Memphis at Arkansas State Game Matchup
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -21 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Memphis 37 - Arkansas State: 3

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Memphis -8.5   (SP+ MEM -10.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 34 - ARST: 25 (59)
MEM Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
MEM Travel: 64 miles
Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman-49.059.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/9 Memphis at Arkansas State-21.057.0W 37 - 3UY
Thu 9/14 Memphis vs Navy-12.547.0W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/23 Memphis vs Missouri+6.552.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Memphis vs Boise State-3.058.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Memphis vs Tulane+4.554.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 Memphis at UAB-7.561.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Memphis at North Texas-6.570.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Memphis vs South Florida-13.568.5W 59 - 50ON
Sat 11/11 Memphis at Charlotte-9.551.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Memphis vs SMU+9.564.5L 34 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Memphis at Temple-13.563.5W 45 - 21OY
Fri 12/29 Memphis at Iowa State+10.558.0W 36 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas State at Oklahoma+36.057.5L 0 - 73ON
Sat 9/9 Arkansas State vs Memphis+21.057.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas State vs Stony Brook-24.047.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss+7.046.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas State at Massachusetts+2.555.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Arkansas State at Troy+15.552.0L 3 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+8.559.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/28 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+1.055.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+9.060.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas State at South Alabama+14.554.5L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 Arkansas State vs Texas State+3.559.5W 77 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Arkansas State at Marshall+2.054.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/23 Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.244%35.744%2.914245%2804.16.1843%23.841%46%4.3436.91.22.1
ARST.136%25.835%2.368838%2273.48.2444%32.245%43%4.5854.50.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1335.733.544.3%4.161.2234221422803.847%52%44%45%16%.2
ARST Defense1232.227.244.2%4.581.1 - - - - - 55%44%45%43%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.83443%4.342.1 - - - - - 47%52%41%46%14%.18
ARST Offense1225.82936.1%3.480.817315882272.842%57%35%38%21%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1330:5022.545%54%4.136.91.22.14.61.6431.3
Arkansas State1230:1417.229%61%5.754.50.81.16.41.9229
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1347%44%37.9142.43.830.122.974%10%0.93
ARST Defense1255%45% - - - - .16376%12%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.9670%8%0.89
ARST Offense1242%35%31.888.22.816-.032.3675%16%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1352%45%22.435280.1812.5238.311.530%33%.396%2.2
ARST Defense1244%43% - - - - - - 6.41.831%31%.316%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 16.31.532%36%.436%1.9
ARST Offense1257%38%20.633226.86.911165.211.638%25%.196%2.1

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64   Arkansas State: -4.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8   Arkansas State: -7.5




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 34
Arkansas State 25

Projected Total Points: 59
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Arkansas State3Memphis37MemphisMemphis -21Memphis57.0Under
202209/17Memphis44Arkansas State32MemphisMemphis -14.5Arkansas State64.0Over
202109/11Arkansas State50Memphis55MemphisMemphis -5.5Arkansas State65.0Over
202009/05Memphis37Arkansas State24MemphisMemphis -18.5Arkansas State71.5Under
201309/21Memphis31Arkansas State7MemphisArkansas State -3Memphis0
201209/08Arkansas State33Memphis28Arkansas State
201109/10Arkansas State47Memphis3Arkansas State
200809/27Memphis29Arkansas State17Memphis
200709/27Arkansas State35Memphis31Arkansas State
200610/14Memphis23Arkansas State26Arkansas State
200409/18Arkansas State35Memphis47Memphis
200309/27Memphis38Arkansas State16Memphis
200009/15Arkansas State17Memphis19Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State432 Overs
Memphis922 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 52 - 30 - 22 - 1
Road Teams5 - 83 - 21 - 22 - 0

(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile






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Memphis     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #36
#100
Off #24
#85
Def #71
#95
Talent #74
#81
SP+ #57
#92
SP+ Off #14
#72
SP+ Def #112
#108

Rematch from Week 2
Memphis 21.0 (57.0)
Memphis won at Arkansas State this year (37-3)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2022 (44-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MEM | ARST
Depth Chart: MEM | ARST
Rosters: MEM | ARST
(#100) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan30947765%35022567.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker14871974.986
Brandon Thomas5733595.957
Seth Henigan8019012.423
Roc Taylor2502.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor66950214.448
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)45677615.089
Kobe Drake39484112.429
Jevyon Ducker1511007.331

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104
Gregory Rubin746038
Davion Ross5120211
Cameron Smith242001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104
Cormontae Hamilton61131
Zy Brockington111100
Cameron Smith242001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Ross5120211
Gregory Rubin746038
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Reagan Ealy11100%110011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zak Wallace154721114.757
Mike Sharpe II42205.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Courtney Jackson (Tr)42494211.844
Reagan Ealy23262011.422
Adam Jones21255312.146
Emmanuel Stevenson2820317.329

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Parks966033
Charles Willekes929123
Trevian Thomas791004
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Willekes929123
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Blayne Toll91120
Justin Parks966033
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevian Thomas791004
Justin Parks966033
Charles Willekes929123