Georgia Southern at Arkansas State Game Matchup
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Centennial Bank Stadium - Jonesboro, AR  (Sun Belt)

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Georgia Southern -5   (SP+ GASO -6)
Projected Score: GASO: 31 - ARST: 26 (57)
GASO Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
GASO Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Southern at Fresno State+1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia Southern at USC+17
Sat 9/13 Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State-18
Sat 9/20 Georgia Southern vs Maine-20
Sat 9/27 Georgia Southern at James Madison+8
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss-7.5
Sat 10/18 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State-15.5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State-5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 Georgia Southern at App State-8
Sat 11/15 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina-10
Sat 11/22 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion-9
Sat 11/29 Georgia Southern at Marshall-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-12.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+19.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-7
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+4
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+11
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+9
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss-0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+2
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)25.843% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)32.251% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282542.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19
ARST Defense1332.227.248%4.621.4 - - - - - 52%48%51%44%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
ARST Offense1325.82941%3.961.3203571482104.348%52%43%39%16%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Arkansas State1326:5620.340%75%5.147.81.31.44.51.4127.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)
ARST Defense1352% (84)51% (131) - - - - .28 (131)3.45 (127)73% (65)9% (82)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
ARST Offense1348% (83)43% (84)34.8147.84.316 (90).12 (72)3.01 (77)73% (71)9% (48)0.9 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)
ARST Defense1348% (52)44% (110) - - - - - - 14 (23).35 (115)1.7 (103)29% (106)32% (89).51 (125)6% (74)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
ARST Offense1352% (49)39% (96)19.631.6209.66.610.717 (79)9 (48).21 (90)1.5 (88)31% (67)32% (55).39 (42)8% (115)2 (97)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.18 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.18   Arkansas State: -8.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.0   Arkansas State: -9.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 31
Arkansas State 26


Projected Total Points: 57
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/02Georgia Southern59Arkansas State33Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -1.5Georgia Southern66.5Over
201911/23Arkansas State38Georgia Southern33Arkansas StateArkansas State -1Arkansas State52.5Over
201809/29Georgia Southern28Arkansas State21Georgia SouthernArkansas State -3Georgia Southern53.5Under
201710/04Georgia Southern25Arkansas State43Arkansas StateArkansas State -9Arkansas State54.5Over
201610/05Arkansas State27Georgia Southern26Arkansas StateGeorgia Southern -5.5Arkansas State53.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State333 Overs
Georgia Southern222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 14 - 12 - 02 - 1
Road Teams1 - 41 - 41 - 20 - 2

(#76) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.18 #76
Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95
Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Georgia Southern Notes
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
(3/24) Def not good LY, 6 portal adds. Could improve?
(3/24) Helton has bowled every year. Good job
Georgia Southern     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #76
#99
Off #60
#62
Def #92
#130
Talent #86
#75
SP+ #78
#100
SP+ Off #63
#68
SP+ Def #95
#122

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | ARST
Depth Chart: GASO | ARST
Rosters: GASO | ARST
(#99) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY


  
Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dalen Cobb030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Josh Dallas43719.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
River Helms (Tr)19228212.033
Marcus Sanders Jr.9158117.643

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jusfin Meyers613111
Brendan Harrington (Tr)551011
Chance Gamble482007
Davon Hicks431100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Rhodes226310
Isaac Walker234233
Jusfin Meyers613111
Jacob Ferguson194120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble482007
Tracy Hill Jr.360013
Isaac Walker234233

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Ethan Crawford (Tr)5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Kenyon Clay (Tr)8438774.670
Ethan Crawford (Tr)9720932.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Kenyon Clay (Tr)21225110.737
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AG McGhee (Tr)541000
Christopher Boti361111
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Christopher Boti361111
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avante Dickerson (Tr)192003
James Reed III71002
Marcus Bradley71011