Arkansas State Red Wolves at UL Monroe Warhawks
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Malone Stadium - Monroe, LA (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -2.5 (SP+ ARST -10)
Projected Score: ARST: 30 - ULM: 28 (58)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 243 miles
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -2.5 (SP+ ARST -10)
Projected Score: ARST: 30 - ULM: 28 (58)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 243 miles
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (29 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (29 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -6.0 | 56.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | -5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA) | -31.0 | 47.0 | W 29 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UL Monroe at Alabama | +34.0 | 50.0 | L 0 - 73 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UL Monroe at UTEP | +5.5 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UL Monroe vs Arkansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UL Monroe vs Northwestern | +22.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UL Monroe vs Troy | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | UL Monroe at Southern Miss | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | UL Monroe vs Old Dominion | +17 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | UL Monroe vs South Alabama | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UL Monroe at Texas State | +21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UL Monroe at Louisiana | +12.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #108 (.09) | 41% (87) | 24 | 45% (60) | 2.62 (101) | 153 | 38% (103) | 233 | 3.65 (88) | #130 (.42) | 52% (132) | 34.7 | 52% (125) | 52% (128) | 4.61 (110) | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| ULM | #46 (.29) | 35% (127) | 14.5 | 38% (105) | 3.14 (52) | 202 | 32% (121) | 89 | 3.88 (75) | #127 (.37) | 51% (130) | 36.5 | 53% (128) | 50% (120) | 6.6 (136) | 43 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||
| ULM | #94 (.15) | 37% (121) | 40% (102) | 2.93 (87) | 173 | 33% (128) | 135 | 3.33 (117) | #89 (.2) | 47% (120) | 53% (134) | 39% (53) | 4.12 (99) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 41.5% | 3.65 | 1.3 | 23 | 386 | 153 | 233 | 3.9 | 47% | 53% | 45% | 38% | 18% | .09 |
| ULM Defense | 2 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 50.7% | 6.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 53% | 50% | 9% | .37 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 3 | 34.7 | 34.7 | 52% | 4.61 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 14% | .42 |
| ULM Offense | 2 | 14.5 | 29 | 34.7% | 3.88 | 2 | 16 | 291 | 202 | 89 | 5.4 | 56% | 41% | 38% | 32% | 26% | .29 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 3 | 34:10 | 22.7 | 48% | 33% | 7.7 | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | 30.9 |
| UL Monroe | 2 | 28:17 | 15.5 | 42% | 67% | 4.5 | 43 | 2 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 3 | 47% (91) | 45% (60) | 39.3 | 153.3 | 3.9 | 4 (79) | .04 (98) | 2.62 (101) | 60% (103) | 12% (112) | 0.96 (67) |
| ULM Defense | 2 | 44% (28) | 53% (128) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.64 (134) | 100% (127) | 6% (125) | 0.71 (17) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 3 | 51% (87) | 52% (125) | - | - | - | - | .31 (128) | 3.23 (113) | 100% (127) | 7% (115) | 1.06 (92) |
| ULM Offense | 2 | 56% (39) | 38% (105) | 37.5 | 202 | 5.4 | 2 (109) | .38 (14) | 3.14 (52) | 100% (1) | 20% (135) | 1.49 (8) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 3 | 53% (45) | 38% (103) | 22.3 | 33.7 | 233 | 6.9 | 10.4 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | .14 (105) | 1.6 (42) | 28% (47) | 30% (80) | .4 (53) | 6% (96) | 2.3 (20) |
| ULM Defense | 2 | 55% (103) | 50% (120) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .54 (125) | 1.5 (60) | 23% (132) | 35% (108) | .65 (126) | 3% (128) | 2.1 (82) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 3 | 48% (50) | 52% (128) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .58 (129) | 1.7 (105) | 27% (122) | 36% (117) | .58 (120) | 7% (48) | 2.2 (103) |
| ULM Offense | 2 | 41% (112) | 32% (121) | 12 | 22 | 89 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 2 (102) | 2 (60) | .2 (90) | 1.8 (16) | 41% (134) | 35% (43) | .64 (24) | 6% (89) | 2.3 (27) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -20.80 UL Monroe: -17.75
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -10.2 UL Monroe: -20.2
Arkansas State: -20.80 UL Monroe: -17.75
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -10.2 UL Monroe: -20.2
UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.75 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.75 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 30
UL Monroe 28
Total Points: 58
Arkansas State 30
UL Monroe 28
Total Points: 58
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.5
UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.5
UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Arkansas State | 28 | UL Monroe | 21 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -3 | Arkansas State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/28 | UL Monroe | 24 | Arkansas State | 34 | Arkansas State | Louisiana Monroe -1.0 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Arkansas State | 45 | UL Monroe | 28 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -7.5 | Arkansas State | 58.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/13 | UL Monroe | 24 | Arkansas State | 27 | Arkansas State | Louisiana Monroe -3 | Arkansas State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/05 | Arkansas State | 48 | UL Monroe | 15 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -20.5 | Arkansas State | 71.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | UL Monroe | 41 | Arkansas State | 48 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -1 | Arkansas State | 69.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Arkansas State | 31 | UL Monroe | 17 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -7.5 | Arkansas State | 68.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | UL Monroe | 50 | Arkansas State | 67 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -8.5 | Arkansas State | 69.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Arkansas State | 51 | UL Monroe | 10 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -17 | Arkansas State | 55.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/14 | UL Monroe | 21 | Arkansas State | 59 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -12.5 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Arkansas State | 28 | UL Monroe | 14 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -10 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | UL Monroe | 14 | Arkansas State | 42 | Arkansas State | Louisiana Monroe -3.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/08 | Arkansas State | 45 | UL Monroe | 23 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | UL Monroe | 19 | Arkansas State | 24 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2010 | 09/18 | Arkansas State | 34 | UL Monroe | 20 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/13 | UL Monroe | 16 | Arkansas State | 10 | UL Monroe | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | Arkansas State | 37 | UL Monroe | 29 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | UL Monroe | 30 | Arkansas State | 13 | UL Monroe | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Arkansas State | 10 | UL Monroe | 6 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | UL Monroe | 31 | Arkansas State | 27 | UL Monroe | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | UL Monroe | 21 | Arkansas State | 28 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Arkansas State | 44 | UL Monroe | 41 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2002 | 09/21 | UL Monroe | 21 | Arkansas State | 33 | Arkansas State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Arkansas State | 7 | UL Monroe | 16 | UL Monroe |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | 4 | 0 | 6 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 20 | 12 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 10 | 6 - 6 | 6 - 3 | 0 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 14 | 6 - 6 | 3 - 0 | 3 - 6 |
(#131) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 3 straight
Arkansas State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 3 straight
Arkansas State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ULM | ARST |
| OverallOver | #68 | #84 |
| OffenseOff | #48 | #81 |
| DefenseDef | #77 | #94 |
| Special TeamsST | #97 | #70 |
| PassingPass | #47 | #63 |
| RushingRush | #47 | #81 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #32 | #92 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #33 | #38 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #90 | #78 |
| TacklingTkl | #60 | #47 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #86 | #90 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #65 | #110 |
| Coverage DefCov | #83 | #95 |
(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -17.75 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight
UL Monroe has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe is Undefeated at Home
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)
Power Rating: -17.75 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight
UL Monroe has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe is Undefeated at Home
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 66 | 98 | 67% | 692 | 4 | 3 | 7.1 |
| Josh Flowers | 1 | 3 | 33% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 35 | 138 | 1 | 3.9 | 21 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 40 | 120 | 1 | 3.0 | 13 |
| Devin Spencer | 18 | 104 | 1 | 5.8 | 43 |
| Kameron Thomas | 8 | 38 | 0 | 4.8 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncy Cobb | 16 | 216 | 0 | 13.5 | 45 |
| Corey Rucker | 6 | 105 | 1 | 17.5 | 50 |
| Hunter Summers | 6 | 96 | 0 | 16.0 | 39 |
| Jaylen Bonelli (Tr) | 8 | 95 | 1 | 11.9 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Barnes | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hassler | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Collins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Alan Yowe | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Armenta | 20 | 37 | 54% | 123 | 1 | 2 | 3.3 |
| Landon Graves | 4 | 7 | 57% | 55 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon McReynolds (Tr) | 18 | 137 | 0 | 7.6 | 74 |
| Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr) | 13 | 53 | 0 | 4.1 | 19 |
| Dorian Lewis | 9 | 52 | 0 | 5.8 | 21 |
| Aidan Armenta | 7 | 43 | 1 | 6.1 | 32 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Griffin | 5 | 54 | 1 | 10.8 | 19 |
| JP Coulter | 4 | 30 | 0 | 7.5 | 11 |
| Rico Powers Jr. | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9.3 | 18 |
| Jacob Godfrey | 3 | 21 | 0 | 7.0 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Korian Wilson | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Flemmings | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kam Canterbury | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Howell | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Davin Anderson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Nixon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Pullen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Noah Flemmings | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |