Arkansas State at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Oklahoma Sooners(#18)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -36 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 73 - Arkansas State: 0

 
Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (21 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oklahoma -27.5   (SP+ OKLA -24)
Projected Score: ARST: 16 - OKLA: 44 (60)
OKLA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
ARST Travel: 383 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (52 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas State at Oklahoma+36.057.5L 0 - 73ON
Sat 9/9 Arkansas State vs Memphis+21.057.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas State vs Stony Brook-24.047.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss+7.046.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas State at Massachusetts+2.555.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Arkansas State at Troy+15.552.0L 3 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+8.559.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/28 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+1.055.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+9.060.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas State at South Alabama+14.554.5L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 Arkansas State vs Texas State+3.559.5W 77 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Arkansas State at Marshall+2.054.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/23 Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma vs Arkansas State-36.057.5W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma vs SMU-16.568.5W 28 - 11UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma at Tulsa-28.058.5W 66 - 17OY
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma at Cincinnati-13.058.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-19.548.5W 50 - 20OY
Sat 10/7 Oklahoma vs Texas+4.062.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma vs UCF-17.067.5W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma at Kansas-7.066.5L 33 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State-6.061.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-13.559.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma at BYU-24.558.5W 31 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.566.5W 69 - 45OY
Thu 12/28 Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)42% (73)27.143% (71)3.12 (65)14841% (80)2253.21 (114)#110 (.25)42% (72)30.444% (80)41% (59)4.05 (92)60.911.2
OKLA#9 (.34)50% (8)41.748% (22)3.11 (67)18252% (6)3254.56 (18)#27 (.12)39% (32)23.539% (31)39% (36)3.36 (28)58.21.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.120.741.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
OKLA Defense1323.520.838.5%3.362 - - - - - 45%54%39%39%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1330.436.342.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25
OKLA Offense1341.751.750.1%4.561.5255071823254.649%51%48%52%13%.34

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Oklahoma1329:0325.549%68%6.858.21.526.41.4529.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (104)9% (58)1.05 (43)
OKLA Defense1345% (15)39% (31) - - - - .05 (22)2.65 (11)47% (1)10% (59)1.06 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (124)10% (71)1.01 (78)
OKLA Offense1349% (73)48% (22)40.1182.24.632 (10).16 (62)3.11 (67)85% (3)8% (27)0.95 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
OKLA Defense1354% (120)39% (36) - - - - - - 20 (2).2 (26)1.7 (114)36% (13)31% (86).33 (75)7% (41)2.3 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)
OKLA Offense1351% (54)52% (6)23.834.8324.89.313.634 (9)9 (40).55 (6)1.6 (47)29% (27)38% (12).46 (27)5% (34)2.1 (39)

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.23 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.23   Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.5   Oklahoma: 16.4




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 44
Arkansas State 16


Total Points: 60

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Oklahoma73Arkansas State0OklahomaOklahoma -36Oklahoma57.5Over
200009/08Oklahoma45Arkansas State7Oklahoma
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma211 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#100) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -7.23 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#82)

Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#88)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKLAARST
OverallOver#20#47
OffenseOff#18#50
DefenseDef#33#51
Special TeamsST#21#91
PassingPass#6#78
RushingRush#30#50
Run BlockRBLK#75#22
Pass BlockPBLK#38#80
Route RunningWR Rt#9#44
TacklingTkl#58#29
Run DefenseR Def#26#64
Pass Rush DefPRush#47#87
Coverage DefCov#55#14

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma -36.0 (57.5)
Oklahoma won vs Arkansas State this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Arkansas State in 2023 (73-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARST | OKLA
Depth Chart: ARST | OKLA
Rosters: ARST | OKLA
(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10


Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma offense is efficent (#36)
Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Oklahoma does not Sack the QB (#47)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)


  
Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker (Tr)36705219.668
Courtney Jackson (Tr)39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevian Thomas913004
Charles Willekes919211
Melique Straker857000
Javante Mackey847221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford4411671
Nate Martey369640
Javante Mackey847221
Thurman Geathers48132120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samy Johnson5730015
Leon Jones260006
Justin Hodges252005

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel26638469%36603069.5
Jackson Arnold446964%563438.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Sawchuk12074496.264
Tawee Walker10251375.030
Dillon Gabriel93373124.044
Marcus Major7830813.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drake Stoops849621011.560
Nic Anderson387981021.063
Jalil Farooq45694215.449
Andrel Anthony Jr.27429115.955

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman8714213
Billy Bowman603003
Jaren Kanak586240
Kip Lewis574110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Downs267560
Marcus Stripling63310
Kendel Dolby495244
Danny Stutsman8714213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Woodi Washington423017
Kendel Dolby495244
Peyton Bowen321114