Louisiana at Arkansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -9 (60.0) (-278)  Open: -9.0
Arkansas State 37 - Louisiana: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Louisiana -3   (SP+ ULL -8)
Projected Score: ULL: 31 - ARST: 28 (57)
ULL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ULL Travel: 397 miles
Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Louisiana vs Northwestern State-35.054.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana at Old Dominion-6.051.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 Louisiana at UAB+2.060.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 9/23 Louisiana vs Buffalo-10.557.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Louisiana at Minnesota+9.549.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Louisiana vs Texas State-1.067.5W 34 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Louisiana vs Georgia State-3.062.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Louisiana at South Alabama+11.555.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/4 Louisiana at Arkansas State-9.060.0L 17 - 37UN
Thu 11/9 Louisiana vs Southern Miss-8.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana at Troy+17.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.553.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/16 Louisiana vs Jacksonville State+3.558.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas State at Oklahoma+36.057.5L 0 - 73ON
Sat 9/9 Arkansas State vs Memphis+21.057.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas State vs Stony Brook-24.047.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss+7.046.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas State at Massachusetts+2.555.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Arkansas State at Troy+15.552.0L 3 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+8.559.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/28 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+1.055.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+9.060.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas State at South Alabama+14.554.5L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 Arkansas State vs Texas State+3.559.5W 77 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Arkansas State at Marshall+2.054.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/23 Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL.1340%30.943%3.214438%2203.61.1741%24.144%38%3.6255.71.32.2
ARST.136%25.835%2.368838%2273.48.2444%32.245%43%4.5854.50.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense1330.93240.1%3.611.3203641442204.148%51%43%38%15%.13
ARST Defense1232.227.244.2%4.581.1 - - - - - 55%44%45%43%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1324.120.840.5%3.622.2 - - - - - 49%50%44%38%15%.17
ARST Offense1225.82936.1%3.480.817315882272.842%57%35%38%21%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1329:3019.639%52%6.555.71.32.24.52.1331.1
Arkansas State1230:1417.229%61%5.754.50.81.16.41.9229
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1348%43%35.2144.44.110.13.261%8%0.97
ARST Defense1255%45% - - - - .16376%12%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1349%44% - - - - .183.1268%8%1
ARST Offense1242%35%31.888.22.816-.032.3675%16%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1351%38%19.433.9219.96.511.4279.191.531%31%.337%2
ARST Defense1244%43% - - - - - - 6.41.831%31%.316%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.191.630%33%.437%2
ARST Offense1257%38%20.633226.86.911165.211.638%25%.196%2.1

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82   Arkansas State: -4.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3   Arkansas State: -7.5




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 31
Arkansas State 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Louisiana55Arkansas State19LouisianaLouisiana -14.0Louisiana60.0Over
202311/04Arkansas State37Louisiana17Arkansas StateLouisiana -9Arkansas State60.0Under
202210/22Louisiana38Arkansas State18LouisianaLouisiana -6Louisiana51.0Over
202110/21Arkansas State27Louisiana28LouisianaLouisiana -17Arkansas State70.0Under
202011/07Louisiana27Arkansas State20LouisianaLouisiana -13.5Arkansas State69.5Under
201910/17Arkansas State20Louisiana37LouisianaLouisiana -6Louisiana69.0Under
201810/27Louisiana47Arkansas State43LouisianaArkansas State -3Louisiana69.0Over
201710/19Arkansas State47Louisiana3Arkansas StateArkansas State -12Arkansas State66.5Under
201611/26Louisiana24Arkansas State19LouisianaArkansas State -6.5Louisiana50.5Under
201510/20Arkansas State37Louisiana27Arkansas StateArkansas State -6Arkansas State55.5Over
201410/21Louisiana55Arkansas State40LouisianaArkansas State -3Louisiana59.0Over
201310/22Arkansas State7Louisiana23LouisianaLouisiana -6.5Louisiana0
201210/23Louisiana27Arkansas State50Arkansas State
201111/12Arkansas State30Louisiana21Arkansas State
201009/11Louisiana31Arkansas State24Louisiana
200911/07Arkansas State18Louisiana21Louisiana
200810/18Louisiana28Arkansas State23Louisiana
200710/13Arkansas State52Louisiana21Arkansas State
200611/25Louisiana28Arkansas State13Louisiana
200510/13Arkansas State39Louisiana36Arkansas State
200410/23Louisiana27Arkansas State24Louisiana
200211/09Louisiana13Arkansas State10Louisiana
200110/13Arkansas State26Louisiana20Arkansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State855 Overs
Louisiana1576 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 59 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams5 - 183 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#86) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile






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Louisiana     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #86
#100
Off #41
#85
Def #107
#95
Talent #93
#81
SP+ #64
#92
SP+ Off #37
#72
SP+ Def #102
#108

Rematch from Week 10
Louisiana 9.0 (60.0)
Arkansas State won vs Louisiana this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Arkansas State last year (55-19)
Arkansas State beat Louisiana in 2023 (37-17)
Louisiana beat Arkansas State in 2022 (38-18)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ULL | ARST
Depth Chart: ULL | ARST
Rosters: ULL | ARST
(#100) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Chandler Fields268823.434
Lance LeGendre110010.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Jacob Bernard28375013.452
Tavion Smith12168414.056
Dalen Cambre54609.213

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Keyon Martin562026
Amir McDaniel565141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Amir McDaniel565141
K.C. Ossai1153133
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyon Martin562026
Antoine Baylis224216
K.C. Ossai1153133

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Reagan Ealy11100%110011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zak Wallace154721114.757
Mike Sharpe II42205.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Courtney Jackson (Tr)42494211.844
Reagan Ealy23262011.422
Adam Jones21255312.146
Emmanuel Stevenson2820317.329

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Parks966033
Charles Willekes929123
Trevian Thomas791004
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Willekes929123
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Blayne Toll91120
Justin Parks966033
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevian Thomas791004
Justin Parks966033
Charles Willekes929123