Arkansas State at UL Monroe Game Matchup
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Malone Stadium - Monroe, LA  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -1.5   (SP+ ARST -4.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 28 - ULM: 26 (54)
ARST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ARST Travel: 243 miles
Warhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#123)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-12.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+19.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-7
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+4
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+11
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+9
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss-0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+2
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-8.5
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+47.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+3.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+1.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+15.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+6.5
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+8
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+9
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+9.5
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+13
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)25.843% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)32.251% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)2140% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)28.853% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.820.741%3.961.3203571482104.348%52%43%39%16%.17
ULM Defense1228.822.546.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1332.237.348%4.621.4 - - - - - 52%48%51%44%15%.31
ULM Offense122126.837.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:5620.340%75%5.147.81.31.44.51.4127.6
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1348% (83)43% (84)34.8147.84.316 (90).12 (72)3.01 (77)73% (71)9% (48)0.9 (99)
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1352% (84)51% (131) - - - - .28 (131)3.45 (127)73% (65)9% (82)1.02 (85)
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1352% (49)39% (96)19.631.6209.66.610.717 (79)9 (48).21 (90)1.5 (88)31% (67)32% (55).39 (42)8% (115)2 (97)
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1348% (52)44% (110) - - - - - - 14 (23).35 (115)1.7 (103)29% (106)32% (89).51 (125)6% (74)2.3 (122)
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -12.25   UL Monroe: -12.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9   UL Monroe: -14.6




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -12.525 #110
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 28
UL Monroe 26

Projected Total Points: 54
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Arkansas State28UL Monroe21Arkansas StateArkansas State -3Arkansas State51.5Under
202310/28UL Monroe24Arkansas State34Arkansas StateLouisiana Monroe -1.0Arkansas State55.5Over
202210/01Arkansas State45UL Monroe28Arkansas StateArkansas State -7.5Arkansas State58.5Over
202111/13UL Monroe24Arkansas State27Arkansas StateLouisiana Monroe -3Arkansas State66.5Under
202012/05Arkansas State48UL Monroe15Arkansas StateArkansas State -20.5Arkansas State71.5Under
201911/02UL Monroe41Arkansas State48Arkansas StateArkansas State -1Arkansas State69.0Over
201811/17Arkansas State31UL Monroe17Arkansas StateArkansas State -7.5Arkansas State68.0Under
201711/25UL Monroe50Arkansas State67Arkansas StateArkansas State -8.5Arkansas State69.0Over
201610/29Arkansas State51UL Monroe10Arkansas StateArkansas State -17Arkansas State55.0Over
201511/14UL Monroe21Arkansas State59Arkansas StateArkansas State -12.5Arkansas State55.5Over
201410/04Arkansas State28UL Monroe14Arkansas StateArkansas State -10Arkansas State0
201311/09UL Monroe14Arkansas State42Arkansas StateLouisiana Monroe -3.5Arkansas State0
201211/08Arkansas State45UL Monroe23Arkansas State
201110/08UL Monroe19Arkansas State24Arkansas State
201009/18Arkansas State34UL Monroe20Arkansas State
200910/13UL Monroe16Arkansas State10UL Monroe
200810/11Arkansas State37UL Monroe29Arkansas State
200710/06UL Monroe30Arkansas State13UL Monroe
200610/07Arkansas State10UL Monroe6Arkansas State
200510/01UL Monroe31Arkansas State27UL Monroe
200409/25UL Monroe21Arkansas State28Arkansas State
200310/04Arkansas State44UL Monroe41Arkansas State
200209/21UL Monroe21Arkansas State33Arkansas State
200111/17Arkansas State7UL Monroe16UL Monroe
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe406 Overs
Arkansas State20124 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 106 - 66 - 30 - 3
Road Teams10 - 146 - 63 - 03 - 6

(#99) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY
Arkansas State     Ratings Matchup     UL Monroe
Power #99
#110
Off #62
#118
Def #130
#105
Talent #75
#129
SP+ #100
#116
SP+ Off #68
#126
SP+ Def #122
#99

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe last year (28-21)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (34-24)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2022 (45-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARST | ULM
Depth Chart: ARST | ULM
Rosters: ARST | ULM
(#110) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.525 #110
Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UL Monroe Notes
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
(5/19) Def improved LY, return nice pieces. 5 portals
(5/19) Secondary looks decent, glaring need at DT
(5/19) 5-1 start, 0-6 finish. Vincent still OK 1st year
(5/1) RB Martin/McReynolds, watch for Fr RB D Ford


  
Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Ethan Crawford (Tr)5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Kenyon Clay (Tr)8438774.670
Ethan Crawford (Tr)9720932.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Kenyon Clay (Tr)21225110.737
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AG McGhee (Tr)541000
Christopher Boti361111
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Christopher Boti361111
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avante Dickerson (Tr)192003
James Reed III71002
Marcus Bradley71011

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
Hunter Herring3475%17004.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)2011115.624
Aidan Armenta475711.243
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)63616.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nic Trujillo (Tr)16305119.143
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Tyler Griffin8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
Kevontay Wells4610350
Tyrese Hopkins412081
Billy Pullen416451
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Dylan Howell232220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
David Godsey Jr.391004
Korian Wilson290003