Arkansas State at UL Monroe - 2021 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (5:00 PM EST)
Louisiana Monroe -3 (66.5)
Arkansas State 27 - UL Monroe: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULM is playing their 9th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ ARST -2.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - ULM: 33 (59)
ULM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ARST Travel: 243 miles
Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-13.564.0W 40 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Arkansas State vs Memphis+5.565.0L 50 - 55OY
Sat 9/18 Arkansas State at Washington+17.558.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/25 Arkansas State at Tulsa+14.565.0L 34 - 41OY
Sat 10/2 Arkansas State at Georgia Southern+1.566.5L 33 - 59ON
Thu 10/7 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+20.574.5L 20 - 52UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+17.070.0L 27 - 28UY
Sat 10/30 Arkansas State at South Alabama+9.567.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Arkansas State vs App State+21.567.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/13 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.066.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/20 Arkansas State at Georgia State+15.566.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/27 Arkansas State vs Texas State-2.062.0L 22 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UL Monroe at Kentucky+31.054.0L 10 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.552.0W 12 - 7UY
Sat 9/25 UL Monroe vs Troy+23.549.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 10/2 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+33.557.5L 6 - 59ON
Sat 10/9 UL Monroe vs Georgia State+16.049.5L 21 - 55ON
Sat 10/16 UL Monroe vs Liberty+32.557.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/23 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+13.551.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/30 UL Monroe at App State+26.557.5L 28 - 59ON
Sat 11/6 UL Monroe at Texas State+3.057.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 11/13 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-3.066.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/20 UL Monroe at LSU+29.057.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 11/27 UL Monroe at Louisiana+21.556.0L 16 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1737%25.335%2.998138%3133.37.3545%38.648%43%4.51461.81.2
ULM.0833%20.934%2.4813432%1943.4.2747%33.546%48%4.3432.61.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1225.321.737%3.371.821394813132.836%63%35%38%27%.17
ULM Defense1233.527.346.6%4.341.6 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1238.639.245.3%4.511.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%43%19%.35
ULM Offense1220.926.333%3.41.3193281341943.252%48%34%32%21%.08

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1229:0721.432%29%5.6461.81.25.52325.6
UL Monroe1228:4918.634%52%3.832.61.31.64.81.9128.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1236%35%29.181.32.84-2.9957%16%0.79
ULM Defense1249%46% - - - - .143.3169%10%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1252%48% - - - - .383.2770%12%1.3
ULM Offense1252%34%41.7134.43.2132.4876%16%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1263%38%25.843.8313.17.212.12717.291.734%29%.3511%2
ULM Defense1251%48% - - - - - - 11.391.628%31%.446%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 9.321.732%33%.57%2.3
ULM Offense1248%32%16.729.51946.611.6159.171.938%30%.45%2.3

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #120
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #109
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UL Monroe: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -17.9   UL Monroe: -20.3




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3  #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Arkansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UL Monroe 33
Arkansas State 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
UL Monroe 34
Arkansas State 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
UL Monroe 31
Arkansas State 27

Total Points: 58
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27UL Monroe28Arkansas State16UL Monroe -1.5UL Monroe55.5Under
202411/23Arkansas State28UL Monroe21Arkansas State -3Arkansas State51.5Under
202310/28UL Monroe24Arkansas State34Louisiana Monroe -1.0Arkansas State55.5Over
202210/01Arkansas State45UL Monroe28Arkansas State -7.5Arkansas State58.5Over
202111/13UL Monroe24Arkansas State27Louisiana Monroe -3Arkansas State66.5Under
202012/05Arkansas State48UL Monroe15Arkansas State -20.5Arkansas State71.5Under
201911/02UL Monroe41Arkansas State48Arkansas State -1Arkansas State69.0Over
201811/17Arkansas State31UL Monroe17Arkansas State -7.5Arkansas State68.0Under
201711/25UL Monroe50Arkansas State67Arkansas State -8.5Arkansas State69.0Over
201610/29Arkansas State51UL Monroe10Arkansas State -17Arkansas State55.0Over
201511/14UL Monroe21Arkansas State59Arkansas State -12.5Arkansas State55.5Over
201410/04Arkansas State28UL Monroe14Arkansas State -10Arkansas State0
201311/09UL Monroe14Arkansas State42Louisiana Monroe -3.5Arkansas State0
201211/08Arkansas State45UL Monroe23
201110/08UL Monroe19Arkansas State24
201009/18Arkansas State34UL Monroe20
200910/13UL Monroe16Arkansas State10
200810/11Arkansas State37UL Monroe29
200710/06UL Monroe30Arkansas State13
200610/07Arkansas State10UL Monroe6
200510/01UL Monroe31Arkansas State27
200409/25UL Monroe21Arkansas State28
200310/04Arkansas State44UL Monroe41
200209/21UL Monroe21Arkansas State33
200111/17Arkansas State7UL Monroe16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe516 Overs
Arkansas State20125 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 67 - 30 - 3
Road Teams10 - 156 - 73 - 03 - 7

(#) ARST at (#) ULM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTULM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #125
Perf GradeGrade #123 #132
OffenseOff #112 #134
DefenseDef #129 #103
Spec TeamsST #41 #128
TalentTal #82 #122
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffULM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #103
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffULM Def
Run GameRun #110 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #116
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #76 #86
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UL Monroe on Offense
CategoryCatULM OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #134 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UL Monroe Run Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffARST Def
Run GameRun #135 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
UL Monroe Pass Game
CategoryCatULM OffARST Def
Pass GamePass #128 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #131 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 11
UL Monroe -3.0 (66.5)
Arkansas State won at UL Monroe this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe last year (28-21)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (34-24)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2022 (45-28)

  
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD