (112) | 0.96 (67) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Offense | 3 | 62% (7) | 33% (116) | 19 | 32.3 | 194.7 | 6 | 10.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | -.03 (130) | 1.6 (41) | 36% (119) | 24% (114) | .22 (97) | 7% (102) | 2.1 (58) |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 48% (50) | 52% (128) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .58 (129) | 1.7 (105) | 27% (122) | 36% (117) | .58 (120) | 7% (48) | 2.2 (103) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GASO Defense | 3 | 44% (27) | 59% (135) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .8 (134) | 1.7 (111) | 17% (136) | 57% (136) | .79 (132) | 3% (116) | 1.6 (25) |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 53% (45) | 38% (103) | 22.3 | 33.7 | 233 | 6.9 | 10.4 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | .14 (105) | 1.6 (42) | 28% (47) | 30% (80) | .4 (53) | 6% (96) | 2.3 (20) |
Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -22.24 Arkansas State: -13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -13.4 Arkansas State: -10.2
Georgia Southern: -22.24 Arkansas State: -13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -13.4 Arkansas State: -10.2
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -13 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -13 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 50.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 50.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 34
Georgia Southern 29
Total Points: 62
Arkansas State 34
Georgia Southern 29
Total Points: 62
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 10/02 | Georgia Southern | 59 | Arkansas State | 33 | Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern -1.5 | Georgia Southern | 66.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/23 | Arkansas State | 38 | Georgia Southern | 33 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -1 | Arkansas State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/29 | Georgia Southern | 28 | Arkansas State | 21 | Georgia Southern | Arkansas State -3 | Georgia Southern | 53.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/04 | Georgia Southern | 25 | Arkansas State | 43 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -9 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/05 | Arkansas State | 27 | Georgia Southern | 26 | Arkansas State | Georgia Southern -5.5 | Arkansas State | 53.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 3 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Georgia Southern | 2 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 2 |
(#136) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 64%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 71%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Georgia Southern has lost 4 straight
Georgia Southern has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Georgia Southern Notes
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern has a top Offensive Line (#12)
Georgia Southern commits very few Penalties (#16)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern offense is really bad (#117)
Georgia Southern pass game is really bad (#116)
Georgia Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia Southern does not Sack the QB (#130)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern Does Not Stuff Runs (#135)
Georgia Southern has a bad defensive line (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)
Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 64%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 71%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Georgia Southern has lost 4 straight
Georgia Southern has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Georgia Southern Notes
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern has a top Offensive Line (#12)
Georgia Southern commits very few Penalties (#16)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern offense is really bad (#117)
Georgia Southern pass game is really bad (#116)
Georgia Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia Southern does not Sack the QB (#130)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern Does Not Stuff Runs (#135)
Georgia Southern has a bad defensive line (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | GASO |
| OverallOver | #84 | #95 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #58 |
| DefenseDef | #94 | #108 |
| Special TeamsST | #70 | #56 |
| PassingPass | #63 | #54 |
| RushingRush | #81 | #51 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #92 | #41 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #38 | #23 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #78 | #89 |
| TacklingTkl | #47 | #101 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #90 | #113 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #110 | #111 |
| Coverage DefCov | #95 | #64 |
(#131) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -13 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 6 straight
Arkansas State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -13 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 6 straight
Arkansas State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French | 52 | 87 | 60% | 528 | 5 | 2 | 6.1 |
| Turner Helton (Tr) | 4 | 9 | 44% | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ Arnold | 33 | 214 | 2 | 6.5 | 41 |
| David Mbadinga | 23 | 85 | 0 | 3.7 | 11 |
| Jamarian Samuel | 7 | 72 | 0 | 10.3 | 36 |
| JC French | 20 | 46 | 1 | 2.3 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Brown (Tr) | 9 | 163 | 4 | 18.1 | 32 |
| Dalen Cobb | 15 | 154 | 1 | 10.3 | 23 |
| Marcus Sanders Jr. | 7 | 84 | 0 | 12.0 | 18 |
| Josh Dallas | 8 | 68 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Tyson (Tr) | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brendan Harrington (Tr) | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jusfin Meyers | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ayden Jackson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Collier | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Tyson (Tr) | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Phillip Gladney | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antavious Murphy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorrian Smith | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaquari Brown | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jusfin Meyers | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 66 | 98 | 67% | 692 | 4 | 3 | 7.1 |
| Josh Flowers | 1 | 3 | 33% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 35 | 138 | 1 | 3.9 | 21 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 40 | 120 | 1 | 3.0 | 13 |
| Devin Spencer | 18 | 104 | 1 | 5.8 | 43 |
| Kameron Thomas | 8 | 38 | 0 | 4.8 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncy Cobb | 16 | 216 | 0 | 13.5 | 45 |
| Corey Rucker | 6 | 105 | 1 | 17.5 | 50 |
| Hunter Summers | 6 | 96 | 0 | 16.0 | 39 |
| Jaylen Bonelli (Tr) | 8 | 95 | 1 | 11.9 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Barnes | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hassler | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Collins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Alan Yowe | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |