Arkansas State at Old Dominion - 2022 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Old Dominion Monarchs

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
Old Dominion -5 (55.5)
Old Dominion 29 - Arkansas State: 26 (Sun Belt)

Red Wolves (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 25 - 31 (20 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 3rd straight Road Game
ODU is playing their 4th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - ODU: 30 (56)
ODU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ARST Travel: 802 miles, 1 hrs behind

Monarchs (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (17 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas State vs Grambling	-25.5	57.5	W 58 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Arkansas State at Ohio State	+44.5	68.5	L 12 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas State at Memphis	+14.5	64.0	L 32 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Arkansas State at Old Dominion	+5.0	55.5	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	58.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Arkansas State vs James Madison	+11.5	55.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas State at Southern Miss	+4.5	53.0	L 19 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Arkansas State at Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	L 18 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/29	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	+9.0	52.5	L 3 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Arkansas State vs Massachusetts	-17.0	49.0	W 35 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Arkansas State at Texas State	+6.0	50.0	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Arkansas State vs Troy	+13.5	43.5	L 19 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Old Dominion at East Carolina	+13.0	49.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/17	Old Dominion at Virginia	+8.0	52.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Old Dominion vs Arkansas State	-5.0	55.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Old Dominion vs Liberty	+3.5	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+11.0	58.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	-1.5	66.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.5	53.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	Old Dominion vs Marshall	+3.5	46.5	L 0 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/12	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+7.5	48.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/19	Old Dominion at App State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Old Dominion at South Alabama	+16.5	47.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.1	36%	25	35%	2.36	88	38%	227	3.48	.24	44%	31.4	45%	43%	4.58	54.5	0.8	1.1
ODU	.12	34%	19.5	36%	2.79	91	34%	248	3.35	.23	43%	26.6	43%	45%	3.21	63.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25	20	36.1%	3.48	0.8	17	315	88	227	2.8	42%	57%	35%	38%	21%	.1
ODU Defense	12	26.6	26.3	43.3%	3.21	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	45%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	31.4	32	44.2%	4.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	43%	18%	.24
ODU Offense	12	19.5	16.5	34.3%	3.35	1.5	16	340	91	248	3.5	37%	62%	36%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	30:14	17.2	29%	61%	5.7	54.5	0.8	1.1	6.4	1.9	2	29
Old Dominion	12	24:07	15.8	30%	35%	6.9	63.8	1.5	1.9	6.2	2.6	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	35%	31.8	88.2	2.8	16	-.03	2.36	75%	16%	1
ODU Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.1	75%	10%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3	76%	12%	0.97
ODU Offense	12	37%	36%	25.8	91.4	3.5	8	-.02	2.79	69%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	57%	38%	20.6	33	226.8	6.9	11	16	5	.21	1.6	38%	25%	.19	6%	2.1
ODU Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.6	30%	30%	.33	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	44%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.4	1.8	31%	31%	.31	6%	2.1
ODU Offense	12	62%	34%	19.8	34.8	248.1	7.1	12.6	19	7	.2	1.7	38%	24%	.24	9%	2.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #107
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #89
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Old Dominion: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -13.0 Old Dominion: -13.0

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -4 NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Old Dominion's 2022 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #107
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #112
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Arkansas State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 30
Arkansas State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Old Dominion 35
Arkansas State 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 25
Old Dominion 25

Total Points: 50

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.5
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Old Dominion's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Arkansas State	32	Old Dominion	40	Old Dominion -5.5	Old Dominion	58.5	Over
2022	09/24	Old Dominion	29	Arkansas State	26	Old Dominion -5	Arkansas State	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	2	1	1 Overs
Arkansas State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	ODU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#93	#102
OffenseOff	#91	#105
DefenseDef	#108	#88
Spec TeamsST	#55	#14
TalentTal	#88	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Old Dominion Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ODU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#91	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#112	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#118	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#105	#108
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	#88	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#120

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#80	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Old Dominion -5.0 (55.5)
Old Dominion won vs Arkansas State this year (29-26)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Arkansas State last year (40-32)
Old Dominion beat Arkansas State in 2022 (29-26)

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ODU's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD